Illinois, 2005Flash Flood in Illinois, November 15, 2005
November 15, 2005 · NWS PAH · 1 event in 1 county or zone
1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $10,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 15, 1:42 AM CST, 48 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 15, 1:42 AM CST, 48 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
142 AM CST TUE NOV 15 2005
.DISCUSSION...
MAIN NEAR TERM FORECAST CONCERNS ARE SEVERE WEATHER/HEAVY RAIN
CHANCES FROM CURRENT TIME THROUGH THIS EVENING...AND TEMPS
ESPECIALLY TODAY INTO TONIGHT.
ALL BUT FAR NORTHERN COUNTIES OF THE PAH CWA ARE IN A TORNADO WATCH
UNTIL 5AM CST. LATEST RADAR SHOWS THUNDERSTORMS TRAINING ACROSS
AREAS FROM CARTER AND WAYNE COUNTIES IN MISSOURI...TO UNION AND
WILLIAMSON COUNTIES IN ILLINOIS...TO UNION AND HENDERSON COUNTIES IN
KENTUCKY. HAVE HAD SOME FLOODING REPORTS...ESPECIALLY URBAN
AREAS...ACROSS AREAS IN THIS HEAVIER BAND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS.
GFS...WHICH SEEMS TO HAVE A BETTER HANDLE ON CURRENT
PRECIP...INDICATES HEAVIEST PRECIP AREA WILL LIFT NORTH OF THE PAH
FA AFTER 12Z AS WARM FRONT MOVES FARTHER NORTH. WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN FOR ADDITIONAL URBAN AND SMALL
STREAM/FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS...BUT WITH HEAVY RAIN ALREADY OCCURRING
AND EXPECTING THE BAND OF HEAVIEST RAIN TO MOVE NORTH OF THESE AREAS
IN THE NEXT 4 TO 6 HOURS...WILL NOT ISSUE A FLOOD WATCH AT THIS LATE
TIME.
ON TO THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT...WITH SPC INCLUDING THE ENTIRE PAH
CWA IN A HIGH RISK...OBVIOUSLY WILL CONTINUE WITH SEVERE MENTION IN
TODAYS ZONES. GFS IS SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN THE NAM WITH THE
LOW...PUTTING IT OVER STL BY 18Z...BUT OVERALL POSITIONING IS VERY
SIMILAR WITH GFS MAYBE JUST A COUPLE OF HOURS FASTER THAN THE NAM.
LOOKS LIKE PRIME TIME FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE FROM LATE MORNING
INTO VERY EARLY EVENING...WITH PRECIP ENDING VERY QUICKLY FROM WEST
TO EAST DURING THE EVENING HOURS. CURRENT GRID TIMING AND
CATEGORICAL POPS LOOK GOOD AND WILL NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES. ONLY
TWEAK TO TODAY WILL BE TO INCLUDE DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND
TORNADOES NOW THAT WE ARE IN A HIGH RISK.
TEMPS TODAY WILL BE TRICKY. AT 07Z...WITH WARM FRONT EXTENDING FROM
ALONG THE SOUTHERN MISSOURI BORDER...TO NORTH OF PAH...TO JUST NORTH
OF EVV...TEMPS RANGE FROM 68 DEGREES AT PAH AND HOP...TO 48 DEGREES
AT MVN. TEMPS SOUTH OF THE FRONT ARE ALREADY NEAR OR WARMER THAN
THE FORECAST HIGHS OF THE MAV AND MET...SO WILL LOOK TO THE WARMEST
FWC FOR GUIDANCE. OVERALL EXPECT TO GO WITH A MID 60S NORTH TO
LOWER 70S SOUTH.
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...A MAJOR COOL DOWN WILL FOLLOW. TEMPS WILL
FALL TO 20 TO 30 DEGREES LOWER THAN WE HAVE BEEN HAVING...WHICH WILL
BE ABOUT 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. BY LATE IN THE WEEK...TEMPS WILL
MODERATE TO NEAR SEASONAL.
GFS DOES SHOW A COUPLE OF WEAK...DRY COLD FRONTS MOVING ACROSS THE
REGION DURING THE DAY FRIDAY...THEN ANOTHER SATURDAY NIGHT. SO FAR
ONLY EFFECTS LOOK LIKE MAYBE SOME INCREASE IN CLOUDS...BUT...BASED
ON LATEST MEX GUIDANCE...DO NOT EXPECT ANY SIGNIFICANT TEMPERATURE
DIFFERENCES.
MADE SOME CHANGES TO THE NEAR TERM TEMPS...STICKING PRETTY CLOSE TO
SLIGHTLY WARMER MAV VALUES. IN THE EXTENDED...MADE SOME VERY MINOR
TWEAKS LATE IN THE EXTENDED BASED ON LATEST MEX GUIDANCE.
&&
.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&
RST
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 14, 4:48 PM CST, 9 hours 42 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
448 PM CST MON NOV 14 2005
ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-152300-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...FAIRFIELD...ALBION...
MOUNT CARMEL...PINCKNEYVILLE...WEST FRANKFORT...MCLEANSBORO...
CARMI...CARBONDALE...MURPHYSBORO...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...
SHAWNEETOWN...JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...
CAIRO...MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...FORT BRANCH...PETERSBURG...
POSEYVILLE...EVANSVILLE...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...HICKMAN...
CLINTON...BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SMITHLAND...
BENTON...MURRAY...MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...PRINCETON...
MORGANFIELD...DIXON...MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...HENDERSON...
OWENSBORO...CALHOUN...GREENVILLE...ELKTON...PERRYVILLE...
MARBLE HILL...CAPE GIRARDEAU...JACKSON...PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN...
DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF...BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON...CHARLESTON...
NEW MADRID
448 PM CST MON NOV 14 2005
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS TONIGHT...MAINLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT. A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTHWARD USHERING IN MUCH WARMER
AND MORE MOIST AIR TO THE REGION TONIGHT. IT WILL PROVIDE A FOCUS
FOR THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY NEAR THE OHIO RIVER AROUND MIDNIGHT.
INSTABILITY WILL BE RATHER MEAGER...BUT WIND FIELDS WILL BE STRONG
ENOUGH TO SUPPORT A FEW SEVERE STORMS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
DAMAGING WINDS. A FEW TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT.
THERE WILL ALSO BE SOME POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGHOUT
THE AREA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. THE AREA OF GREATEST CONCERN FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE ALONG THE OHIO RIVER...WHERE UP TO 2 INCHES WILL
BE POSSIBLE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER THROUGHOUT THE REGION
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...AS A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES RAPIDLY EASTWARD.
A WARM FRONT IS FORECAST TO LIFT NORTH OF THE AREA TUESDAY
MORNING...ALLOWING A WARM AND MOIST AIRMASS TO SPREAD NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION AHEAD OF THE FRONT. AS THE FRONT ENTERS
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI JUST AFTER NOON...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP AND QUICKLY BECOME SEVERE. THE STORMS WILL MOVE RAPIDLY
TO THE EAST NORTHEAST...AND ARE EXPECTED TO CLEAR THE ENTIRE AREA
BY 6 OR 7 PM.
ONE LIMITING FACTOR FOR SEVERE WEATHER TUESDAY WILL BE THE AMOUNT
OF INSTABILITY AVAILABLE AHEAD OF THE FRONT. PLENTIFUL CLOUD COVER
AND RECENT RAINFALL MAY PREVENT ANY SIGNIFICANT HEATING AND
THEREFORE LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY AVAILABLE TO THE STORMS.
CONFIDENCE IN A SUFFICIENT AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY FOR SEVERE
WEATHER IS GREATEST IN THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA...BUT
WIND FIELDS IN THE NORTH MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH TO OVERCOME THE
RELATIVE LACK OF INSTABILITY.
IT IS UNCERTAIN WHETHER OR NOT THE STORMS WILL REMAIN ISOLATED OR
FORM INTO A LINE AS THEY MOVE EAST ACROSS THE AREA. THERE WILL BE
A THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES WITH ANY ISOLATED SUPERCELL
STORMS. DAMAGING WINDS AND TO A LESSER EXTENT LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO
BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY ISOLATED STORMS. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BECOME THE
MAIN THREAT WITH THE STORMS IF THEY FORM A LINE...BUT A FEW
TORNADOES WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE.
BRIEF TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO EXPECTED WITH THE STORMS...WHICH
COULD CAUSE SOME RUNOFF PROBLEMS...ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE NEAR
SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS LIKELY TO EXIST AFTER THE HEAVY
PRECIPITATION TONIGHT.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT...AND WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
DRS
In the hours before
Local storm report, Nov 14, 9:46 PM CST, 4 hours 44 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
946 PM CST MON NOV 14 2005
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0941 PM HAIL VILLA RIDGE 37.16N 89.19W
11/14/2005 0.25 INCH PULASKI IL EMERGENCY MNGR
&&
SMITTYLocal storm report, Nov 14, 9:47 PM CST, 4 hours 43 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
947 PM CST MON NOV 14 2005
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0941 PM HAIL MOUNDS 37.11N 89.20W
11/14/2005 0.25 INCH PULASKI IL EMERGENCY MNGR
&&
SMITTYLocal storm report, Nov 14, 10:20 PM CST, 4 hours 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1020 PM CST MON NOV 14 2005
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1010 PM FLOOD MORGANFIELD 37.68N 87.91W
11/14/2005 UNION KY LAW ENFORCEMENT
STATE POLICE BLOCKING ROADS DUE TO FLOODING THROUGHOUT
COMMUNITY.
&&
SMITTYLocal storm report, Nov 15, 12:19 AM CST, 2 hours 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1219 AM CST TUE NOV 15 2005
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1210 AM FLASH FLOOD HENDERSON 37.84N 87.58W
11/15/2005 HENDERSON KY LAW ENFORCEMENT
REPORTS OF SEVERAL INDIVIDUALS STRANDED IN VEHICLES. ONE
HOUSE FLOODED AND BEING EVACUATED.
&&
SMITTYLocal storm report, Nov 15, 12:21 AM CST, 2 hours 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1221 AM CST TUE NOV 15 2005
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1210 AM FLASH FLOOD MORGANFIELD 37.68N 87.91W
11/15/2005 UNION KY LAW ENFORCEMENT
SEVERAL ROADS CLOSED BY 18 INCHES OF WATER. HALF OF ROADS
IN THE COMMUNITY OF STURGIS AREA CLOSED DUE TO STANDING
WATER. HIGHWAY 60 IS FLOODING IN SPOTS.
&&
SMITTYLocal storm report, Nov 15, 12:41 AM CST, 1 hour 49 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1241 AM CST TUE NOV 15 2005
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1230 AM HEAVY RAIN CAPE GIRARDEAU 37.31N 89.55W
11/15/2005 0.00 INCH CAPE GIRARDEAU MO EMERGENCY MNGR
FEW STREETS FLOODED IN CAPE GIRARDEAU AND LOW WATER
BRIDGES FLOODED IN THE COMMUNITY OF JACKSON.
&&
SMITTYFlash Flood, Williamson
- When
- November 15, 2:30 AM CST to 9:20 AM CST
- Where
- Williamson County, Countywide
- Property damage
- $10,000
- Reported by
- EMERGENCY MANAGER
- Coordinates
- 37.733, -88.933
A school bus was swept off the road about six miles southeast of Marion. The water was estimated to be 5 feet deep. The bus driver, who was the only person on the bus, was rescued by a fire department boat. In the Marion area, residents of South Future were evacuated, but floodwaters receded quickly due to recent flood abatement projects. A number of roads were closed due to flooding, including Route 37 south of Marion and Old Route 13 between Marion and Highway 148. Many side roads were flooded through the Creal Springs area.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Tornado in Kentucky, November 15, 200540 injured · $31 million · F4 · 1 event
- Tornadoes in Kentucky, November 15, 20051 death · 20 injured · $8.6 million · F3 · 4 events
- Tornadoes and Hail in Indiana, November 15, 200532 injured · $17 million · F3 · 23 events
- Tornadoes and Flash Flooding in Tennessee, November 15, 200514 injured · $7.4 million · F2 · 25 events
- Tornadoes in Tennessee, November 15, 2005$1.6 million · F2 · 4 events
- Tornadoes in Tennessee, November 15, 2005$656,000 · F2 · 3 events
- Tornadoes in Tennessee, November 15, 2005$451,000 · F2 · 3 events
- Damaging Wind and High Wind in Michigan, November 15 to 16, 20052 injured · $7.4 million · 52 kt wind · 20 events
- Rip Current in Florida, November 15, 20051 death · 1 event
- Tornado in Tennessee, November 15, 20051 injured · $100,000 · F2 · 1 event
- Tornado in Kentucky, November 15, 2005$100,000 · F2 · 1 event
- Tornadoes in Tennessee, November 15, 2005$20,000 · F2 · 2 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5480611.