Hail in Florida, July 2, 2005

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
242 PM EDT SAT JUL 2 2005

.DISCUSSION...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS FROM THE SOUTHERN BAHAMAS
THROUGH THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS IS RESULTING
IN LIGHT SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER SOUTH FLORIDA. TEMPERATURES ON THE
SOUTHEAST COAST ARE NEAR 90...WITH UPPER 80S ELSEWHERE. A TROUGH
OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDS FROM NEW ENGLAND THROUGH THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE. LOOKING SOUTH...A TROPICAL WAVE IS EVIDENT OVER WESTERN
CUBA...TO THE SOUTHEAST OF AN UPPER LOW.

FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON...CONVERGENCE OF THE SOUTHWEST
BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY THE RIDGE WITH
WESTERLY FLOW SOUTH OF THE TROUGH WILL RESULT IN SLIGHTLY BETTER
RAIN CHANCES OVER AREAS NEAR THE LAKE THAN IN THE SOUTHERN TIP OF
THE PENINSULA. FOR OVERNIGHT...EXPECT A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS TO FORM
OVER ATLANTIC WATERS BY MORNING.

SUNDAY THROUGH MIDWEEK...THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL SHIFT NORTH INTO
SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH SUNDAY. BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW WILL WEAKEN AS A
RESULT. LIGHT SOUTHEAST FLOW IS EXPECTED BY LATE SUNDAY OVER
EAST COAST. MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY SEA BREEZE
INFLUENCES ACTING AS FOCI FOR AFTERNOON CONVECTION...MAINLY OVER
THE INTERIOR AREAS...AS WELL AS MODERATING TEMPERATURES. DIDNT GO
AS HIGH AS GUIDANCE TEMPS FOR MONDAY AS A RESULT. MODELS ALSO SHOW
SOMEWHAT DRIER AIR MOVING IN...THUS LOWER RAIN CHANCES SLIGHT
ACROSS THE BOARD. THE WAVE TO THE SOUTH WILL BE NO FACTOR TO LOCAL
WEATHER IT SHIFTS INTO THE GULF.

.EXTENDED PERIOD...EASTERLY FLOW WILL BECOME A LITTLE MORE
ENHANCED ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AHEAD OF A ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE
MOVING SOUTH OF CUBA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...PER GFSLR AND NOGAPS.
DIURNAL CONVECTION PATTERNS IN PLAY FAVORING THE INTERIOR AND WEST COAST.

&&

.MARINE...FAIRLY LIGHT FLOW AND NEARLY FLAT SEAS THROUGH MIDWEEK
UNDER HIGH PRESSURE INFLUENCE. SLIGHT INCREASE BY LATE WEAK AS
WINDS INCREASE A LITTLE.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO HIGHLIGHTS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  75  91  78  91 /  30  40  20  20
FORT LAUDERDALE  77  90  79  90 /  20  30  20  20
MIAMI            78  90  79  90 /  20  30  20  20
NAPLES           76  91  76  92 /  20  40  20  20

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

CHRISTENSEN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
427 AM EDT SAT JUL 2 2005

FLZ063-066>075-030830-
GLADES-HENDRY-PALM BEACH WESTERN-PALM BEACH EASTERN-
WESTERN COLLIER-EASTERN COLLIER-WESTERN BROWARD-
BROWARD METROPOLITAN-WESTERN DADE-DADE METROPOLITAN-
MAINLAND MONROE-
427 AM EDT SAT JUL 2 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTH FLORIDA
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOST
CONCENTRATED FROM THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION TO THE PALM BEACH
COAST. THE MAIN IMPACTS FROM THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FREQUENT
LIGHTNING AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS, WHICH COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING OF
POORLY DRAINED AND LOW LYING AREAS.

TEMPERATURES: HIGH TEMPERATURES OF 90 TO 95 DEGREES ALONG WITH
HIGH HUMIDITY WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE IT IS AROUND 100 DEGREES
ALONG THE COAST TO 105 DEGREES INTERIOR AREAS THIS AFTERNOON.
AS THE HEAT INDEX REACHES 105 DEGREES OR HIGHER, SUNSTROKE, HEAT
CRAMPS, OR HEAT EXHAUSTION BECOME LIKELY AND HEAT STROKE BECOMES
POSSIBLE WITH PROLONGED EXPOSURE OR PHYSICAL ACTIVITY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.MIAMIWEATHER.INFO.