Texas, 2004

Flash Flooding in Texas, May 11, 2004

May 11, 2004 · NWS EWX · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

2 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 11, 3:30 AM CST, 3 hours 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 11, 3:30 AM CST, 3 hours 30 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
430 AM CDT TUE MAY 11 2004

.DISCUSSION...
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH 1.8 IN ACROSS
CENTRAL AND EASTERN PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA TODAY. THUS WITH A
SLOW MOVING DISTURBANCE TRIGGERING NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS AND
SATURATED SOILS, HAVE OPTED FOR A FFA FOR THIS AREA. SOME LOCALIZED
FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE OVER WESTERN SECTIONS THROUGH DAYBREAK, BUT
EXPECT CONDITIONS TO IMPROVE BY THAT TIME. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED TO AVERAGE CLOSE TO 1 INCH OVER THE WATCH AREA WITH SPOTTY
3 INCH AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. SEVERE THREAT SHOULD BE MINIMAL SINCE THE
UPPER DISTURBANCE NOT PRODUCING STRONG WIND SHEAR AND HIGH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES DOESNT USUALLY SUPPORT HAILSTORMS.
THIS DISTURBANCE SHOULD START TO PULL AWAY FROM SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. LAPSE RATES COULD BE STEEP ENOUGH TO SUPPORT
EVENING CONVECTION, BUT STABILITY SHOULD INCREASE WITH THE LOSS OF
HEATING.

THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM IS NOT FAR BEHIND SO A MOSTLY CLOUDY DAY
WEDNESDAY SHOULD GIVE WAY TO MORE CONVECTION THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT. THIS LARGER TROUGH WILL PASS MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA
BUT SHOULD SET OFF AN MCS LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING. THIS
WILL BRING A WIND SHIFT/WEAK FRONT, BUT SHOULD NOT MODIFY THE AIR
TOO MUCH. THE CONTINUED ZONAL PATTERN SHOULD SUPPORT ISOLATED POPS
OVER THE WEEKEND WITH UPPER RIDGING FINALLY EXPECTED TO TAKE OVER ON
TUESDAY. HOWEVER, POOR RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY FROM BOTH THE GFS AND
ECMWF LEADS TO A CONTINUED LOW CONFIDENCE EXTENDED, LARGELY DUE TO
THE ACTIVE SUBTROPICAL JET.

AT LEAST TEMPS ARE MORE PREDICTABLE WITH LOW DIURNAL RANGES AND AT OR
BELOW NORMAL HIGHS A GOOD BET.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              80  69  84  68 /  80  30  10  10
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  80  68  84  68 /  80  30  10  10
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           86  70  87  70 /  40  20  10  10
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       80  69  84  70 /  80  20  10  10

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FFA CENTRAL AND EASTERN PARTS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL TX

&&

18/08
Hazardous weather outlook, May 11, 6:03 AM CST, 57 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
703 AM CDT TUE MAY 11 2004

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-121100-
ATASCOSA-BANDERA-BASTROP-BEXAR-BLANCO-BURNET-CALDWELL-COMAL-DE WITT-
DIMMIT-EDWARDS-FAYETTE-FRIO-GILLESPIE-GONZALES-GUADALUPE-HAYS-KARNES-
KENDALL-KERR-KINNEY-LAVACA-LEE-LLANO-MAVERICK-MEDINA-REAL-TRAVIS-
UVALDE-VAL VERDE-WILLIAMSON-WILSON-ZAVALA-

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
TODAY...AS A MID MAY RAIN MAKING SYSTEM ALOFT MOVES OVER THE AREA.
A FLOOD WATCH FOR FLASH FLOODING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 400 PM CDT...
ALONG AND EAST OF A LLANO TO UVALDE TO EAGLE PASS LINE.  THIS
INCLUDES THE AUSTIN AND SAN ANTONIO AREAS.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS
POSSIBLE.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE EAST PART OF
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THIS EVENING DECREASING TO A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS DURING THE NIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WEDNESDAY OVER EASTERN PARTS
OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

FOR THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT THERE IS AN INCREASING CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...AS ANOTHER RAIN MAKING SYSTEM PASSES OVER
THE AREA FROM THE WEST.

A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED SATURDAY
THROUGH MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED REQUIRED TODAY WHERE HEAVY RAIN
AMOUNTS ARE OBSERVED OR DEVELOP.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Maverick

When
May 11, 7:00 AM CST to 9:30 AM CST
Where
Maverick County, South Portion
Reported by
LAW ENFORCEMENT
Coordinates
28.743, -100.314 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Storms produced general 1 to 2 inch amounts from Eagle Pass southward in Maverick County, with reports of nearly 4 inches near El Indio. Several roads were closed due to flash flooding.

Flash Flood, Dimmit

When
May 11, 8:00 AM CST to 11:00 AM CST
Where
Dimmit County, Southwest Portion
Reported by
LAW ENFORCEMENT
Coordinates
28.423, -99.757 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Rainfall averaged nearly 1.5 inches in Dimmit County, with totals of up to 4 inches in the southwestern quarter. Several rural roads southwest of Carrizo Springs were closed in the late morning due to high water.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, May 2004

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5399725, 5399726.