Damaging Wind in Louisiana, January 13, 2005

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
930 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005

.DISCUSSION...CURRENT GRIDS/FORECAST FOR TONIGHT LOOK GENERALLY ON
TRACK WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION DEVELOPING ACROSS
NORTHERN HALF OF FORECAST AREA AHEAD OF MAIN SQUALL LINE PROGRESSING
THROUGH ERN TX. NO UPDATE NEEDED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
CURRENT SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS SEVERAL SFC LOWS OVER W TX/OK PANHANDLE
...WITH A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS MUCH OF E TX/LA/AR THIS
AFTERNOON. WINDS ACROSS THE AREA HAVE REACHED THE 20 MPH MARK WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.

ALL ELEMENTS ARE FALLING IN PLACE FOR A SIGNIFICANT SQUALL LINE TO
MOVE THRU THE AREA TONIGHT AND THU MORNING. WILL LIKELY SEE SCT TSRA
FORM AHEAD OF THIS...WHICH IS WHERE A TORNADO THREAT WOULD EXIST.
ETA IS SHOOTING HELICITIES IN THE 350-400 RANGE JUST AHEAD OF THE
SQUALL LINE...WHICH COULD LEAD TO ISOLATED SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT.
MEANWHILE...CAPE WILL ONLY REACH 1000-1500 J/KG...MAINLY OVER SE
TX/S LA...WHICH IS EXPECTED FOR THE MIDDLE OF THE NIGHT. THE MAIN
SQUALL LINE WILL LIKELY ENTER TYLER COUNTY IN SE TX NEAR 1-2
AM...REACHING JAS & BPT BY 3-4 AM...LCH & AEX BY 5-6 AM...AND LFT BY
7-8 AM. THIS IS WHERE THE GREATEST STRAIGHT LINE WIND DAMAGE THREAT
WILL OCCUR.

ONCE THE SQUALL LINE AND COLD FRONT PASSES...INTERMITTENT SHRA/TSRA
WILL FOLLOW FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...WITH MUCH COOLER AIR TO
FILTER INTO THE AREA. IN FACT...TOMORROWS HIGHS WILL ONLY REACH THE
LOWER TO MID 60S...WHICH IS A BIT LOWER THAN THIS MORNINGS LOWS
BELIEVE IT OR NOT...THE LOWER TO MID 60S FOR HIGHS IS NORMAL FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR.

WHAT FOLLOWS IS A RETURN TO WINTER...WITH NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED
UNTIL LATE NEXT WEEK. WILL HAVE A SUCCESSION OF ARCTIC HIGHS
INFLUENCE OUR WEATHER INTO NEXT WEEK. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS
THAT THE MAIN BRUNT OF THE ARCTIC AIR WILL STAY NORTH INSTEAD OF
DIVING DUE SOUTH. THIS WILL RESULT IN NIGHT TIME LOWS RANGING IN
THE 30S AREAWIDE WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S TO NEAR 60 EACH DAY. HOWEVER
THIS EXTENDED OPINION HAS BEEN CHANGING FROM DAY TO DAY...SO KEEP
CHECKING BACK FOR FURTHER UPDATES FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

DML

&&

.AVIATION...
A LINE-OF-THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST TEXAS DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, AND WILL EXIT LAFAYETTE AND VICINITY AROUND NOON
ON THURSDAY. STORM CELLS, PROPAGATING SOUTH ALONG (OR PARALLEL TO)
THE LINE-OF-THUNDERSTORMS, WILL LIKELY BE STRONG, AND POSSIBLY
SEVERE. AT PRESENT, THE CURRENT THREAT IS DAMAGING DOWNDRAFT WINDS.

&&

.MARINE...
SCA UP FOR S WINDS 20 KNOTS AND SEAS 6-7 FEET TONIGHT...AND FOR POST
FRONTAL NORTHERLY WINDS AS WELL. WINDS WILL STAY N-NE 15 TO NEAR 20
KNOTS THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE SUCCESSION OF ARCTIC
HIGHS INFLUENCE OUR WEATHER.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
LCH  59  62  39  58 /  90  90   0   0
BPT  57  60  36  58 /  90  90   0   0
AEX  61  62  37  56 /  60  90   0   0
LFT  60  65  43  58 /  60  90   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...SCA...GMZ450-455-470-475.
TX...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...SCA...GMZ450-470.

&&

13

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
130 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005

GMZ450-455-470-475-LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-201-215-216-
131200-
ACADIA-ALLEN-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-CALCASIEU-CAMERON-
CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-EVANGELINE-HARDIN-IBERIA-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JEFFERSON DAVIS-LAFAYETTE-
LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO CAMERON, LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-LOWER ST MARTIN-
NEWTON-ORANGE-RAPIDES-ST LANDRY-ST MARY-TYLER-UPPER ST MARTIN-
VERMILION-VERNON-
130 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
A COLD SHOULD MOVE SOUTHEAST TO CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SABINE LAKE
BY SUNRISE THURSDAY. A SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF
THE FRONT. STORMS IN THE LINE COULD PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER THE LOUISIANA PART OF
THE FORECAST AREA AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA THURSDAY MORNING. BEHIND THE
FRONT...DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL PRODUCE QUIET WEATHER LATER
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
IT MAY BECOME NECESSARY TO CALL UPON STORM SPOTTERS, HAM RADIO
OPERATORS, AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL TO SUPPORT SEVERE
WEATHER OPERATIONS TONIGHT.

20

130530-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1125 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #7 HAS BEEN REMOVED FROM THE FOLLOWING
AREAS...

VERNON AND RAPIDES PARISHES IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #7...WHICH INCLUDES NORTHERN LOUISIANA...
INADVERTENTLY INCLUDED VERNON AND RAPIDES PARISHES IN CENTRAL
LOUISIANA. THESE PARISHES WERE NOT MEANT TO BE INCLUDED IN THE WATCH
AND THIS PRODUCT IS BEING ISSUED TO REMOVE THEM FROM THE WATCH.

REPEATING...VERNON AND RAPIDES PARISHES IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA ARE NOT
IN A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER IT SHOULD BE
NOTED THAT A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER REMAINS FOR THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS AND A WATCH MAY BE NEEDED LATER TONIGHT FOR THESE
AREAS.

LGE

LAZ027-028-131000-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...RETRANSMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1125 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #7 HAS BEEN REMOVED FROM THE FOLLOWING
AREAS...

VERNON AND RAPIDES PARISHES IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #7...WHICH INCLUDES NORTHERN LOUISIANA...
INADVERTENTLY INCLUDED VERNON AND RAPIDES PARISHES IN CENTRAL
LOUISIANA. THESE PARISHES WERE NOT MEANT TO BE INCLUDED IN THE WATCH
AND THIS PRODUCT IS BEING ISSUED TO REMOVE THEM FROM THE WATCH.

REPEATING...VERNON AND RAPIDES PARISHES IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA ARE NOT
IN A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER IT SHOULD BE
NOTED THAT A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER REMAINS FOR THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS AND A WATCH MAY BE NEEDED LATER TONIGHT FOR THESE
AREAS.

LGE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1140 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005

LAZ027-028-131000-
RAPIDES-VERNON-
1140 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #7 HAS BEEN REMOVED FROM THE FOLLOWING
AREAS...VERNON AND RAPIDES PARISHES IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #7...WHICH INCLUDES NORTHERN LOUISIANA...
INADVERTENTLY INCLUDED VERNON AND RAPIDES PARISHES IN CENTRAL
LOUISIANA. THESE PARISHES WERE NOT MEANT TO BE INCLUDED IN THE WATCH
AND THIS PRODUCT IS BEING ISSUED TO REMOVE THEM FROM THE WATCH.

REPEATING...VERNON AND RAPIDES PARISHES IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA ARE NOT
IN A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER IT SHOULD BE
NOTED THAT A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER REMAINS FOR THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS AND A WATCH MAY BE NEEDED LATER TONIGHT FOR THESE
AREAS.

LGE

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>