Wildfire in Idaho, August 13 to 28, 2005

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO IDAHO
825 PM MDT FRI AUG 12 2005

.DISCUSSION...GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY COTNINUE THIS
EVENING AND SHOULD DEMINISH IN ANOTHER HOUR. THERFORE WILL LET THE
RED FLAG WARNING EXPIRE AT 900 PM. INDICATIONS OF LIGHTNING WITH
SHOWERS IN THE UPPER SNAKE HIGHLANDS HAS ENDED THIS EVENING. STILL
HAVE STEEP LAPSE RATES WITH COLD POOL ALOFT AND SECOND SHORT WAVE IN
SATELLITE IMAGERY JUST NOW ENTERING THE PAN HANDLE. THAT WAVE
COMPLETES THE SWING THROUGH THE UPPER SNAKE HIGHLANDS AROUND MID DAY
SATURDAY SO WILL KEEP THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS GOING UNTIL THEN.
RS

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...ISSUED 245 PM MDT FRI AUG 12 2005. VIGOROUS
CONVECTION DEVELOPING ALONG THE DIVIDE IN NE ID AS THE UPPER WAVE
PUSHES INTO THE AREA. THE UPPER WAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TO THE EAST
THIS EVENING...SO EXPECTING CONVECTION TO REMAIN MAINLY OVER THE NRN
CWA.

COOLER AIR WILL MOVE OUT OF MT INTO CENTRAL AND ERN ID TONIGHT
RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER TEMPS FOR THE WEEKEND. THE COOLEST
TEMPS ARE EXPECTED SUN MORNING WITH READINGS DROPPING INTO THE UPPER
30S IN THE UPPER SNAKE RIVER PLAIN. TEMPS BEGIN TO RECOVER ON SUNDAY
AS WRLY FLOW ALOFT REPLACES THE COOLER NW FLOW. WEAKER WRNLY FLOW
ALOFT PERSISTS THRU THE REAT OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW MAX TEMPS
TO WARM BACK INTO THE MIDDLE 80S. THE GFS IS BRINGING MID LVL MSTR
BACK INTO THE CWA BY TUE...THUS WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT OF MAINLY
AFTN/EVE TSTMS. THE BEST CHANCES...ALTHOUGH STILL RATHER LOW...WILL
BE IN THE MTNS.  HEDGES

&&

.AVIATION...SCT TSTMS WITH POSSIBLE SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WILL
BE A THREAT INTO THE EVENING NEAR THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE AND THE
CENTRAL MTNS.  THIS WILL MAINLY AFFECT TWEB ROUTE 340 FROM
KIDA-KSMN. THE REST OF THE AREA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN VFR.  HEDGES

&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNING/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 406 407 409 410 412 AND 413
FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. PLEASE REFER TO BOIRFWPIH FOR DETAILS.
&&

WEATHER INFORMATION ON-LINE 24-HOURS A DAY
(ALL LOWER-CASE LETTERS)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/POCATELLO

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
400 AM MDT SAT AUG 13 2005

IDZ017>025-031-032-141200-
LOST RIVER/PASHIMEROI-CACHE VALLEY/IDAHO PORTION-
SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-WASATCH MOUNTAINS/IDAHO PORTION-
LOWER SNAKE RIVER PLAIN-SAWTOOTH MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MAGIC VALLEY-
BIG AND LITTLE WOOD RIVER REGION-UPPER SNAKE RIVER PLAIN-
CARIBOU HIGHLANDS-UPPER SNAKE HIGHLANDS-
400 AM MDT SAT AUG 13 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN IDAHO

.DAY ONE...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
WE ASK ALL TRAINED SPOTTERS TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS.
THIS WOULD INCLUDE ALL HAIL...WIND...HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING REPORTS.
THIS INFORMATION SHOULD BE CALLED INTO THE LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE IN POCATELLO USING THE 1-800 SEVERE WEATHER HOTLINE...
OR OTHER STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.