New York, 2004Flash Flood in New York, July 7, 2004
July 7, 2004 · NWS BGM · 1 event in 1 county or zone
1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $150,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Binghamton, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 7, 2:50 PM EST, 4 hours 35 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 7, 2:50 PM EST, 4 hours 35 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
350 PM EDT WED JUL 7 2004
.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT - FRIDAY)...
SHORT WAVE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY ALONG WITH PREFRONTAL TROF CROSSING
CWA LATER THIS EVENING WILL CONTINUE WIDESPREAD AREA OF CONVECTION
INTO THE EVENING HOURS. CAPE AND WIND FIELDS NOT VERY IMPRESSIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT OF SVR CONVECTION BUT K INDEX/WARM CLOUD LAYER AND HIGH
PWATS INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS IN ANY STRONG
CONVECTION. ETA MODEL SHOWS STRONG UVV OVER CWA BETWEEN 00-06Z, THIS
IS IN RESPONSE TO SHORT WAVE, UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND ASSOCIATED
MID LEVEL JET ALTHOUGH NOT VERY STRONG. BY LATE EVENING CONVECTION
SHOULD DIMINISH ACROSS WESTERN ZONES AND AROUND 06Z CNTRL AND
EASTERN ZONES.
THURSDAY...SFC COLD FRONT CROSSES REGION LATE MORNING/EARLY
AFTERNOON PERIOD. ETA MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE CAPES AROUND 1000
J/KG. MID/UPPER LEVELS DRY OUT SIGNIFICANTLY BUT ENOUGH LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE AND CAPE CONTINUE TO JUSTIFY AFTERNOON CHC POPS FOR TSRA.
THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY...AFTER LINGERING EVENING ACTIVITY ACROSS
EASTERN ZONES CONVECTION WILL DISSIPATE. SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL NOSE
IN ONFRIDAY BUT H5 COLD POOL AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL MAKE FOR A
PARTLY SUNNY BUT RATHER COOL DAY FOR MID SUMMER.
.LONG TERM (FRI NIGHT - WED)...
MODELS INDICATING 500 MB ZONAL FLOW REGIME BECOMING ESTABLISHED
ACROSS US/CAN BORDER BY THE WEEKEND. LOOKS LIKE FLOW WILL HAVE MORE
A WNW SLANT ATTM...AND WITH LOW PRESSURE ENTRENCHED IN VCINITY OF
HUDSONS BAY...EXPECTED FLOW TO BE FAIRLY ENERGENTIC...PARTICUARLY
AFTER THE WEEKEND. TATHER THAN TRY TO TIME FEATURES OR DETERMINE
WHAT IS CONV FEEDBACK...HAVE OPTED TO JUST PAINT THE EARLY PART OF
NEXT WEEK WITH CHC POPS.
HAVE GONE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL WITH MAX TEMPS THROUGH THE
PERIOD...ALTHOUGH 850 TEMPS ARE DOWN A BIT FROM PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS.
&&
.AVIATION...
IN GENERAL...EXPECT SHRA/TSRA TO POP UP AT ANY TIME THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVE...WITH ANY CONVECTION PRODUCING MVFR VIS WITH BRIEF IFR/LIFR
VISBYS IN VERY HEAVY RAIN AND FOG. MOST SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION
LOOKS LIKE IT WILL OCCUR IN THE 22Z-03Z TIMEFRAME. CONVECTION
EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE AROUND 06Z.
&&
.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
PA...NONE.
&&
SHORT TERM...RRM
LONG TERM/AVIATION...CEMPA
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 7, 3:34 AM EST, 15 hours 51 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
434 AM EDT WED JUL 7 2004
NYZ009-015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043-
044-047-048-072-071033-
BRADFORD PA-BROOME NY-CHEMUNG NY-CHENANGO NY-CORTLAND NY-DELAWARE NY-
LACKAWANNA PA-LUZERNE PA-MADISON NY-NORTHERN ONEIDA NY-
NORTHERN WAYNE PA-ONONDAGA NY-OTSEGO NY-PIKE PA-SCHUYLER NY-
SENECA NY-SOUTHERN CAYUGA NY-SOUTHERN ONEIDA NY-SOUTHERN WAYNE PA-
STEUBEN NY-SULLIVAN NY-SUSQUEHANNA PA-TIOGA NY-TOMPKINS NY-
WYOMING PA-YATES NY-
434 AM EDT WED JUL 7 2004
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON WILL
BECOME MORE NUMEROUS LATE IN THE DAY AND THIS EVENING. ALTHOUGH
THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE...LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SKYWARN ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT.
MJ
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 7, 5:01 PM EST, 2 hours 24 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
601 PM EDT WED JUL 7 2004
NYZ015>018-072300-
CAYUGA NY-ONONDAGA NY-SENECA NY-YATES NY-
601 PM EDT WED JUL 7 2004
...THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN AND BRIEF GUSTY WINDS MOVING INTO
THE AREA...
AT 558 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM CLUSTER WITH HEAVY RAINFALL...NEAR PENN YAN MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
THE THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE NEAR...CANOGA AND UNION
SPRINGS AT 630 PM...AUBURN AND SKANEATELES AT 645 PM...MARYSVILLE AND
ELBRIDGE AT 700 PM.
EXPECT HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE PATH OF THE STORM. LOCALIZED RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF UP TO ONE AND A HALF INCHES IN ONE HOUR ARE POSSIBLE.
MOTORISTS SHOULD WATCH OUT FOR PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND POOR
DRAINAGE FLOODING IN TOWNS AND LOW LYING AREAS. WINDS MAY ALSO GUST
AROUND 35 MPH AS THESE STRONG STORMS MOVE THROUGH THE AREA.
FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. WHEN INDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID
USING TELEPHONES UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY
ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES BEFORE THE THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.
IF THE STORM STRENGTHENS...BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION IF A
WARNING IS ISSUED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE
LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE. YOU CAN ALSO VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV.
JAB
Special weather statement, Jul 7, 5:22 PM EST, 2 hours 3 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
622 PM EDT WED JUL 7 2004
NYZ036-037-072315-
MADISON NY-ONEIDA NY-
622 PM EDT WED JUL 7 2004
...THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAIN AND BRIEF GUSTY WINDS MOVING INTO
THE AREA...
AT 619 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE WIND GUSTS
AROUND 35 MPH...ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM ONEIDA TO LAFAYETTE TO
CORTLAND....MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.
THE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE NEAR...STOCKBRIDGE AND
PETERBORO AT 645 PM...YORKVILLE AND NEW YORK MILLS AT 700
PM...DEERFIELD AND MORRISVILLE AT 715 PM.
EXPECT HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE PATH OF THE STORM. LOCALIZED RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF UP TO ONE AND A HALF INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN A SHORT
AMOUNT OF TIME. MOTORISTS SHOULD WATCH OUT FOR PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADWAYS AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING OF TOWN ROADS.
BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. YOU CAN
ALSO VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV.
JAB
Special weather statement, Jul 7, 5:57 PM EST, 1 hour 28 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
657 PM EDT WED JUL 7 2004
NYZ017-018-036-080000-
CAYUGA NY-MADISON NY-ONONDAGA NY-
657 PM EDT WED JUL 7 2004
...THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING MOVING INTO
THE AREA...
AT 653 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING
...ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM SKANEATELES TO MORAVIA...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.
THE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CROSS SKANEATELES LAKE
AROUND 705 PM AND THEN BE NEAR...SYRACUSE AND TAUNTON AT 715
PM...EAST SYRACUSE AND POMPEY AT 730 PM...LAKEPORT AND BRIDGEPORT AT
745 PM...PERRYVILLE AT 800 PM.
EXPECT HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IN THE
PATH OF THE STORM. WINDS MAY GUST BRIEFLY AROUND 30 MPH. LOCALIZED
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO ONE INCH ARE POSSIBLE IN AN HOUR OR LESS.
MOTORISTS SHOULD WATCH OUT FOR PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND POOR
DRAINAGE FLOODING. BOATERS SHOULD QUICKLY FIND SAFE HARBOR.
BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. YOU CAN
ALSO VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV.
JAB
Special weather statement, Jul 7, 6:26 PM EST, 59 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
726 PM EDT WED JUL 7 2004
NYZ025-044-080030-
CORTLAND NY-TOMPKINS NY-
726 PM EDT WED JUL 7 2004
...THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS MOVING INTO THE
AREA...
AT 724 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAINFALL...NEAR DANBY....OR ABOUT 5 MILES
SOUTH OF ITHACA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
THE THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE NEAR...CAROLINE AND
SLATERVILLE SPRINGS AT 745 PM...HARFORD AND HUNTS CORNERS AT 800
PM...LAPEER AND VIRGIL AT 815 PM...FREETOWN CORNERS AND EAST
FREETOWN AT 830 PM...
EXPECT HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE PATH OF THE STORM AND POSSIBLE WIND
GUSTS AROUND 35 MPH. LOCALIZED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO ONE AND A
HALF INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN AN HOUR. MOTORISTS SHOULD WATCH OUT FOR
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING. ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORM CELLS WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE AREA THROUGH 9 PM.
BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. YOU CAN
ALSO VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV.
JAB
Special weather statement, Jul 7, 7:05 PM EST, 20 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
805 PM EDT WED JUL 7 2004
NYZ024-025-036-037-044>046-055-056-080100-
BROOME NY-CHEMUNG NY-CHENANGO NY-CORTLAND NY-MADISON NY-ONEIDA
NY-OTSEGO NY-TIOGA NY-TOMPKINS NY-
805 PM EDT WED JUL 7 2004
...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN MOVING INTO THE AREA...
AT 801 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
BROKEN LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM 28 MILES
NORTHEAST OF HAMILTON TO 9 MILES WEST OF WAVERLY...MOVING SOUTHEAST
AT 20 MPH.
THE LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
WAVERLY AND MARATHON AT 825 PM.
OWEGO AT 845 PM.
NORWICH...COOPERSTOWN AND BINGHAMTON AT 900 PM.
EXPECT HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE PATH OF THE STORM. LOCALIZED RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF UP TO ONE INCH IN LESS THAN AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE WITH
STRONGER STORMS. MOTORISTS SHOULD WATCH OUT FOR PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADWAYS AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING IN TOWNS AND CITIES.
BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION IF A WARNING IS ISSUED. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. YOU CAN
ALSO VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV.
JAB
Flash Flood, Tioga
- When
- July 7, 7:25 PM EST to 10:30 PM EST
- Where
- Tioga County, Spencer
- Property damage
- $150,000
- Reported by
- EMERGENCY MANAGER
- Coordinates
- 42.170, -76.306 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Thunderstorms with heavy rain caused flash flooding. A bridge on Hulbert Hollow Road in extreme northwest Tioga County in the town of Spencer was washed out. Before the bridge washed out debris piled up against it causing water to back up several feet deep into nearby yards and houses. A house on the corner of Hulbert Hollow Road and Routes 34/96 had several inches of water in the kitchen. The one resident home was evacuated. State Route 34/96 was closed from the village of Spencer to the Tioga and Chemung county line. The Bible Baptist Church and North Spencer Christian Academy had significant damage to the lower level. Up to 67 inches of water was on the floor. 16 bundles of expensive flooring was lost. The flooring was waiting to be installed in the gym. 2 to 4 inches of rain fell.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Tornadoes and Flash Flood in Kansas, July 7, 20042 injured · $270,000 · F1 · 54 events
- Lightning Strike in Florida, July 7, 20041 death · 1 event
- Lightning Strike in Alabama, July 7, 20041 death · 1 event
- Tornadoes and Flash Flooding in Kansas, July 7, 2004$3.6 million · F0 · 31 events
- Flash Flood and Hail in Montana, July 7, 2004$2.0 million · 1.5 in hail · 7 events
- Flash Flooding and Hail in Maryland, July 7, 2004$1.0 million · 60 kt wind · 8 events
- Hail in Nebraska, July 7, 2004$1.0 million · 1.75 in hail · 3 events
- Hail in Kansas, July 7, 2004$1.1 million · 1.5 in hail · 1 event
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Virginia, July 7, 2004$53,000 · 1.75 in hail · 29 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in New Mexico, July 7, 2004$50,000 · 1 in hail · 4 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Georgia, July 7, 2004$25,000 · 1.75 in hail · 16 events
- Tornadoes and Flood in Kansas, July 7, 20041 injured · F0 · 25 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5415820.