1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 29, 7:12 PM CST, 5 hours 48 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 812 PM CDT TUE JUN 29 2004 .UPDATE...THE LARGE BAND OF CONVECTION IS GRADUALLY SHIFTING EAST. THIS IS EVIDENT ON THE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND RADAR AS A SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER THE BIG BEND SLIDES NORTHEAST TOWARD THE CENTRAL U.S. THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOPED AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH MAY CROSS INTO VAL VERDE AND EDWARDS COUNTIES AROUND MIDNIGHT. FEEL THE RAINS WILL BE MOST PREVALENT OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE COUNTY WARNING AREA WHERE DEEPEST MOISTURE RESIDES. SO HAVE MADE A FEW ADJUSTMENT ON THE TEMPS AND CLEANED UP THE WORDING ON POPS. REST OF FORECAST IS GOOD TO GO. && .PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH THAT IS IN PLACE FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS AND THE HILL COUNTRY WILL CONTINUE UNTIL 4PM WEDNESDAY. A ANALYSIS OF SURFACE AND UPPER LEVEL DATA REFLECTS THE FOLLOWING: 1.A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE IS LOCATED TO THE EAST AND THIS RIDGE IS PROVIDING LOW LEVEL MOIST INFLOW OFF THE GULF INTO TEXAS. 2.A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE IS TO THE NORTHWEST AND IS NOT STRONG ENOUGH TO SLIDE SOUTHEAST. 3.A UPPER LEVEL INFLOW TAP FROM THE PACIFIC/BAJA REGION CONTINUES PROVIDING MOISTURE INTO THE TEXAS. THIS MOISTURE CONTINUES TO BE CHANNELED INTO TEXAS BETWEEN THE TWO PRESSURE RIDGES. THIS SYNOPTIC PATTERN RESULTS IN A LOW PRESSURE TROF OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS WITH MOISTURE FUNNELING INTO THIS REGION. AS LONG AS THE RIDGE TO THE EAST REMAINS DOMINATE...THIS CURRENT SYNOPTIC SITUATION WILL KEEP SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS UNDER THE GUN FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. THE MODELS KEEP THIS TREND IN PLACE THROUGH WEDNESDAY... BEFORE SLOWLY ENDING LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. MODEL ANALYSIS SHIFTS THE LOW PRESSURE TROF EASTWARD BY WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH THE MAIN FOCUS OF RAIN MORE OVER THE EASTERN COUNTIES THAN WHAT IS CURRENTLY HAPPENING. EITHER WAY...MOST OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS WILL CONTINUE TO RECEIVE FLASH FLOODING RAINS THROUGH TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF A TAD ON THURSDAY. BUT WITH THE MAIN THREAT BEING OVER THE EASTERN COUNTIES...THEN HIGHER PRECIPITATION PERCENTAGES WILL BE FORECASTED THERE. MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH ENDING THE RAIN EVENT ON THURSDAY. THE RIDGE TO THE EAST BUILDS WESTWARD AND THIS WILL CUTOFF THE UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE TAP FROM THE PACIFIC. WHAT WILL REMAIN IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON CONVECTION OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...DUE TO HEATING AND THIS WILL BE MAINLY OVER EAST TEXAS SPILLING OVER INTO THE EASTERN COUNTIES OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. MODEL DIFFERENCES HAVE THE GFS AND ECMWF TRENDS THE GULF RIDGE WESTWARD AND PUSHING THE MOISTURE TROF INTO WEST TEXAS. THE GFS IS FASTER WITH THIS SCENARIO BUT THE END RESULTS ARE THE SAME. BY SUNDAY THE 4TH OF JULY...MODEL SHOWS A DRIER AIRMASS OVER TEXAS. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 72 89 72 92 / 70 70 50 30 AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 70 88 71 91 / 70 70 50 30 DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 72 91 74 94 / 50 50 20 20 SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 72 88 73 92 / 70 70 50 30 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FLOOD WATCH FOR FLASH FLOODING FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS UNTIL 4PM WEDNESDAY. && 06/04/JB
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 600 AM CDT TUE JUN 29 2004 TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-301100- ATASCOSA-BANDERA-BASTROP-BEXAR-BLANCO-BURNET-CALDWELL-COMAL-DEWITT- DIMMIT-EDWARDS-FAYETTE-FRIO-GILLESPIE-GONZALES-GUADALUPE-HAYS-KARNES- KENDALL-KERR-KINNEY-LAVACA-LEE-LLANO-MAVERICK-MEDINA-REAL-TRAVIS- UVALDE-VAL VERDE-WILLIAMSON-WILSON-ZAVALA- 600 AM CDT TUE JUN 29 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS AND THE HILL COUNTY HAS BEEN EXTENDED THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE. A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT...GRADUALLY SPREADING FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE FLOODING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE LIKELY WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL EXTEND THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE. HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE FLOODING WEDNESDAY. THE WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE THURSDAY LEADING TO LOWER CHANCES OF RAINS FRIDAY INTO THE FOURTH OF JULY WEEKEND. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Seco Creek at Rowe Ranch near D'Hanis crested at 18.79 feet on June 30 at 0600CST, where flood stage is 15 feet
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, June 2004
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5410063.