Flood in Oklahoma, April 24 to 26, 2004

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OKLAHOMA
1120 AM CDT SAT APR 24 2004

HEAVY RAIN/THUNDERSTORMS HAVE SHIFTED EAST OF THE REGION THIS
MORNING WITH ONLY AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.  PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY REMAIN LIGHT IN
THESE AREAS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE
ENDING/SHIFTING EAST THIS EVENING.

ALTHOUGH THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED....SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CONTINUES
ACROSS SEVERAL COUNTIES IN EAST-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. WILL SEND UPDATE TO LOWER POPS OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
CHANGE WORDING ACROSS NW ARK TO LIGHT RAIN LIKELY WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. WILL ALSO LOWER FORECASTED QPF VALUES FOR
THIS AFTERNOON. REST OF FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK WITH NO SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES.

FORECAST ID= 12

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH TODAY FOR ZONES
ARZ001>002...ARZ010>011...ARZ019>020...ARZ029.

OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH TODAY FOR ZONES OKZ049...
OKZ053...OKZ068>076.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
500 AM CDT SAT APR 24 2004

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
500 AM CDT SAT APR 24 2004

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

...FLOODING WILL BE THE PRIMARY RISK TODAY...

EXCESSIVE RAINFALL THE PAST FEW DAYS HAS RESULTED IN FLOODING EARLY
THIS MORNING.  THE CURRENT AREA OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE OUT OF THE AREA THIS MORNING.  BUT MORE STORMS ARE
EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AS A COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE
AREA.  ALTHOUGH THERE IS A CHANCE FOR A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...
THE MAIN RISK WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH WOULD AGGRAVATE THE FLOOD
SITUATION.

WARNING PROBABILITIES FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADOES CAN BE
FOUND IN THE CURRENT HAZARDS SECTION AT: WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA.
GIVEN PROBABILITIES REPRESENT THE POTENTIAL FOR A WARNING TO BE
ISSUED AT YOUR LOCATION.

SPOTTER / EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY ACROSS NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS AND ADJACENT PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA BUT THE MAIN REQUEST
WILL BE REPORTS ON THE FLOODING SITUATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
ANY LINGERING THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EAST WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA
SUNDAY MORNING.  THE AREA WILL BE ABLE TO DRY OUT MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.
THE NEXT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEXT THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND
GRAPHICAL INFORMATION

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1053 AM CDT SAT APR 24 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 AM     HAIL             CLEVELAND               36.31N 96.46W
04/23/2004  0.75 INCH        PAWNEE             OK   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0935 PM     HAIL             3 N BOX                 35.62N 94.98W
04/23/2004  1.00 INCH        SEQUOYAH           OK   PUBLIC

0943 PM     HAIL             2 S COOKSON             35.68N 94.92W
04/23/2004  0.75 INCH        CHEROKEE           OK   PUBLIC

1009 PM     HAIL             BUNCH                   35.68N 94.76W
04/23/2004  0.75 INCH        ADAIR              OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

0154 AM     TSTM WND DMG     WISTER                  34.97N 94.72W
04/24/2004                   LE FLORE           OK   PUBLIC

            LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN

0208 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG POTEAU                  35.05N 94.62W
04/24/2004                   LE FLORE           OK   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES BLOWN DOWN

&&

JDS