Arkansas, 2005Flash Flood in Arkansas, January 12 to 13, 2005
January 12 to 13, 2005 · NWS LZK · 1 event in 1 county or zone
1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 12, 3:00 PM CST, 7 hours 45 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 12, 3:00 PM CST, 7 hours 45 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
300 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005
.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
UPPER TROF WILL MOVE TOWARD THE AREA TONIGHT AND MOVE ACROSS EARLY
THURSDAY. AN OLD ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT
AND SHOULD BE TO THE EAST OF THE AREA BY 12Z THURSDAY. EXPECT A SQUALL
LINE TO DEVELOP TO THE WEST THIS EVENING AND MARCH EAST ACROSS THE
AREA DURING THE NIGHT. FIGURE ON LINE REACHING WESTERN AREAS AROUND
02Z OR 03Z...PROGRESSING ACROSS THE LITTLE ROCK METRO AREA AROUND
06Z THEN MOVING OUT OF THE EAST AROUND 10Z. THIS COULD EASILY
FLUCTUATE AND HOUR OR TWO BUT WILL GO WITH THAT TREND. WENT WITH 100
PERCENT POPS FOR THE TIME PERIOD I EXPECT THE SQUALL LINE TO MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA WITH LOWER POPS BEFORE AND AFTER. MENTIONED HEAVY
RAIN AND SEVERE IN THE GRIDS WHERE POPS WERE 80 PERCENT OR GREATER.
STILL LOOKS LIKE MOSTLY A WIND DAMAGE EVENT AS INSTABILITY WILL BE
MARGINAL WHILE DYNAMICS ARE STRONG. BY 12Z THURSDAY...EXPECT THE ROUGH
WEATHER TO BE TO THE EAST OF THE AREA BUT RESIDUAL MOISTURE REMAINS
IN THE EASTERN HALF ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE UPPER TROF. CONTINUED
SMALL POPS FOR THURSDAY MORNING IN EAST. TEMP FORECASTS FOR TONIGHT
WILL BE TRICKY BUT WENT FAIRLY CLOSE TO MAV MOS. TEMPS MAY CONTINUE
TO FALL A LITTLE MORE THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE MAKING A SMALL RECOVERY
REACHING MAXES SHORTLY AFTER NOON THEN STARTING TO FALL OFF. CLOUDS
SHOULD DECREASE THURSDAY NIGHT AND A DRY AND COLD PERIOD WILL BEGIN
ON FRIDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH DOMINATING UNDER QUASI
ZONAL FLOW ALOFT.
&&
.LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
COLD AND DRY PATTERN WILL BE IN PLACE THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH HIGH
PRESSURE TO THE NORTH. LOOKS LIKE SOME REINFORCING ARCTIC FRONTS
MOVE THROUGH OVER THE WEEKEND AND ON MONDAY...AND ANOTHER ONE NEXT
WEDNESDAY. SOME MOISTURE IS PROGGED WITH THE FRONT SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY BUT WILL LEAVE MENTION OF PRECIPITATION OUT FOR NOW. APPEARS
ANY PRECIP WITH THIS WOULD BE LIGHT SNOW BASED ON FORECAST 1000-500
THICKNESS VALUES.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
LITTLE ROCK AR 48 57 27 45 / 100 20 0 0
HARRISON AR 37 44 20 38 / 100 10 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 48 55 28 45 / 100 10 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 50 58 28 47 / 100 20 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 38 46 20 38 / 100 10 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 52 59 29 49 / 100 30 0 0
SEARCY AR 46 55 25 44 / 100 20 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 48 53 27 45 / 100 10 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 44 49 25 42 / 100 10 0 0
&&
.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL
400 AM CST THURSDAY FOR ZONES ARZ003>007...
ARZ012>016...ARZ021>025...ARZ030>034...ARZ037>047...ARZ052>057...
ARZ062>069.
&&
29
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 12, 5:05 PM CST, 5 hours 40 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
505 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005
ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-131100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
505 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT
LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN THIS EVENING AS IT
APPROACHES ARKANSAS. SOUTH WINDS ACROSS ALL SECTIONS OF THE STATE
WILL BE STRONG AND GUSTY AT TIMES. THUS...A LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS IN
EFFECT FOR THE AREA THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.
THE GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE MOISTURE LEVELS IN THE
ATMOSPHERE. THESE AND OTHER FACTORS WILL COMBINE TO INCREASE THE
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE STATE TONIGHT.
A SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED TO FORM IN ADVANCE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT.
AS THE LINE MOVES EAST...IT WILL TRIGGER STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DAMAGING
WINDS...LARGE HAIL...HEAVY RAINS...AND EVEN ISOLATED TORNADOES.
PERSONS ACROSS ARKANSAS ARE REMINDED TO MONITOR LATER STATEMENTS AND
FORECASTS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TODAY CONCERNING THE
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL. REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND
TAKE THE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS IF A WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA.
THE COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE RAPIDLY THROUGH ARKANSAS
OVERNIGHT...AND IT IS EXPECTED TO EXIT THE STATE AROUND SUNRISE
THURSDAY.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
A SIGNIFICANT COOL DOWN WILL TAKE PLACE THURSDAY...AS COLDER AIR
SPREADS ACROSS THE STATE FROM THE NORTHWEST. ALTHOUGH COLD WEATHER
WILL MOVE INTO ARKANSAS...PRECIPITATION WILL HAVE ENDED.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON OVER WESTERN ARKANSAS
AND STATEWIDE TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
51
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jan 12, 9:12 PM CST, 1 hour 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
912 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0820 PM TSTM WND DMG BRUNO 36.15N 92.77W
01/12/2005 MARION AR LAW ENFORCEMENT
BARN BLOWN ACROSS HIGHWAY 235. POWER LINES DOWN.
&&
58Local storm report, Jan 12, 9:20 PM CST, 1 hour 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
920 PM CST WED JAN 12 2005
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0835 PM TSTM WND GST FLIPPIN 36.28N 92.59W
01/12/2005 M56 MPH MARION AR OFFICIAL NWS OBS
&&
46Flash Flood, Baxter
- When
- January 12, 10:45 PM CST to January 13, 1:45 AM CST
- Where
- Baxter County, 3 mi S of Mountain Home
- Reported by
- LAW ENFORCEMENT
- Coordinates
- 36.283, -92.383
Heavy rains produced flash flooding south of Mountain Home. Several county roads were closed for a few hours due to high water.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Tornado in Arkansas, January 12, 20052 deaths · 13 injured · $3.0 million · F3 · 1 event
- Tornado in Louisiana, January 12, 200512 injured · $4.0 million · F2 · 1 event
- Avalanche in Washington, January 12, 20051 death · 1 injured · 1 event
- Flash Flood and Flood in Missouri, January 12 to 13, 20051 death · 2 events
- Dense Fog in Indiana, January 12, 2005$420,000 · 20 events
- Flash Flooding and Damaging Winds in Illinois, January 12 to 13, 2005$379,000 · 60 kt wind · 21 events
- Tornado in Missouri, January 12, 2005$300,000 · F1 · 1 event
- Flash Flooding and Damaging Winds in Arkansas, January 12, 20051 injured · $250,000 · 70 kt wind · 7 events
- Dense Fog in Ohio, January 12, 2005$150,000 · 7 events
- Tornado in Missouri, January 12, 2005$100,000 · F0 · 1 event
- Winter Weather in Vermont, January 12, 2005$50,000 · 10 events
- Flash Flooding and Hail in Oklahoma, January 12, 2005$50,000 · 1.75 in hail · 8 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5438661.