Flooding in Indiana, February 8 to 28, 2005

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
245 AM EST TUE FEB 8 2005

.DISCUSSION...CDFNT STRETCHED FROM ERN GRTLKES SW THRU INDIANA AND
INTO TX. AREAS OF -RA ALONG FNT. PLENTY OF LOW VISIBILITIES ALONG
AND JUST AHEAD OF FNT. BEHIND FNT...HIGH PRESSURE WAS BUILDING INTO
UPPER MIDWEST.

MODELS APPEAR TO BE IN DECENT AGREEMENT. WL USE BLEND.

MAIN FORECAST ISSUE WL BE PRECIP TYPE/AMOUNT WITH NEXT SYSTEM
TONIGHT INTO WED.

CDFNT WL CONT TO SLIDE EAST ACROSS CWA BY AFTERNOON. EXPECT TO
MAINTAIN LOW CLOUDS ONCE FNT EXITS FA. TIME SECTIONS AND BUFKIT
SUPPORT THIS. CAN ALSO EXPECT SOME -L TOWARD MORNING AND PATCHY FOG
WITH ALL OF THE MOISTURE LINGERING AROUND CWA. WL WORD ZFP
ACCORDINGLY. MOS GUIDANCES APPEARS ON TRACK CONSIDERING CLOUDS. WL
USE BLEND.

NEXT SYSTEM ENTERS PICTURE OVRNGT TONIGHT INTO WED. TROF SWINGS
ACROSS NRN SECTIONS OF CWA BY WED AFTERNOON. EXPECT TO SEE SOME
LIGHT PRECIP AMOUNTS WITH THIS FEATURE. MAIN SUPPORT WL BE FROM S/WV
AS IT MVS ACROSS CWA BETWEEN 12Z AND 18Z WED. DO NOT SEE MUCH
ISENTROPIC LIFT TO SPEAK OF WITH THIS EVENT. QFP VALUES ARE RATHER
MINIMAL ATTM (ONLY AROUND A FEW TENTHS). H85 TEMPS BEGIN TO FALL BY
06Z WED. BY 12Z WED...H85 TEMPS ARE BELOW ZERO ACROSS ENTIRE CWA.
BUKFIT INDICATES PRECIP STARTING AS -RA ACROSS CENTRAL CWA BY
CHANGING TO -SN BY 12Z. NORTH OF I-70...THE CHNGOVR SHOULD OCCUR A
BIT SOONER (AROUND 08Z). SRN CWA CAN EXPECT TO SEE SOME -SN MIX WITH
-RA INITIALLY THEN -SHSN WL BE LIKELY THERE. ALL IN ALL...EXPECT
SNOWFALL TOTALS TO BE RATHER LIGHT. TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS NORTH WL
BE AROUND ONE INCH WITH ONLY A DUSTING TO A FEW TENTHS ACROSS
CENTRAL. SRN AREAS CAN EXPECT ONLY TRACE AMOUNTS. MOS NUMBERS ARE
DOING RATHER WELL OVRNGT TONIGHT INTO WED. SEE NO REASON TO DEVIATE
MUCH HERE (OTHER THAN FWC TO COLD FOR WED). WL USE BLEND.

LOW CLOUDS WL LINGER AROUND CWA THRU THUR. BY FRI...HIGH PRESSURE WL
GIVE THE AREA A BREAK FROM THE SOGGY WEATHER. NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIP
WL OCCUR SAT NGT INTO SUN.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

BIELINSKI

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
631 AM EST MON FEB 7 2005

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-081122-
BARTHOLOMEW-BOONE-BROWN-CARROLL-CLAY-CLINTON-DAVIESS-DECATUR-
DELAWARE-FOUNTAIN-GREENE-HAMILTON-HANCOCK-HENDRICKS-HENRY-HOWARD-
JACKSON-JENNINGS-JOHNSON-KNOX-LAWRENCE-MADISON-MARION-MARTIN-MONROE-
MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-OWEN-PARKE-PUTNAM-RANDOLPH-RUSH-SHELBY-SULLIVAN-
TIPPECANOE-TIPTON-VERMILLION-VIGO-WARREN-
631 AM EST MON FEB 7 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

FOG IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT. OTHERWISE, NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER
IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOW OR FREEZING
DRIZZLE TO PORTIONS OF THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...MAINLY
NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70. AT THIS TIME, ANY ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN LESS THAN ONE INCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&
MORE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT OUR WEBSITE...

HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/IND