Damaging Wind in Tennessee, July 6, 2004

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
300 PM EDT TUE JUL  6 2004

CORRECTED TO COMPLETE SHORT TERM

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)...BEST INSTABILITY THIS
EVENING OVR MID TN AND UP CUMBERLAND PLATEAU. OLD MVC MOVING INTO
THAT AREA FM SW. STORM MOTIONS TO THE ENE AND EXPECT CONVECTION TO
TAPER OFF SHORTLY AFT DARK. WEDNESDAY AS WEAK FRONT MOVES CLOSER
EXPECT AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER AND POSSIBLE EARLY CONVECTION AND
DEBRIS CLOUDS FROM SW. HELD TEMPS DOWN SOME ON WEDNESDAY FOR THIS
REASON. FEEL SLOWER ETA SOLUTION IS A BETTER FIT FOR WED NGT AND
EARLY THU SO WILL LINGER CLOUDS AND PCPN FOR THOSE PERIODS. DRIER
AIR GETS INTO AREA LATE ON THU.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...AFTER THE FRONT
MOVES THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...HIGH PRESSURE WILL AGAIN RIDGE INTO
THE REGION BRINGING A RETURN TO MORE SEASONAL CONDITIONS.
TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY CLIMB INTO THE MID AND UPPER 80S TO NEAR
90 IN SOME AREAS.  AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS
ALSO POSSIBLE FROM SATURDAY ON.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN  71  88  69  88 /  20  50  40  30
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  70  86  67  86 /  20  50  40  30
OAK RIDGE, TN  69  84  65  84 /  20  50  40  20
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN  66  85  64  84 /  20  50  40  20

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.

&&

HW/SON

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
558 AM EDT TUE JUL 6 2004

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-005-
006-008-071000-
ANDERSON-BLEDSOE-BLOUNT SMOKY MTN-BRADLEY-CAMPBELL-CHEROKEE-
CLAIBORNE-CLAY-COCKE SMOKY MTN-EAST POLK-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-HAMILTON-
HANCOCK-HAWKINS-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-KNOX-LEE-LOUDON-MARION-MCMINN-
MEIGS-MORGAN-NORTH SEVIER-NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST COCKE-
NORTHWEST GREENE-NORTHWEST MONROE-NW BLOUNT-RHEA-ROANE-RUSSELL-
SCOTT TN-SCOTT VA-SEQUATCHIE-SEVIER SMOKY MTN-SOUTHEAST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-SOUTHEAST MONROE-SULLIVAN-UNICOI-UNION-
WASHINGTON TN-WASHINGTON VA-WEST POLK-WISE-
558 AM EDT (458 AM CDT) TUE JUL 6 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.  THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK THAT STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...
PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY BRINGING THE
POSSIBILITY OF A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY AND WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MRX.

GH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1002 AM EDT TUE JUL 06 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0555 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LUTTRELL                36.21N 83.74W
07/05/2004                   UNION              TN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN COUNTY WIDE.

0755 PM     TSTM WND DMG     APPALACHIA              36.91N 82.79W
07/05/2004                   WISE               VA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FOUR TREES DOWN IN APPALACHIA AND REPORTS OF OTHER TREES
            DOWN AND POWER OUTAGES IN THE COUNTY.

0820 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 S ERNESTVILLE         36.00N 82.50W
07/05/2004                   UNICOI             TN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN FROM FLAG POND SOUTHWARD TO NORTH
            CAROLINA STATE LINE.

&&

KG/GRC