Hail in North Carolina, May 8, 2004

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
918 PM EDT SAT MAY 8 2004

.UPDATE...
WL INCREASE THE POPS TO LIKELY ACROSS THE WRN NC FOOTHILLS INTO THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS AND INCREASE THE POPS ACROSS THE REST OF THE
ESCARPMENT AS WELL. CURRENTLY CONVECTION IS CONTINUING ACROSS THE NRN
NC FOOTHILLS AS WELL PARTS OF THE SRN MTNS. SOME INDICATION FROM
THE 88D RETURNS IN THE STRATIFORM RAIN OVER THE SRN MTNS THAT AN
MCV HAS FORMED. THIS WILL ENHANCE LIFT OVER THE WRN FOOTHILLS AS IT
DRIFTS TO THE NE.

THE ETA AND RUC BOTH INCREASE CONVECTIVE COVERAGE ACROSS THE
ESCARPMENT FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. THEY BOTH HAVE INCREASING
LLVL UPSLOPE FLOW AND GOOD OMEGA. THAT/S WHY I/M RAISING POPS.
SINCE THE LLVL FLOW IS ACTUALLY STRONGER THAN THE UPPER LEVEL
FLOW...THINK CELLS WL REMAIN LOCKED IN PRETTY CLOSE TO THE LEE OF
THE MTNS. CELLS TDA HAVE ALREADY EXHIBITED A TENDENCY TO STAND IN
ONE PLACE WITH SOME ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING EARLIER IN THE MTNS...
AND WOULDN/T BE SURPRISED TO SEE SOME FLASH FLOODING PROBLEMS
DEVELOP IN THE FOOTHILLS. NOT QUITE CERTAIN ENUF TO ISSUE AN FFA...
AT LEAST NOT YET.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
&&

MCAVOY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
552 AM EDT SAT MAY 8 2004

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-SCZ001>014-
019-081200-
ABBEVILLE SC-ALEXANDER NC-ANDERSON SC-AVERY NC-BUNCOMBE NC-BURKE NC-
CABARRUS NC-CALDWELL NC-CATAWBA NC-CHEROKEE SC-CHESTER SC-
CLEVELAND NC-DAVIE NC-ELBERT GA-FRANKLIN GA-GASTON NC-GRAHAM NC-
GREATER GREENVILLE SC-GREATER OCONEE SC-GREATER PICKENS SC-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS SC-GREENWOOD SC-HABERSHAM GA-HART GA-HAYWOOD NC-
HENDERSON NC-IREDELL NC-LAURENS SC-LINCOLN NC-MACON NC-MADISON NC-
MCDOWELL NC-MECKLENBURG NC-MITCHELL NC-NORTHERN JACKSON NC-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS SC-PICKENS MOUNTAINS SC-POLK NC-RABUN GA-ROWAN NC-
RUTHERFORD NC-SOUTHERN JACKSON NC-SPARTANBURG SC-STEPHENS GA-
SWAIN NC-TRANSYLVANIA NC-UNION SC-UNION NC-YANCEY NC-YORK SC-
552 AM EDT SAT MAY 8 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ALONG A COLD FRONT. A FEW OF THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...MAINLY OVER THE NORTH CAROLINA
FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT. FOR MORE INFORMATION...SEE THE SPECIAL
WEATHER STATEMENT ISSUED AT 358 AM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED ACROSS PARTS OF NORTH CAROLINA
LATE TODAY.

MOORE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
700 PM EDT SAT MAY 08 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0520 PM     HAIL             TUCKASEGEE              35.27N 83.12W
05/08/2004  1.75 INCH        JACKSON            NC   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORTED THROUGH 911

&&

JONES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
754 PM EDT SAT MAY 08 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 SE CULLOWHEE          35.28N 83.14W
05/08/2004                   JACKSON            NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            CULLOWHEE CREEK IS OUT OF ITS BANKS. CULLOWHEE MOUNTAIN
            ROAD IS CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER. WATER AND MUD HAS ALSO
            BEEN REPORTED TO HAVE COVERED ROADS IN THE TUCKASEGEE
            AERA.

&&

MCAVOY