High Wind in Maine, September 29, 2005

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
934 AM EDT THU SEP 29 2005

.SHORT TERM (REST OF TODAY)...
STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS NEW YORK STATE THIS MORNING.
LOCATIONS IN VERMONT GUSTING TO NEAR 50KTS AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE FRONT ARE BRINGING 50KT WINDS
TO THE SURFACE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. WILL UPGRADE THE WIND
ADVISORY TO A HIGH WIND WARNING ACROSS ALL OF CWA. QUITE A BIT OF
DISCUSSION OVER WHETHER THIS IS A HIGH WIND EVENT...OR A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM EVENT. WILL COVER THE BASES EITHER WAY. FACT OF THE
MATTER IS THAT WE ARE IN FOR A VERY WINDY AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS
IN EXCESS OF 50KTS AND WIND DAMAGE COMMON. UPDATE ON THE WAY.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
(ISSUED 232 AM EDT THU SEP 29 2005)

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)...FORECAST PROBLEM OF
THE DAY IS THE UPCOMING WIND EVENT.  VERY TIGHT GRADIENT AHEAD
OF THE APPROACHING FRONT. WINDS LINE UP IN THE VERTICAL WITH
BUFKIT SHOWING AT LEAST 50 TO 60 KTS DOWN TO 2000 FT.  MIX THAT
DOWN TO THE SURFACE ESPECIALLY IN ANY PRECIP/CONVECTION AND IT
LOOKS LIKE WERE IN FOR A BIT OF A BLOW.  HAVE DECIDED TO GO
WITH HIGH WIND WARNING OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATION ZONES OF
NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AS WELL AS THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS/FOOTHILLS
OF MAINE...WIND ADVISORY ELSEWHERE. THIS WILL FIT IN WELL WITH
ADJACENT FORECAST OFFICES THINKING.  COULD BE A RUMBLE OF
THUNDER WITH APPROACH OF FRONT.  WINDS WILL EASE FROM WEST TO
EAST THIS EVENING AND SHOULD DROP OFF CONSIDERABLY.  COLDER
AIR REGIME ON BACK SIDE OF FRONT TONIGHT WITH TEMPERATURES
GETTING DOWN TO AROUND FREEZING ESPECIALLY WHERE WINDS GO
SLACK.  WILL MENTION SCATTERED FROST AWAY FROM THE COASTAL
ZONES.

LONG TERM (FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...LOOK FOR TEMPERATURES TO
BOTTOM OUT AS HIGH PRESSURE FIRST BUILDS...THEN CRESTS OVER THE
FORECAST AREA BY FRIDAY NIGHT. WITH COOL...DRY AIR IN PLACE AND
THE ATMOSPHERE DECOUPLING...EXPECT MANY AREAS TO RECEIVE A FROST
FRIDAY NIGHT.

MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE DATABASE THROUGH DAY 3. OTHERWISE NO
CHANGES. RIDGE TO DOMINATE OUR WEATHER RIGHT THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK WITH MODERATING TEMPERATURES.

AVIATION...STRONG GUSTY WINDS DEVELOPING WITH LLWS POSSIBLE.
VFR EARLY DROPPING BACK TO MVFR DURING THE MORNING THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON...THEN BACK TO VFR OVERNIGHT.

MARINE...SHORT TERM...GALES THROUGH THIS EVENING.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...HIGH WIND WARNING FOR MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028 UNTIL
     MIDNIGHT FRIDAY.
NH...HIGH WIND WARNING FOR NHZ001>010-013-014 UNTIL 6 PM THURSDAY.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR ANZ150 UNTIL MIDNIGHT FRIDAY.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED TO INCLUDE THUNDERSTORMS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
707 AM EDT THU SEP 29 2005

ANZ150-MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028-NHZ001>010-013-014-300715-
STONINGTON ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT TO 25 NM-NORTHERN OXFORD-
NORTHERN FRANKLIN-CENTRAL SOMERSET-SOUTHERN OXFORD-
SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN SOMERSET-INTERIOR YORK-
INTERIOR CUMBERLAND-ANDROSCOGGIN-KENNEBEC-INTERIOR WALDO-
COASTAL YORK-COASTAL CUMBERLAND-SAGADAHOC-LINCOLN-KNOX-
COASTAL WALDO-NORTHERN COOS-SOUTHERN COOS-NORTHERN GRAFTON-
NORTHERN CARROLL-SOUTHERN GRAFTON-SOUTHERN CARROLL-SULLIVAN-
MERRIMACK-BELKNAP-STRAFFORD-INTERIOR ROCKINGHAM-
COASTAL ROCKINGHAM-
707 AM EDT THU SEP 29 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE...WESTERN MAINE...CENTRAL NEW HAMPSHIRE...THE COASTAL
WATERS FROM STONINGTON ME TO THE MERRIMACK RIVER MA AND
SOUTHEASTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT TODAY FOR NORTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE AND THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING FOR THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS
AND FOOTHILLS OF MAINE. A WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT TODAY FOR
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING FOR
SOUTHWESTERN MAINE. LASTLY...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTAIN
DAMAGING WINDS.  EXPECT TREE LIMBS TO BE DOWNED WITH SOME POWER
OUTAGES.  SEE PWMNPWGYX PRODUCT FOR DETAILS.

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL WATERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR HIGH WIND REPORTS OR ANY DAMAGE
TODAY THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING.