Damaging Wind in Georgia, April 30, 2005

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
820 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2005

.UPDATE...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 216 IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
INTERIOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA UNTIL 2 PM EDT. INTENSE AND LARGE SQUALL
LINE EXTENDING FROM NORTH GEORGIA TO SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA CONTINUES TO
ADVANCE EAST. THIS LINE IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
AND POSSIBLY INTO THE SUWANNEE VALLEY REGION OF NORTH FLORIDA
AROUND MIDDAY. WILL UPDATE ZONE PACKAGE TO INCLUDE WATCH HEADLINES
AS WELL AS TO INCREASE POPS ACROSS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

&&

.SHORT TERM...MAIN CONCERN WILL BE THE THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF THE
COLD FRONT LATER TODAY. MODELS ARE CONSISTENT WITH TIMING OF THE
EVENT. STORMS WILL MOVE INTO NWRN ZONES BY 2 PM...SUWANNEE VALLEY
BY 5 PM...JAX BY 10 PM AND SRN ZONES IN THE WEE HOURS OF SUNDAY
MORNING. DECENT WAA THIS AFTERNOON ALONG WITH INCREASING PWATS WILL
ALLOW ISOLATED CONVECTION TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF A SQUALL LINE. THUS
WILL KEEP CHANCE POPS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA THEN LIKELY POPS FOR THE
MAIN LINE OF STORMS AS THEY TRAVERSE THE AREA DURING THE AFTN AND
EVNG HOURS. SPC HAS PLACED THE REGION IN A SLGT RISK FOR SEVERE
STORMS WHICH MOSTLY WILL HAVE STRONG WINDS AND HAIL. MAX TEMPS WILL
HAVE PLENTY OF TIME TO REACH MID 80S OVER HALF OF CWA BEFORE TSTMS
ARRIVE.

MODELS NO LONGER STALL THE FRONT ON SUNDAY...BUT TAKE IT WELL SOUTH
OF THE AREA. TEMPS WILL BE BRIEFLY COOLER SUNDAY/MONDAY WITH SHALLOW
LAYER OF COOL AIR. NE FLOW WILL KEEP THE COAST IN THE 70S DURING THE
AFTN BUT INLAND WILL BE AROUND 80.

.LONG TERM...TEMPS WILL GRADUALLY WARM TO NEAR CLIMO THROUGH END OF
WEEK. UNSETTLED WEATHER IS THE BUZZ WORD FOR THE WORK WEEK WITH THE
FRONT LIFTING NWD AS A WARM FRONT THEN A SERIES OF GULF OF MEXICO
DISTURBANCES RIDE ALONG THE FRONT. WILL KEEP THE LOW CHANCE PRECIP
DURING THE PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...SLY FLOW WILL INCREASE TODAY AND WILL KEEP SCEC GOING FOR
ALL WATERS. ONSHORE FLOW SETS UP FOLLOWING THE COLD FRONT WITH
WINDS VEERING TO EAST ON MONDAY.

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

ZAPPE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
815 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2005

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-011000-
ALACHUA-APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-BAKER-BRADFORD-BRANTLEY-
CAMDEN (COASTAL)-CAMDEN (INLAND)-CHARLTON-CLAY-CLINCH-COFFEE-
COLUMBIA-DUVAL-ECHOLS-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-GLYNN (COASTAL)-
GLYNN (INLAND)-HAMILTON-JEFF DAVIS-MARION-NASSAU-PIERCE-PUTNAM-
ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION-WARE-WAYNE-
815 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2005

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA UNTIL 2 PM EDT...
...A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS IN PLACE FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...
APPLING...ATKINSON...BACON...COFFEE AND JEFF DAVIS.

AN INTENSE SQUALL LINE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH A SLIGHT RISK OF STRONG AND DAMAGING
WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

THE SANTA FE RIVER CONTINUES ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...WITH SLOWLY FALLING
CONDITIONS FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST
FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT
TUESDAY...AND WILL APPROACH THE REGION LATE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...AS WELL AS PERIODS OF
HEAVY RAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED. PLEASE RELAY ANY REPORTS OF
SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND LOCAL COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAX.

MKT/HESS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
815 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2005

GAZ132>135-149-301800-
APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-
815 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
NUMBER 216 FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA THROUGH 200 PM EDT.

THIS WATCH INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN SOUTH GEORGIA...APPLING...ATKINSON...BACON...COFFEE...JEFF DAVIS.

HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.

ECZ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1155 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2005

GAZ132-133-149-301700-

ATKINSON GA-COFFEE GA-JEFF DAVIS GA-
1155 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2005

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ATKINSON...COFFEE
AND JEFF DAVIS COUNTIES FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORM WINDS AND HAIL VALID
UNTIL 100 PM EDT...

AT 1155 AM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF EASTMAN TO 12 MILES SOUTH OF SYLVESTER...
MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. THIS CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL
AFFECT AREAS AROUND PRIDGEN...AMBROSE...SNIPESVILLE...BROXTON...
WILLACOOCHEE...HAZLEHURST...DENTON AND WEST GREEN BETWEEN 1230 AND
100 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING
AREAS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 2 PM EDT.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR YOU CAN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE DIRECTLY AT 1-800-499-1594.

ZAPPE