New York, 2004

Hail in New York, May 23, 2004

May 23, 2004 · NWS BUF · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

Thunderstorms developed along a stationary front lying east-west across the southern tier. The thunderstorms produced hail up to one inch in diameter.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$10,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS BUF wrote it up.

Thunderstorms developed along a stationary front lying east-west across the southern tier. The thunderstorms produced hail up to one inch in diameter.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 23, 1:32 PM EST, 58 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 23, 1:32 PM EST, 58 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
232 PM EDT SUN MAY 23 2004

STILL A VOLATILE SITUATION ACROSS MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH A
WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY NOW RUNNING FROM NEAR BUFFALO TO SYRACUSE.
NOTICEABLE TEMPERATURE DIFFERENCES ON EITHER SIDE OF THE FRONT WITH
UPPER 50S ALONG THE LAKE ONTARIO SHORE TO AS HIGH AS 80 IN THE
SUNNIER AREA SOUTH OF BUFFALO.  WE EXPECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG AND WITHIN 50 MILES OF THIS BOUNDARY TO INCREASE IN AREA
COVERAGE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.  JET DYNAMICS BECOME VERY
FAVORABLE OVERNIGHT.  GFS SHOWS OUR REGION IN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE
REGION OF A 110 KNOT JET OVER THE LOWER SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY
OVERNIGHT COUPLED WITH THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF AN 80 KNOT JET OVER
THE OHIO VALLEY.  WE WILL WILL STICK WITH CATEGORICAL POPS TONIGHT
WITH THE MENTION OF HEAVY RAIN AT TIMES.  CONSIDERING THE SITUATION
WE WILL EXPAND THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FURTHER NORTH.  IT WILL NOW
INCLUDE ALL COUNTIES AS FAR EAST AS WAYNE.

MODEL DIFFERENCES REMAIN SMALL AS FAR AS THE SURFACE PATTERN GOES
ALTHOUGH THE GFS PUSHES THE WARM FRONT A LITTLE FURTHER TO THE NORTH
TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING.

THE JET DYNAMICS ARE MUCH WEAKER MONDAY BUT A SHORT WAVE IS FORECAST
TO MOVE THROUGH WITH CAPES QUITE IMPRESSIVE IN THE 1500 TO 2500
RANGE.  WE EXPECT THE ACTIVITY TO BE MORE SCATTERED IN NATURE THOUGH
SO WILL GO WITH 40 POPS.

MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY WILL LIKELY BE THE QUIETEST PERIOD AS
THE SHORT WAVE MOVES EAST. ANOTHER SHORT WAVE APPROACHES FROM THE
WEST TUESDAY AFTERNOON.  WILL HAVE TO KEEP WITH CHANCE POPS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

EXTENDED LOOKS A LITTLE MORE PROMISING.  WONT MENTION ANY
PRECIPITATION FOR THURSDAY OR FRIDAY AT THIS TIME ALTHOUGH EVEN THEN
IT CANT BE RULED OUT.

AVIATION DISCUSSION...

CIGS EXPECTED TO BE QUITE VARIABLE ACROSS THE REGION AS SURFACE
FRONT WILL LINGER AND OSCILLATE NORTH AND SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA
DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. CONDS GENERALLY EXPECTED TO REMAIN
MVFR THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD...BUT MAY BE LIFR UNDER LOW CLOUDS JUST
NORTH OF THE FRONT.  LIFR CONDITIONS ALSO POSSIBLE IN THUNDERSTORMS
AS A SERIES OF CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS MOVE FROM WEST TO EAST TODAY AND
TONIGHT. AREA REMAINS IN SLIGHT RISK AREA FOR SEVERE TSTMS AND
ISOLATED WIND GUSTS OF 30-40KTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE TSTMS LATE
THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY TONIGHT.

.BUF...FLOOD WATCH TONIGHT NYZ001>004-010>014-019>021-085.

PUBLIC...SAGE
AVIATION...WCH
Hazardous weather outlook, May 23, 3:50 AM EST, 10 hours 40 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
450 AM EDT SUN MAY 23 2004

NYZ001>008-010-011-231041-
GENESEE-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-MONROE-NIAGARA-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-
ORLEANS-OSWEGO-WAYNE-
450 AM EDT SUN MAY 23 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THE GREATEST THREAT IS DAMAGING WINDS BUT LARGE HAIL IS ALSO
POSSIBLE. HEAVY RAIN IN THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD CAUSE ROAD AND POOR
DRAINAGE FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

.SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

NYZ012>014-019>021-085-231046-
ALLEGANY-CATTARAUGUS-CHAUTAUQUA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE-
WYOMING-
450 AM EDT SUN MAY 23 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE
GREATEST THREAT IS STRONG DAMAGING WINDS BUT LARGE HAIL IS ALSO
POSSIBLE.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT. HEAVY RAINS THE
PAST COUPLE OF DAYS ALONG WITH THE THREAT OF MORE HEAVY RAIN THROUGH
TONIGHT COULD CAUSE ROAD AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

.SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

JJP

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 87 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:27 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 hail. Local standard time, as filed.

Hail, Chautauqua

When
May 23, 2:30 PM EST
Where
Chautauqua County, Ellington
Measured
0.75 in hail
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
GENERAL PUBLIC
Coordinates
42.217, -79.100

Hail, Cattaraugus

When
May 23, 2:38 PM EST
Where
Cattaraugus County, Randolph
Measured
1 in hail
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
AMATEUR RADIO
Coordinates
42.167, -78.983

What these are

Hail
Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in New York in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in New York, May 2004

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5401378, 5401379.