1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 27, 2:00 AM MST, 3 hours 5 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
400 AM CDT TUE JUL 27 2004
.SHORT TERM...
THE MAIN CONCERN IN THE SHORT TERM FORECAST WILL AGAIN BE RAINFALL
CHANCES AND THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL FLOODING. 27/00Z RAOBS
ACROSS WEST TEXAS CONTINUE TO SHOW A VERY MOIST AIRMASS IN PLACE AND
THIS MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT.
UPPER DYNAMICS ARE NOT OVERLY IMPRESSIVE...BUT WITH ONE SHORTWAVE
TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER FAR WEST TEXAS AND ANOTHER SET TO APPROACH THE
AREA TONIGHT...PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL REMAIN HIGH ACROSS THE
AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. THE CURRENT GRIDS LOOK GOOD WITH THE HIGHEST
POPS (60-70%) OVER THE BIG BEND REGION AND THE ONLY CHANGE WAS TO
INCREASE POPS/QPF OVER THE NORTHERN 1/3 OF THE CWA INTO THE 40-50%
RANGE. GIVEN SATURATED SOILS...ONGOING RIVER FLOODING AND VERY LOW
FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES...WE WILL EXTEND THE CURRENT FLASH FLOOD
WATCH THROUGH TODAY. POPS HAVE BEEN INCREASED TONIGHT OVER SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO AS MODELS SUGGEST A SURFACE TROUGH AND MID-LEVEL
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL GIN UP CONVECTION OVER THE PLAINS OF EASTERN
NEW MEXICO. WITH INCREASING NORTHWEST FLOW IN THE MID-LEVELS SOME OF
THIS ACTIVITY MAY DRIFT INTO THE MENTIONED REGION. TEMPERATURES WERE
LOWERED TODAY GIVEN ANTICIPATED PRECIPITATION AND THICK CLOUD COVER.
.LONG TERM...
ON WEDNESDAY UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS NEW MEXICO AND TEXAS
KEEPING THE SOUTHWEST U.S. UNSTABLE. MODELS DEVELOP MOST OF THE
PRECIPITATION NORTH AND EAST OF THE AREA CLOSER TO THE BETTER LIFT
BUT EXPECT TO SEE SOME STORMS AROUND AREA. CURRENT LOW POPS IN THE
ZONES FOR WED AND THUR LOOK FINE FOR NOW BUT MAY NEED TO BE
RAISED/ADJUSTED FOR FAVORED LOCATION AS TROUGH APPROACHES. AS TROUGH
MOVES OFF TO THE EAST UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD BACK IN FROM THE WEST
DECREASING PRECIP CHANCES AND WARMING TEMPS.
LEESIDE TROUGH WILL FORM A CLOSED LOW WEDNESDAY AND DROP SOUTH. ETA
DEVELOPS MESO LOW OVER TRANS PECOS THURSDAY BUT ONLY WEAKLY BRINGS
FRONT DOWN INTO AREA... SO NOT EXPECTING MUCH COOLING WITH IT BUT
COULD GET STORMS ALONG IT. GFS ALSO DEVELOPS MESO LOW BUT MOVES IT
ALONG THE RED RIVER BUT DOES BRIEFLY DRAG FRONT INTO CWA. BOTH MODELS
AGREE BY FRIDAY WIND WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTH WITH LONG RANGE/MEX
GUIDANCE WARMING HIGHS BACK TO TYPICAL SUMMER TIME READINGS ON
SATURDAY AND CONTINUING INTO NEXT WEEK.
HAVE HAD RECORD SETTING COOL TEMPERATURES AS CLOUDS AND RAIN
PERSISTED ACROSS THE AREA... WHICH HAS TO END SOONER OR LATER. THE
00Z MAF SOUNDING HAD A PW OF 1.63 INCHES WITH A VERY SATURATED
PROFILE... BUT MODEL SOUNDINGS DROP THIS BELOW AN INCH OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS AND SHOW GOOD DRYING. MODEL GRAPHICS ALSO DEVELOP THIS
DRYING ESPECIALLY AT MID AND LOW LEVELS WHERE CURRENT CLOUDS HAVE
REMAINED THICK FOR PAST COUPLE OF DAYS.
SHOULD START SEEING SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS WEDNESDAY AS MODELS
DRY OUT ATMOSPHERE FROM WEST TO EAST BUT DONT EXPECT IT TO BE REALLY
SUNNY TIL RIDGE RETURNS. TEMP FORECASTS THE NEXT FEW DAYS WILL BE
CHALLENGING AS WILL BE DIRECTLY TIED TO HOW MUCH SUN CAN BREAK
THROUGH AND READINGS CAN GET EASILY KNOCKED BACK DOWN BY A RANDOM
SHOWER. GUIDANCE HAS BEEN TRYING TO WARM TEMPS TOO QUICKLY SO WILL
GO WELL BELOW BUT START WARMING TEMPS INTO THE WEEKEND.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX 76 66 83 69 / 50 50 10 10
CARLSBAD NM 78 63 89 68 / 50 40 20 20
DRYDEN TX 77 67 86 69 / 60 50 20 20
FORT STOCKTON TX 76 68 86 68 / 70 50 20 20
GUADALUPE PASS TX 71 60 85 63 / 60 40 20 20
HOBBS NM 78 64 87 66 / 50 40 20 20
MARFA TX 73 58 81 59 / 70 50 20 20
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX 75 65 84 69 / 50 50 10 10
ODESSA TX 75 65 85 69 / 50 50 20 20
WINK TX 78 66 92 70 / 60 50 20 20
&&
.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TODAY FOR THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS...
BIG BEND...AND LOWER TRANS PECOS...TXZ074-075-079>082.
NM...NONE.
&&
06/72HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 500 AM CDT TUE JUL 27 2004 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075- 079>082-258-272000- ANDREWS-BIG BEND AREA-BORDEN-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-CRANE- DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-DAWSON-ECTOR-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-GAINES- GLASSCOCK-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY- HOWARD-LOVING-MARFA PLATEAU-MARTIN-MIDLAND-MITCHELL- NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-REAGAN- REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-SCURRY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY- TERRELL-UPTON-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-WARD-WINKLER- 500 AM CDT (400 AM MDT) TUE JUL 27 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO. .DAY ONE...TODAY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO TODAY. WHILE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA...FAR SOUTHWEST TEXAS WILL SEE CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING. A FLOOD WATCH FOR FLASH FLOODING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS...MARFA PLATEAU...BIG BEND AND LOWER TRANS PECOS TODAY. A FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE RIO GRANDE RIVER FROM NEAR PRESIDIO TO NEAR CASTOLON. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL CONTINUE TO BE REQUIRED TODAY. SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION AND BE PREPARED SHOULD HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING THREATEN THE AREA. 06
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
An early morning round of thunderstorms on the 27th aggravated the saturated conditions across southwestern Eddy County. Flash flooding along Dark Canyon Draw resulted and County Road 408 was inundated by flowing water.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, July 2004
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5414054.