Arizona, 2005

Flash Flood in Arizona, August 11, 2005

August 11, 2005 · NWS TWC · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 11, 2:23 PM MST, 2 hours 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 11, 2:23 PM MST, 2 hours 22 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
223 PM MST THU AUG 11 2005

.SYNOPSIS...ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL REMAIN OVER SOUTHEAST ARIZONA FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND AS A SOUTHERLY FLOW
CONTINUES. EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE
INTO THE WEEKEND BEFORE A SLIGHT DRYING TREND BEGINS TOWARD THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS WESTERLY FLOW PREVAILS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE UPPER LOW SPINNING JUST
WEST OF THE CENTRAL BAJA PENINSULA WITH THE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING
FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS ACROSS NEW MEXICO TO SOUTHEAST ARIZONA. IN
BETWEEN THESE TWO SYSTEMS DIFFLUENT FLOW CURRENTLY EXTENDS ACROSS
MAINLY CENTRAL ARIZONA INTO WESTERN NEW MEXICO. IN ADDITION THE
ACTIVITY IS ALSO BEING ENHANCED BY THE HIGHER ELEVATION ALONG THE
RIM COUNTRY.

CLOSER TO HOME...A FEW STORMS FIRED EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON IN THE
HIGHER TERRAIN WITHIN MY CWA. LOOKING AT THIS MORNINGS SOUNDING WE
HAD A SLIGHTLY WARMER LAYER AROUND 700MB...BUT WITH THIS AFTERNOONS
DEWPOINT DIPPING INTO THE UPPER 50S IT HAS BEEN A STRUGGLE FOR
STORMS TO DEVELOP...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE HIGHEST PEAKS WITHIN
MY FORECAST AREA.

MOSAIC COMPOSITE RADAR SHOWS PLENTY OF ACTIVITY FROM THE FAR WESTERN
DESERTS OF THE PHOENIX CWA TO THE RIM COUNTRY OF FLAGSTAFFS AREA TO
THE WHITE MOUNTAINS OF MY ZONE 19 (NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY). MOST
OF THESE STORMS ARE EXHIBITING VERY LITTLE MOVEMENT OR A VERY SLOW
NORTHWARD DRIFT. BASED ON THE LATEST RADAR TRENDS I HAVE TRIMMED
BACK POPS A BIT FOR THIS EVENING MAINLY FOR SOUTHERN AND EASTERN
ZONES...BUT KEPT SLIGHTLY HIGHER POPS FOR THE NORTHERN FRINGES OF MY
FORECAST AREA WHERE OUTFLOWS FROM STORMS TO THE NORTH MAY PUSH DOWN
INTO THE AREA AND HELP TRIGGER SOME ACTIVITY LATER THIS EVENING.

MODELS INDICATE THAT THE UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE TO SPIN OVER THE
REGION...BUT BY THIS WEEKEND IT SHOULD BECOME AN OPEN WAVE AND LIFT
TO THE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. AS THIS OCCURS THE
MODELS ARE ADVERTISING A WEAK JET STREAK MOVING ACROSS THE STATE AND
AN AREA OF DIFFLUENCE MAY ENHANCE THE ACTIVITY FOR SATURDAY. ON
SUNDAY A STRONGER UPPER LOW OVER THE PACIFIC PUSHES TOWARD SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA WITH ANOTHER STRONGER JET MAX MOVING ACROSS ARIZONA FOR A
POTENTIAL OF ENHANCED CONVECTION.

THE GFS/NAM HAS BEEN ADVERTISING A DRYING TREND FOR THE PAST SEVERAL
DAYS WHICH WOULD BEGIN BY AROUND THE EARLY TO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK. THE OPERATIONAL MEX MOS GUIDANCE IS SHOWING 10 TO 20 PERCENT
POPS FOR THE PERIOD FROM MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. HOWEVER...THE MEX
MOS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS AVERAGE AROUND 35 PERCENT POP FOR EACH DAY
THROUGH THAT TIME PERIOD. THEREFORE...I AM NOT CONFIDENT THAT THE
DRYING WILL COME IN EARNESTLY...BUT MY GRIDS DO SHOW A SLOW DECREASE
IN POPS DURING THE EXTENDED TIME FRAME. SUBSEQUENT SHIFTS CAN MAKE
ADDITIONAL ADJUSTMENTS TO THE POP GRIDS IF MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW
THE DRYING TREND.

AFTERNOON HIGHS FOR DESERTS/VALLEYS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE LOWER
TO MID 90S THROUGH THE WEEKEND...BUT WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY INTO THE
MID TO UPPER 90S FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...TAF AND TWEBS ADEQUATELY COVER ALL SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
AT KTUS.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

MOLLERE

WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 184 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 23:46 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Greenlee

When
August 11, 4:45 PM MST to 6:45 PM MST
Where
Greenlee County, 3 mi NE of Clifton
Reported by
LAW ENFORCEMENT
Coordinates
33.083, -109.267

The Clifton Police Department reported that Ward Canyon Road in Ward Canyon flooded with 4 to 5 feet of water covering the roadway.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arizona in 2005Every state in 2005This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, August 2005

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5469085.