1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 23, 11:50 PM EST, 2 hours 55 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 1250 AM EDT SAT JUL 24 2004 .SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...MODEL FORECAST CONSENSUS SUGGESTS BACKING OFF ON THE PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE COOL FRONT IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHEAST WITH DRIER AIR TAKING HOLD OVER THE COUNTY WARNING AREA TODAY. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE MOVING ACROSS EASTERN QUEBEC PROVINCE TODAY AND THE COUNTY WARNING AREA WILL EXPERIENCE A LOW LEVEL FLOW FROM THE NORTH AS A LARGE SURFACE ANTICYCLONE MOVES ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA. SATELLITE ANIMATION SUGGESTS LOW CLOUDS BREAKING ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK WITH A BAND OF CIRRUS STREAMING EAST ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. THE MESOSCALE ETA MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT THE LOW CLOUDINESS WILL BREAK UP THIS MORNING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH...WITH CIRRUS LEVEL MOISTURE ABOVE LINGERING THROUGH THE DAY. AN EXTENSIVE STRATOCUMULUS DECK IS INDICATED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE REGION DURING THE AFTERNOON WHICH WILL BE WORKING SLOWLY NORTHWARD TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH THE ETA AND AVIATION MODELS MAINTAIN A DRY FORECAST WILL LOW PROBABILITY OF RAIN THROUGH TONIGHT...THE CANADIAN REGIONAL AND GLOBAL MODELS FORECAST LIGHT RAINFALL TO EXPAND NORTHWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE COUNTY WARNING AREA TONIGHT. THIS RAINFALL BECOMES EVEN MORE EXTENSIVE AND HEAVIER FOR A TIME ON THE CANADIAN REGIONAL MODEL SUNDAY. THE GLOBAL HAS PRECIPITATION FORECAST...BUT IT IS LIGHTER THAN THE REGIONAL. THE ETA ALSO INDICATES THE MOISTURE TO BE INCREASING TONIGHT IN ASSOCIATION WITH ISENTROPIC LIFT OVER THE THERMAL RIBBON NORTH OF THE FRONT OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST. HOWEVER...THE ETA DOES NOT DEVELOP ANY RAINFALL UNTIL LATE SUNDAY...AND IT CONFINES IT TO THE SOUTH AND ITS VERY SPOTTY. THE AVIATION AND UKMET KEEPS THE ENTIRE COUNTY WARNING AREA DRY SUNDAY. THE AVIATION FINALLY BRINGING SOME MOISTURE INTO THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT...BUT UKMET STAYS DRY. THE DIFFERING MODEL SOLUTIONS DO NOT SUGGEST A HIGH CONFIDENCE FORECAST FOR TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST HAD A CHANCE OF RAINFALL IN THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE COUNTY WARNING AREA TODAY...TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. BASED UPON THE LATEST RUN OF THE MODELS...WE FAVOR TAKING THE RAIN OUT OF THE FORECAST FOR TODAY (ALL MODELS ARE DRY)...AND LEAVING A CHANCE OF RAINFALL DURING THE LATTER PORTION OF TONIGHT AND KEEPING IT IN FOR SUNDAY. THIS FORECAST WOULD REPRESENT A BLEND OF THE MODELS AND WOULDNT BE TOO MUCH DIFFERENT THAN THE FORECAST WE ISSUED FRIDAY. HOWEVER...WE WILL MAKE CONCESSIONS TO ADJACENT FORECAST OFFICES AND GO WITH A DRIER FORECAST SHOULD THEY WANT TO DO THAT. LATEST GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH THE FORECAST WE ISSUED FRIDAY FOR THE PERIOD TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. HOWEVER...THE ETA GUIDANCE SUGGESTS LOWER MINIMUM TEMPERATURE THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST FOR TONIGHT. SHOULD THE CLOUDINESS WORK NORTH AS SUGGESTED BY THE ETA AND SHOULD PRECIPITATION BREAK OUT IN THE SOUTH PER CANADIAN REGIONAL GUIDANCE...THE MINIMUM TEMPERATURES MIGHT BE A BIT HIGHER THAN THE LATEST ETA FORECAST SUGGESTS. WE WILL LIKELY SHAVE A FEW DEGREES OFF OUR FORECAST FOR THE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE FOR TONIGHT. && .LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...THE EXTENDED FORECAST OF THE ETA FROM 60 TO 84 HOURS GOES FOR DRY WEATHER ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...AND THE UKMET MODEL IS DRY FOR MONDAY. HOWEVER...THE AVIATION AND CANADIAN GLOBAL ARE SUGGESTING A CHANCE OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE COUNTY WARNING AREA DURING THIS PERIOD. IN FACT...THE CHANCE EXTENDS THROUGH TUESDAY ON THE AVIATION (THEN GOES DRY TUESDAY NIGHT)...AND THROUGH WEDNESDAY ON THE CANADIAN GLOBAL. THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THESE MODEL FORECASTS APPEARS TO STEM FROM THE STRENGTH OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE ATLANTIC. THE CANADIAN IS FORECASTING IT TO BE STRONGER THAN THE AVIATION...AND THUS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY HAS MORE OF A SOUTHERLY WIND COMPONENT TO ITS EAST THAN THE AVIATION FORECAST. HENCE...MORE MOISTURE AND DYNAMICS FROM THE CANADIAN FORECAST IN UPSTATE NEW YORK. AS BOTH MODELS ARE MAINTAINING THAT TROUGH JUST TO OUR WEST THROUGH THE COMING WEEK...WE FEEL MOST COMFORTABLE STAYING WITH THE FORECAST THAT WAS ISSUED FRIDAY WHICH CALLED FOR A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION FOR TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. && .AVIATION...MVFR CONDITIONS MAINLY DUE TO CEILINGS SHOULD LINGER INTO THE MID MORNING...BEFORE IMPROVING TO VFR. THE IMPROVEMENT WILL OCCUR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. EXTENSIVE STRATOCUMULUS MAY FORM ACROSS THE LOWER CATSKILLS INTO SOUTHWESTERN NEW ENGLAND THIS AFTERNOON...BUT CLOUD BASES WILL BE 4 THOUSAND FEET OR HIGHER. THIS CLOUDINESS WILL WORK SLOWLY NORTHWARD TONIGHT...WITH CEILING AROUND POUGHKEEPSIE LOWERING TO BETWEEN 25 HUNDRED AND 3 THOUSAND FEET TOWARD DAYBREAK SUNDAY. SURFACE WIND WILL BE NORTH AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS TODAY AND WILL DIMINISH TO 5 TO 10 KNOTS TONIGHT. && .HYDROLOGY...FLOOD WATCH WAS CANCELED FRIDAY EVENING. RADAR SUGGESTS THAT 4 TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL OCCURRED IN ULSTER COUNTY YESTERDAY WITH SCATTERED AREAS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS THE REGION FROM LAKE GEORGE INTO SOUTHWESTERN VERMONT. THERE IS A CHANCE OF RAINFALL SUNDAY INTO MONDAY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE COUNTY WARNING AREA. FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE BELOW VALUES THAT WOULD BE REQUIRED TO TRIGGER FLOODING. && .ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CT...NONE. MA...NONE. NY...NONE. VT...NONE. && SHORT TERM/LONG TERM...HEMMERICH
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 406 PM EDT FRI JUL 23 2004 CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066- 082>084-VTZ013>015-241100- THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. .DAY ONE...TODAY SHOWERS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAINS. SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS WILL HAVE RAPID WITHIN BANK RISES FROM RUNOFF. IN ADDITION...LOCALIZED URBAN FLOODING WILL OCCUR. A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE MID HUDSON VALLEY AND EASTERN NEW ENGLAND WHERE ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN FALL COULD LEAD TO WIDESPREAD FLOODING PROBLEMS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... PLEASE REPORT ANY FLOODING AND SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL REPORTS TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Torrential rains caused Lock 12 to be shut down for several hours. 2.17" of rain measured in one hour. This rain resulted in the Mettawee River at Granville to flood. The gage at that point crested at 7.02 feet, just above the seven-foot flood stage.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New York in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in New York, July 2004
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5412933.