Virginia, 2004

Cold in Virginia, January 15 to 16, 2004

January 15 to 16, 2004 · NWS LWX · 3 events in 3 counties and zones

A fast moving storm system brought light snow to the region on the 14th and 15th. Most areas of Northern Virginia only received a trace of snowfall.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS LWX wrote it up.

A fast moving storm system brought light snow to the region on the 14th and 15th. Most areas of Northern Virginia only received a trace of snowfall. However, there was some very cold air behind this system. Minimum temperatures across the region were in the single digits and teens. Strong northwest and west winds (20 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph) produced wind chills of 5 to 10 below zero on the night of the 15th and the early morning of the 16th.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Baltimore/Washington wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 15, 3:03 PM EST, 7 hours 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 15, 3:03 PM EST, 7 hours 57 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
305 PM EST JAN 15 2003

.SHORT TERM...

TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...
JUST COLD TO DEAL WITH IN THE SHORT TERM. WIND CHILL ADVISORY WILL
REMAIN UP FOR MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND LOWER SOUTHERN MARYLAND. WIND CHILLS WILL FALL
TO AROUND 5 BELOW AFTER MIDNIGHT WHICH IS THE EDGE OF WIND CHILL
ADVISORY. THE WESTERN HIGHLANDS OF COURSE WILL BE FURTHER INTO
ADVISORY TERRITORY WITH WIND CHILLS FALLING TO AROUND 10 BELOW. THE
CORE OF THE SUPER COLD AIR FALLS OFF THE COAST OF NEW ENGLAND AND
GETS WARMED BY THE GULF STREAM WATERS. IT WILL STILL BE COLD AND
WINDY FOR OUR AREA HOWEVER AS NORTHWEST FLOW REMAINS. THE HUMIDITY
IN THE ATMOSPHERE WILL DRY OUT OVERNIGHT... AND OTHER THAN SOME
UPSLOPE CLOUDINESS DO NOT THINK THERE WILL BE ANYTHING TO SUPPORT
ANYTHING OTHER THAN FEW CU CLOUDS FRIDAY. ALSO CONTINUED THE MARINE
WEATHER STATEMENT FOR BLOWOUT TIDES ON THE WATERS. MOST CURRENT
TIDES ARE A FOOT BELOW NORMAL AND FALLING.

&&

.LONG TERM (FRI NGT - THU)...

XTND PD STARTS OUT W/ CONTINUED COLD TEMPS W/ ARCTIC AIR MASS
BLDG DOWN INTO THE MID ATLC RGN 10-15 DEGS MOST PLACE. SOME
MODERATION OF TEMPS ON SAT W/ LOW PRES DVLPG IN THE MS VLLY AND WARM
AIR BEING ADVECTED NWD INTO CWA. HOWEVER WL STILL STAY ON THE LOW
SIDE OF NRMCL GUIDNC. AM HVG SOME DIFFICULTY DTERMINING WHAT/IF
ANY...TYPE OF PCPN WL FALL IN ASSO W/ WARM FNT DURG SAT OVRNGT. IF
ENOUGH WARM AIR GETS IN ARND 900-850 MB AND TEMPS STAY SUBFRZNG AT
SFC...FZRA. HOWEVER WERE STILL SVRL DAYS OUT...AND FOR NOW WL KEEP
THINGS SIMPLE AND SAY CHC OF SN...IF NEEDED WELL GET MORE
SPECIFIC AS THE SITUATION DVLPS.

MDLS PUSH LOW PRES RAPIDLY E ON SUN W/ ASSO CD FNT SE OF THE AREA BY
SUN AFTN. AS SUCH WL CUT THE PCPN OFF. ONCE AGN THERE COULD BE SOME
WRAPAROUND SNSH IN THE NWRN CRNR OF THE CWA.

HIGH PRES RETURNS FOR A FEW DAYS. MAN PROG/MDLS INDICATE ANOTHER CD
FNT WL APPROACH THE AREA FOR NEXT THU...BUT ATTM WOULD PREFER TO LV
THE AREA DRY.

THX PHL FOR COORD.

&&

.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DC...NONE.
MD...NONE.
VA...NONE.
WV...NONE.
MARINE....SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MD CHESAPEAKE BAY AND TIDAL POTOMAC.

&&

STRONG/WOODY
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 15, 11:15 AM EST, 11 hours 45 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1115 AM EST THU JAN 15 2004

DCZ001-MDZ002>007-009>011-013-014-016>018-VAZ021-025>031-036>042-
050>057-WVZ048>055-161000-
ALBEMARLE VA-ALLEGANY MD-ANNE ARUNDEL MD-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA VA-AUGUSTA VA-BERKELEY WV-
CALVERT MD-CARROLL MD-CHARLES MD-CLARKE VA-CULPEPER VA-
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA DC-FAIRFAX VA-FAUQUIER VA-FREDERICK VA-
FREDERICK MD-GRANT WV-GREENE VA-HAMPSHIRE WV-HARDY WV-HARFORD MD-
HIGHLAND VA-HOWARD MD-JEFFERSON WV-KING GEORGE VA-LOUDOUN VA-
MADISON VA-MINERAL WV-MONTGOMERY MD-MORGAN WV-NELSON VA-
NORTHERN BALTIMORE MD-ORANGE VA-PAGE VA-PENDLETON WV-
PRINCE GEORGES MD-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK VA-
RAPPAHANNOCK VA-ROCKINGHAM VA-SHENANDOAH VA-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE MD-
SPOTSYLVANIA VA-ST. MARYS MD-STAFFORD VA-WARREN VA-WASHINGTON MD-

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ENTER YOUR AREA HERE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL FALL IN TO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND LOW TEENS.
THIS WILL COMBINE WITH STRONG WINDS TO PRODUCE VERY LOW WIND CHILL
VALUES TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY. IN THE POTOMAC
HIGHLANDS...NORTHERN SHENANDOAH VALLEY
AND NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND...WIND CHILL VALUES TONIGHT MAY REACH 10
TO 20 BELOW ZERO. FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE BALTIMORE AND WASHINGTON
METROPOLITAN AREAS...NORTHERN VIRGINIA...AND THE CENTRAL SHENANDOAH
VALLEY...WIND CHILLS MAY REACH 5 TO 15 BELOW ZERO. SOUTHERN MARYLAND
AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL VIRGINIA...WIND CHILL VALUES WILL FALL TO
NEAR ZERO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

CHANCE OF SNOW SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

STRONG

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

3 cold/wind chill. Local standard time, as filed.

Cold/Wind Chill, Loudoun

When
January 15, 11:00 PM EST to January 16, 11:00 AM EST
Where
Loudoun forecast zone
Reported by
AWOS,ASOS,MESONET,ETC

Cold/Wind Chill, Fairfax

When
January 15, 11:00 PM EST to January 16, 11:00 AM EST
Where
Fairfax forecast zone
Reported by
AWOS,ASOS,MESONET,ETC
Coordinates
38.841, -77.291 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Cold/Wind Chill, Arlington / Alexandria / Falls Church

When
January 15, 11:00 PM EST to January 16, 11:00 AM EST
Where
Arlington / Alexandria / Falls Church forecast zone
Reported by
AWOS,ASOS,MESONET,ETC
Coordinates
38.855, -77.106 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

Cold/Wind Chill
Cold or wind chill below warning criteria that caused deaths, injuries or damage.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Virginia in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in Virginia, January 2004

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5381686, 5381687, 5381688.