Missouri, 2004

Flood in Missouri, September 18 to 19, 2004

September 18 to 19, 2004 · NWS EAX · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 18, 2:05 PM CST, 1 hour 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 18, 2:05 PM CST, 1 hour 55 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
305 PM CDT SAT SEP 18 2004

.DISCUSSION...

SATELLITE AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS CONTINUE TO DEPICT AN AMPLIFIED
PATTERN GROWING ACROSS THE CONUS. THE EAST PACIFIC TROUGH AXIS IS
LOCATED OVER THE COASTLINE OF THE WEST COAST...WHILE A MIDWEST
ANTICYCLONE GAINS STRENGTH IN RESPONSE. THE LAST OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS...THAT DOMINATED THE OVERNIGHT AND MORNING HOUR ACROSS
THE CWA...CONTINUED TO FALL APART ACROSS NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL
MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON. WHAT ACTIVITY WAS LEFT APPEARED TO BE
FUELING ITSELF WITH LEFT OVER ELEVATED INSTABILITY AND WEAK WARM AIR
ADVECTION.

FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON...ELEVATED CONVECTION WILL
PERSIST ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI. SOME OF THE LATEST RADAR TRENDS
INDICATE THAT PULSE SEVERE MAY BE A CONCERN WITH THIS ACTIVITY.
OTHERWISE...THE CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DIE OUT BY THE LATE
AFTERNOON HOURS AS MODELS DEPICT A WEDGE OF DRY AIR WORKING ITS WAY
INTO MISSOURI. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.

FOR TONIGHT...THE LOW LEVEL JET WILL ONCE AGAIN SETUP ACROSS THE
MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY...BUT THE NOSE LOOKS TO FOCUS ACTIVITY MORE TO
OUR NORTH AND EAST ALONG THE EDGE OF THE CAP. WILL KEEP SOME SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS ALONG THE EAST EDGE OF THE CWA THROUGH 03Z AS THE BACK
SIDE OF THE MCV...LEFT OVER FROM THIS MORNINGS ACTIVITY...EXITS TO
OUR EAST.

FOR SUNDAY IT WILL BE DRY WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS RANGING ABOVE NORMAL.
WARMER AIR IS POISED JUST TO OUR WEST SO THAT A SOUTHWEST 850MB WIND
WILL SPREAD +20 C TEMPS ACROSS EAST KANSAS AND WEST MISSOURI.
HOWEVER...I HAVE UNDER CUT GUIDANCE NUMBERS BY A DEGREE OR TWO DUE
TO AN EXPECTED SOUTHEAST SURFACE WIND...WHICH WILL BE SOURCING ITS
AIR FROM A COOLER LOCATION.

FOR NEXT WORK WEEK...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY FALL AS THE
WEST COAST TROUGH TRAVERSES THE NATION. THE GFS/CANADIAN/UKMET HAVE
LEANED TOWARDS A SLOWER SLIGHTLY LESS AMPLIFIED SOLUTION...WHILE THE
ECMWF CONTINUES TO BE MUCH FASTER. A CONSENSUS FORECAST WITH THE
MAJORITY LOOKS LIKE THE WAY TO GO. THIS WOULD KEEP THE STORM TRACK
TO THE NORTH OF OUR CWA THROUGH THURSDAY WHEN THE SHORTWAVE WILL
PUSH A COLD FRONT THROUGH. TO THIS END I HAVE PUSHED BACK
THUNDERSTORM POPS TO THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.

CUTTER

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

316 AM SAT...
ONGOING CONVECTION ACROSS CWA TONIGHT IS IN AREA OF THETA/E
ADVECTION...ALONG WITH NOSE OF LLVL JET.  THE ETA HAS THIS AREA OF
CONVECTION MOVING EAST THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT...WHICH ALIGNS
WELL WITH THE MESOSCALE FEATURES.  THERE HAS BEEN SOME TRAINING
EFFECT...SO WITH SLOW MOVING STORMS HAVE SEEN HEAVY RAINFALL
AMOUNTS.  WILL CONTINUE PRECIP CHANCES THROUGH MID MORNING FOR
MAINLY EASTERN PORTIONS OF CWA.  THE GFS GENERATES A VORT IN
CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK...WHICH AFFECTS THE AREA THROUGH THE ENTIRE
DAY.  SEEING THIS FEATURE MAKES ONE QUESTION WHETHER OR NOT WE MAY
NEED TO HOLD ON TO POPS A LITTLE BIT LONGER INTO THE AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER FEEL THAT AS THE JET REFOCUSES...WE SHOULD DRY OUT.  WILL GO
RIGHT AROUND FWC GUIDANCE TODAY. UNLIKE YESTERDAY...WE ARE NOT
WATCHING MORE CONVECTION IN KS OR NEBRASKA...SO AS PRECIP
ENDS...CLOUDS SHOULD BREAK UP ENOUGH FOR A DECENT RISE THIS
AFTERNOON.

UPPER LEVEL RIDGE HAS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE RIDING AROUND IT TONIGHT.
HOWEVER THE LLVL JET IS FOCUSED FARTHER NORTH AND WEST...SO WILL
MAINTAIN DRY FORECAST.

THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS FEATURE SOUTHEASTERLY SURFACE WINDS WITH A
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE.  THIS IS NOT A WARMING WIND FOR US...SO HAVE
CONTINUED PREVIOUS FORECAST TREND OF GOING WITH THE COOLER GUIDANCE
NUMBERS.  NEXT WEATHER FEATURE IS THE FRONT TO OUR NORTHWEST...
TIMING IS UNCERTAIN WHEN IT WILL COME THROUGH. WILL CONTINUE
PREVIOUS FORECAST WHICH AIMS FOR THURSDAY...ALTHOUGH THAT MAY NEED
TO BE PUSHED BACK.

LVQ

904 PM...
REVISING FORECASTS TO REFLECT ONGOING CONVECTION AND EXPECTED
CONVECTION DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT. ISENTROPIC LIFT SHOULD BECOME MORE
FOCUSED INTO NORTHWEST MISSOURI AND NORTHEAST KANSAS TONIGHT.
ALREADY SEEING AC FIELD DEVELOPING IN THAT AREA ON SATELLITE...SO
MAY SEE INITIATION IN THOSE AREAS BEFORE MIDNIGHT AS LOW LEVEL JET
INCREASES.  ACTIVITY SHOULD SPREAD FURTHER EAST AS THETA E ADVECTION
MOVES FROM NORTHWEST INTO NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI OVERNIGHT. EVEN
THOUGH STORMS WILL BE SOMEWHAT ELEVATED WHICH MAY PREVENT STRONGER
WINDS FROM REACHING THE SURFACE...EXPECTED LIFT WOULD INDICATE THAT
THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL OF LARGER HAIL.  ALREADY UPDATED THE
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK BASED ON THE 01Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK FROM SPC.

PC

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.

WFO EAX
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 18, 12:40 PM CST, 3 hours 20 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
140 PM CDT SAT SEP 18 2004

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-191100-

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON. AN ISOLATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE MAINLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM BUTLER
TO HIGGINSVILLE TO MOBERLY. THE PRIMARY THREATS ARE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS. OTHERWISE...NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED ELSEWHERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY AS A COLD
FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES THE REGION.  AT THIS
TIME...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LOOK POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON BUT MAY BE NEEDED
ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA ON THURSDAY.

&&

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGIC AND CLIMATE
INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT (LOWER CASE)
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/EAX OR HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.

DB

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 18, 11:29 AM CST, 4 hours 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1229 PM CDT SAT SEP 18 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 AM     FLASH FLOOD      PLATTE CITY             39.36N 94.78W
09/18/2004                   PLATTE             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER OVER ROADS IN TOWN

&&

HUDSON
Local storm report, Sep 18, 11:32 AM CST, 4 hours 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT ... SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1232 PM CDT SAT SEP 18 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1040 PM     HAIL             3 N LEAVENWORTH         39.37N 94.92W
09/17/2004  0.88 INCH        LEAVENWORTH        KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HAIL OCCURRED IN KICKAPOO KANSAS AREA.

1045 PM     HAIL             5 SSW AVENUE CITY       39.81N 94.82W
09/17/2004  0.88 INCH        BUCHANAN           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

1205 AM     HAIL             EASTON                  39.72N 94.64W
09/18/2004  2.00 INCH        BUCHANAN           MO   PUBLIC

            RELAYED BY TROOP H. HAIL MAY HAVE BEEN LARGER BUT NOT
            CONFIRMED.

1210 AM     HAIL             STEWARTSVILLE           39.75N 94.50W
09/18/2004  1.75 INCH        DEKALB             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL LASTED FOR ABOUT 20 MINUTES

1212 AM     HAIL             EDGERTON                39.51N 94.63W
09/18/2004  0.75 INCH        PLATTE             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            REPORTED BY EDGERTON-TRIMBLE FIRE.

1235 AM     HAIL             2 S COSBY               39.83N 94.68W
09/18/2004  1.75 INCH        ANDREW             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

1235 AM     HAIL             MOSBY                   39.32N 94.30W
09/18/2004  0.75 INCH        CLAY               MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

1240 AM     HAIL             ROCHESTER               39.92N 94.70W
09/18/2004  1.75 INCH        ANDREW             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

1240 AM     HAIL             PLATTSBURG              39.56N 94.46W
09/18/2004  1.00 INCH        CLINTON            MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

1240 AM     HAIL             CLARKSDALE              39.81N 94.55W
09/18/2004  0.75 INCH        DEKALB             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0130 AM     FLASH FLOOD      10 E SAVANNAH           39.94N 94.64W
09/18/2004                   ANDREW             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER OVER ROUTE F AND COUNTY ROADS 257 AND 253. DRIVER
            STRANDED ON 257.

0130 AM     FLASH FLOOD      6 S UNION STAR          39.89N 94.60W
09/18/2004                   DEKALB             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            CREEK FLOWING OVER ROUTE V JUST EAST OF ANDREW-DE KALB
            COUNTY LINE.

0140 AM     HAIL             5 NW GRANT CITY         40.54N 94.48W
09/18/2004  0.88 INCH        WORTH              MO   PUBLIC

0200 AM     HAIL             KANSAS CITY             39.12N 94.55W
09/18/2004  0.88 INCH        JACKSON            MO   PUBLIC

            NICKEL HAIL AT 23RD AND INTERSTATE 35

0225 AM     HAIL             KANSAS CITY             39.12N 94.55W
09/18/2004  1.75 INCH        JACKSON            MO   PUBLIC

            GOLF BALL HAIL NEAR BANNISTER RD AND INTERSTATE 435

0228 AM     HAIL             LEES SUMMIT             38.92N 94.38W
09/18/2004  1.75 INCH        JACKSON            MO   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            QUARTER TO GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL ALONG INTERSTATE 470
            CORRIDOR IN LEES SUMMIT

0230 AM     HAIL             6 E GRANDVIEW           38.87N 94.42W
09/18/2004  0.88 INCH        JACKSON            MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0240 AM     HAIL             LEES SUMMIT             38.92N 94.38W
09/18/2004  2.00 INCH        JACKSON            MO   PUBLIC

            NEAR INTERSTATE 470 AND WOODS CHAPEL ROAD

0330 AM     FLASH FLOOD      5 S AMITY               39.80N 94.43W
09/18/2004                   DEKALB             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER OVER ROUTE J IN SEVERAL SPOTS BETWEEN HIGHWAYS 36
            AND 6.

0430 AM     FLASH FLOOD      PERRIN                  39.67N 94.42W
09/18/2004                   CLINTON            MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER OVER HIGHWAY 33 IN SEVERAL LOCATIONS ACROSS CLINTON
            COUNTY.

0507 AM     HAIL             KANSAS CITY             39.12N 94.55W
09/18/2004  0.88 INCH        JACKSON            MO   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT 87TH AND WINCHESTER.

0550 AM     FLASH FLOOD      LIBERTY                 39.24N 94.42W
09/18/2004                   CLAY               MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FLASH FLOODING REPORTED ALONG OLD HIGHWAY 210 BETWEEN
            BLUFF ROAD AND RAINES ROAD.

0600 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG ROCKPORT                40.42N 95.52W
09/18/2004                   ATCHISON           MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A FEW TREES BLOWN DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY BY VERY STRONG
            SUSTAINED NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS.

0600 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 S ARKOE               40.23N 94.83W
09/18/2004                   NODAWAY            MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE BLOWN DOWN ONTO HIGHWAY JUST SOUTH OF ARKOE.

0855 AM     FLASH FLOOD      PLATTE CITY             39.36N 94.78W
09/18/2004                   PLATTE             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER OVER ROADS IN TOWN

&&

CUTTER

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Johnson

When
September 18, 4:00 PM CST to September 19, 6:00 AM CST
Where
Johnson forecast zone
Reported by
OFFICIAL NWS OBS.
Coordinates
38.744, -93.806 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The Blackwater River near Valley City crested at 25.65 feet, or 3.65 feet above flood stage.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Missouri in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, September 2004

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5424700.