Arizona, 2005Flash Flood in Arizona, August 11, 2005
August 11, 2005 · NWS TWC · 1 event in 1 county or zone
1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
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- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
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- Heat and drought
- Cold
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- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 11, 2:23 PM MST, 2 hours 22 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 11, 2:23 PM MST, 2 hours 22 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
223 PM MST THU AUG 11 2005
.SYNOPSIS...ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL REMAIN OVER SOUTHEAST ARIZONA FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND AS A SOUTHERLY FLOW
CONTINUES. EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE
INTO THE WEEKEND BEFORE A SLIGHT DRYING TREND BEGINS TOWARD THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS WESTERLY FLOW PREVAILS.
&&
.DISCUSSION...SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE UPPER LOW SPINNING JUST
WEST OF THE CENTRAL BAJA PENINSULA WITH THE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING
FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS ACROSS NEW MEXICO TO SOUTHEAST ARIZONA. IN
BETWEEN THESE TWO SYSTEMS DIFFLUENT FLOW CURRENTLY EXTENDS ACROSS
MAINLY CENTRAL ARIZONA INTO WESTERN NEW MEXICO. IN ADDITION THE
ACTIVITY IS ALSO BEING ENHANCED BY THE HIGHER ELEVATION ALONG THE
RIM COUNTRY.
CLOSER TO HOME...A FEW STORMS FIRED EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON IN THE
HIGHER TERRAIN WITHIN MY CWA. LOOKING AT THIS MORNINGS SOUNDING WE
HAD A SLIGHTLY WARMER LAYER AROUND 700MB...BUT WITH THIS AFTERNOONS
DEWPOINT DIPPING INTO THE UPPER 50S IT HAS BEEN A STRUGGLE FOR
STORMS TO DEVELOP...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE HIGHEST PEAKS WITHIN
MY FORECAST AREA.
MOSAIC COMPOSITE RADAR SHOWS PLENTY OF ACTIVITY FROM THE FAR WESTERN
DESERTS OF THE PHOENIX CWA TO THE RIM COUNTRY OF FLAGSTAFFS AREA TO
THE WHITE MOUNTAINS OF MY ZONE 19 (NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY). MOST
OF THESE STORMS ARE EXHIBITING VERY LITTLE MOVEMENT OR A VERY SLOW
NORTHWARD DRIFT. BASED ON THE LATEST RADAR TRENDS I HAVE TRIMMED
BACK POPS A BIT FOR THIS EVENING MAINLY FOR SOUTHERN AND EASTERN
ZONES...BUT KEPT SLIGHTLY HIGHER POPS FOR THE NORTHERN FRINGES OF MY
FORECAST AREA WHERE OUTFLOWS FROM STORMS TO THE NORTH MAY PUSH DOWN
INTO THE AREA AND HELP TRIGGER SOME ACTIVITY LATER THIS EVENING.
MODELS INDICATE THAT THE UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE TO SPIN OVER THE
REGION...BUT BY THIS WEEKEND IT SHOULD BECOME AN OPEN WAVE AND LIFT
TO THE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. AS THIS OCCURS THE
MODELS ARE ADVERTISING A WEAK JET STREAK MOVING ACROSS THE STATE AND
AN AREA OF DIFFLUENCE MAY ENHANCE THE ACTIVITY FOR SATURDAY. ON
SUNDAY A STRONGER UPPER LOW OVER THE PACIFIC PUSHES TOWARD SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA WITH ANOTHER STRONGER JET MAX MOVING ACROSS ARIZONA FOR A
POTENTIAL OF ENHANCED CONVECTION.
THE GFS/NAM HAS BEEN ADVERTISING A DRYING TREND FOR THE PAST SEVERAL
DAYS WHICH WOULD BEGIN BY AROUND THE EARLY TO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK. THE OPERATIONAL MEX MOS GUIDANCE IS SHOWING 10 TO 20 PERCENT
POPS FOR THE PERIOD FROM MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. HOWEVER...THE MEX
MOS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS AVERAGE AROUND 35 PERCENT POP FOR EACH DAY
THROUGH THAT TIME PERIOD. THEREFORE...I AM NOT CONFIDENT THAT THE
DRYING WILL COME IN EARNESTLY...BUT MY GRIDS DO SHOW A SLOW DECREASE
IN POPS DURING THE EXTENDED TIME FRAME. SUBSEQUENT SHIFTS CAN MAKE
ADDITIONAL ADJUSTMENTS TO THE POP GRIDS IF MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW
THE DRYING TREND.
AFTERNOON HIGHS FOR DESERTS/VALLEYS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE LOWER
TO MID 90S THROUGH THE WEEKEND...BUT WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY INTO THE
MID TO UPPER 90S FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
&&
.AVIATION...TAF AND TWEBS ADEQUATELY COVER ALL SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
AT KTUS.
&&
.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&
MOLLERE
WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON
Flash Flood, Greenlee
- When
- August 11, 4:45 PM MST to 6:45 PM MST
- Where
- Greenlee County, 3 mi NE of Clifton
- Reported by
- LAW ENFORCEMENT
- Coordinates
- 33.083, -109.267
The Clifton Police Department reported that Ward Canyon Road in Ward Canyon flooded with 4 to 5 feet of water covering the roadway.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Heat in Pennsylvania, August 11 to 14, 20052 deaths · 8 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Iowa, August 11, 2005$174,000 · 2.75 in hail · 5 events
- Flash Flooding and Hail in Indiana, August 11, 20052 injured · 1.75 in hail · 22 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Ohio, August 11, 2005$43,000 · 1.25 in hail · 6 events
- Heat in New Jersey, August 11 to 14, 200517 events
- Heavy Rain in New Mexico, August 11, 2005$15,000 · 1 event
- Flash Flood in Colorado, August 11, 2005$15,000 · 1 event
- Tornadoes and Hail in Montana, August 11, 2005F0 · 7 events
- Heat in Maryland, August 11 to 14, 20055 events
- Heat in Delaware, August 11 to 15, 20053 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Illinois, August 11, 20051 in hail · 3 events
- Hail in South Dakota, August 11, 20051.25 in hail · 2 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5469085.