1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 28, 11:35 AM EST, 4 hours 35 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 1135 AM EST MON MAR 28 2005 .DISCUSSION... CURRENT SFC CHART SHOWING LOW PRESSURE MOVING NORTHEAST THROUGH TN VALLEY...WITH SECONDARY LOBE STILL MOVING THROUGH KENTUCKY. RADAR SHOWING A LULL IN HEAVIER ACTIVITY OF LAST NIGHT...BUT ALSO SHOWING DECENT RETURNS WITH WRAP AROUND MOISTURE TO OUR WEST. UPPER LEVEL LOW ALSO CURRENTLY MOVING EASTWARD THROUGH THE TN VALLEY. BIGGEST ISSUE IS WHETHER OR NOT TO CANCEL FLOOD WATCH. BASED ON CURRENT RADAR TRENDS...EXPECT THE THREAT FOR FLOODING IS ALL BUT GONE. HOWEVER...AS HAS BEEN THE CASE RECENTLY MODELS ARE HANDLING QPF AMOUNTS VERY POORLY. MORNING RUNS SHOWING AROUND AN ADDITIONAL HALF INCH ON AVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON WITH A REDEVELOPMENT IN SHOWER ACTIVITY. THE PROBLEM IS DO YOU BELIEVE IT. FCST SOUNDINGS ALSO SHOWING PWS OF AROUND AN INCH THIS AFTERNOON WITH ANY POTENTIAL CONVECTION. SATELLITE TRENDS ALSO SHOWING SOME SPOTTY...IF ONLY TEMPORARY BREAKS IN THE CLOUD COVER AS DECENT MARCH SUNLIGHT IS HELPING TO FIRE UP THE CU FIELD IN THOSE AREAS. AGAIN...EXPECT THE FLOODING POTENTIAL IS VERY LOW...BUT WITH UNCERTAINTY IN MODELS AND THE SLIGHT POTENTIAL FOR SOME ISOLATED PRECIP AMOUNTS NEAR FFG GUIDANCE...THOUGHTS ARE THAT LEAVING THE FLOOD WATCH OUT A FEW MORE HOURS COULD NOT HURT...OR AT LEAST UNTIL WE GET A BETTER FEEL FOR ANY ACTIVITY THAT MAY REDEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON IF DEFORMATION ZONE DOES NOT MOVE THROUGH QUICKLY ENOUGH. MORNING UPDATE WILL BE MAINLY FOR WORDING...BUT ALSO TO BRING HIGH TEMPS UP A FEW DEGREES...ESPECIALLY IN THE BLUE GRASS COUNTIES. WHERE THERE ARE BREAKS IN THE CLOUD COVER...TEMPS APPEAR TO BE JUMPING UP QUICKLY. A BRIEF 15 MINUTE BREAK HERE AT JKL ALLOWED TEMPS TO JUMP AROUND 5 DEGREES IN AS SHORT A TIME. UPDATED ZONES OUT SOON. && .PREV DISCUSSION... 608 AM EST MON MAR 28 2005 CURRENT SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER LOCATED OVER CENTRAL KENTUCKY. LATEST RADAR IMAGE SHOWS RAIN OVER THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA. RAIN SHOULD FILL BACK IN OVER THE ENTIRE CWA...AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES APPROACHES THE AREA. MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT FOR THE NEAR TERM...AS THE LOW PULLS EAST AND A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE AREA ON TUESDAY. EXPANDED THE FLOOD WATCH TO THE ENTIRE CWA AND EXTENDED THE WATCH UNTIL 6 PM. RAINFALL INCREASED IN INTENSITY AND COVERAGE DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...DROPPING OVER 2 INCHES OF RAIN IN KNOX AND CLAY COUNTIES. LEFT A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH SOUNDINGS SHOWING SOME INSTABILITY. WRAPAROUND PRECIPITATION WILL COME TO AN END FROM WEST TO EAST TONIGHT...AS THE LOW PULLS OFF TO THE EAST. WENT WITH CATEGORICAL POPS ACROSS THE BOARD TODAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY...AS THE GRADIENT TIGHTENS TODAY AND SHIFT AS THE LOW PASSES. TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY RISE A FEW DEGREES AT THE MOST WITH THICK CLOUD COVER. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY... BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS TO THE AREA TUESDAY AND MOST OF WEDNESDAY. WINDS WILL DECREASE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING...AS THE GRADIENT RELAXES. ADDED PATCHY FOG TO THE FORECAST...BUT WOULDNT BE SURPRISED TO SEE WIDESPREAD FOG FROM THE LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND NEARLY CALM WINDS TUESDAY MORNING. RIDGE/VALLEY SPLIT LOOKS GOOD ON TUESDAY NIGHT WITH CLEAR SKIES AND A WARM AIR ADVECTION PATTERN SETTING UP WITH LIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW. SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST INTO WEDNESDAY AND TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL. DID NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED. FOR TEMPERATURES...LEANED TOWARDS THE COOLER MAV NUMBERS FOR TODAY...WITH NORTHERLY/WESTERLY FLOW. WENT COOLER IN THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA FOR TONIGHT...AS LOW CLOUDS LINGER OVER THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL ON TUESDAY AND WELL ABOVE NORMAL ON WEDNESDAY WITH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW. FOR THE GRIDS GENERALLY LEANED CLOSER TO THE MAV NUMBERS. THE MAV NUMBERS ALSO SHOW THE COOLER TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE WEST TONIGHT AND IT PICKS UP ON THE RIDGE/VALLEY SPLIT TUESDAY NIGHT. 1150 PM EST SUN MAR 27 2005 UPDATED TO FRESHEN UP THE WORDING FOR THE FLOOD WATCH. REST OF THE FORECAST IS ON TRACK. SEE DISCUSSIONS BELOW. 1045 PM EST SUN MAR 27 2005 UPDATED MAINLY TO REMOVE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AS GENERAL RISK FOR LARGER HAIL IS DECREASING WITH TIME. STILL ASSESSING HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT AND WATCH...HOWEVER AT THIS POINT AM INCLINED TO LEAVE THE WATCH AS IS. GENERAL CONSENSUS OF KEEPING THE MAJORITY OF THE HEAVIEST RAIN OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE CWA CONTINUES TO BE THE TREND. THIS MATCHES UP WITH THE CURRENT WATCH ALREADY IN EFFECT. WILL ONLY FRESHEN UP THE WATCH WORDING BEFORE MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. 913 PM EST SUN MAR 27 2005 THE AREA IS CURRENTLY UNDER A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR ALL BUT THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE CWA. THUNDERSTORMS CAME ROLLING INTO THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE AREA ABOUT 6 PM EST TONIGHT. THERE WERE TWO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING ISSUED FOR WAYNE COUNTY AND ONE FOR MCCREARY...AND BELL COUNTIES. RADAR INDICATED SIGNIFICANT HAIL POTENTIAL WITH THESE STORMS WITH ELEVATED CORES OF 50 TO 55 DBS AND VILS WERE RUNNING ABOUT 30 TO 35. NO SEVERE WEATHER REPORTS HAVE COME IN YET...HOWEVER WE ARE ACTIVELY TRYING TO GET SOME. THE SEVERE POTENTIAL HAS REALLY FALLEN OFF THE LAST HOUR AND WILL MOST LIKELY CONTINUE TO DO SO AS THE EVENING GOES ON. THE MOST ACTIVE AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS WERE TO THE WEST OF THE JACKSON CWA AND THESE SHOULD BE MOVING INTO THE AREA AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST. THEY MAY BE A LULL IN PRECIPITATION FOR A FEW HOURS BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION MOVES IN FROM THE WEST. THE FORECAST WAS UPDATED FOR THE WATCHES AND TO INCREASE THE POPS FOR TONIGHT. THE REST OF THE FORECAST IS ON TRACK. 540 PM EST SUN MAR 27 2005 FOR THE PERIOD TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY... STILL NOT GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE DETAILS OF THE MODELS FOR THE MOST IMPORTANT ELEMENTS OF OUR FORECAST...1ST AND 2ND PERIOD RAINFALL. ALTHOUGH...THEY ARE DOING BETTER OVERALL THAN IN RECENT DAYS. THE ETA HAS ITS AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL OVER THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA...WHILE THE GFS IS NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE 12Z RUN OF THE ETA SEEMS TO BE VERIFYING BETTER IN ITS FIRST 12 HOURS TODAY THAN THE 12Z GFS IS. THIS DESPITE THE FACT THE THE AVAILABLE RUNS OF THE ECMWF AND UKMET SUPPORTED THE GFS MORE THAN THE ETA. HOWEVER...IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE OLD NGM DID RESEMBLE THE ETA. BECAUSE OF GROUND TRUTH TODAY...HAVE DECIDED TO GIVE THE ETA MUCH MORE CREDENCE FOR THE PRECIP AMOUNTS TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING. HAVE EXPANDED THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE A LITTLE BETTER THAN THE NORTHWESTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA. WOULD NOT RULE OUT SOME MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS THIS EVENING DUE TO LARGELY ELEVATED CONVECTION AS STORMS IN TN DEVELOP NORTHWARD. THREAT WOULD BE PRIMARILY HAIL. SHOWERS/RAIN IN WRAP-AROUND AREA OF STORM SYSTEM WILL WIND DOWN ON MONDAY...AND CLOUDS DECREASE LATE MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. FAIR WEATHER THEN LAST THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. ON WEDNESDAY THE NEXT COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND WOULD NOT RULE OUT A SHOWER OR STORM IN OUR N AND W COUNTIES IN THE WARM AIR ADVECTION. FOR TEMPS...THE MOST SIGNIFICANT ITEM IS A RIDGE/VALLEY TEMP SPLIT PUT IN ON TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH THE WARM AIR ADVECTION PATTERN AND LACK OF THICK OVERCAST BEING FAVORABLE FOR IT. FOR THE PERIOD WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY... GENERALLY FOLLOWED A BLEND OF THE ECMWF AND CANADIAN EARLY IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD. ON THURSDAY...ECMWF AND CANADIAN LIFT INITIAL SHORTWAVE AROUND CANADIAN UPPER LOW INTO THE GREAT LAKES WHILE THE GFS KEEPS ONE DEEPER TROF ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. WITH SFC FRONT SOMEWHERE IN THE VICINITY OF THE AREA...WILL INCREASE PRECIP CHANCES THUR. THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY WHEN UPPER TROF PASSES THROUGH EASTERN KENTUCKY...WITH ECMWF MUCH SLOWER THAN CANADIAN/GFS. WITH THE TREND OF THE ECMWF BEING FASTER WILL LEAN TOWARD CANADIAN/GFS SOLUTION OF ENDING PRECIP SATURDAY. ALSO WITH THIS FASTER TREND...WILL LOWER HIGHS A FEW DEGREES FRIDAY AND SATURDAY BEHIND SFC FRONT. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR KY ZONES... KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120 UNTIL 6 PM MONDAY. && RAY
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 604 AM EST MON MAR 28 2005 KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-291200- BATH-BELL-BREATHITT-CLAY-ELLIOTT-ESTILL-FLEMING-FLOYD-HARLAN-JACKSON- JOHNSON-KNOTT-KNOX-LAUREL-LEE-LESLIE-LETCHER-MAGOFFIN-MARTIN- MCCREARY-MENIFEE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-OWSLEY-PERRY-PIKE-POWELL-PULASKI- ROCKCASTLE-ROWAN-WAYNE-WHITLEY-WOLFE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BARBOURVILLE...BEATTYVILLE...BOONEVILLE... CAMPTON...FLEMINGSBURG...FRENCHBURG...HARLAN...HAZARD...HINDMAN... HYDEN...INEZ...IRVINE...JACKSON...LONDON...MANCHESTER...MCKEE... MIDDLESBORO...MONTICELLO...MOREHEAD...MOUNT STERLING... MOUNT VERNON...OWINGSVILLE...PAINTSVILLE...PIKEVILLE...PINEVILLE... PRESTONSBURG...SALYERSVILLE...SANDY HOOK...SOMERSET...STANTON... WEST LIBERTY...WHITESBURG...WHITLEY CITY AND WILLIAMSBURG 604 AM EST MON MAR 28 2005 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN...COMBINED WITH THE SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS FROM THE HEAVY RAINS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...WILL LEAD TO THE POTENTIAL OF FLASH FLOODING. SEE THE PRODUCT SDFFFAJKL FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS AS WELL. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. PATCHY DENSE FOG IS POSSIBLE TUESDAY MORNING. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CALL IN REPORTS OF INTENSE RAINFALL OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TODAY. JM
The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 67 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:09 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Heavy rains caused Fox Creek to spill over its banks in Muses Mills. Water was also reported over a road in Morehead.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2005Every state in 2005This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, March 2005
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5440467.