Missouri, 2004Flood in Missouri, September 18 to 19, 2004
September 18 to 19, 2004 · NWS EAX · 1 event in 1 county or zone
1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
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- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 18, 2:05 PM CST, 1 hour 55 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 18, 2:05 PM CST, 1 hour 55 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
305 PM CDT SAT SEP 18 2004
.DISCUSSION...
SATELLITE AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS CONTINUE TO DEPICT AN AMPLIFIED
PATTERN GROWING ACROSS THE CONUS. THE EAST PACIFIC TROUGH AXIS IS
LOCATED OVER THE COASTLINE OF THE WEST COAST...WHILE A MIDWEST
ANTICYCLONE GAINS STRENGTH IN RESPONSE. THE LAST OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS...THAT DOMINATED THE OVERNIGHT AND MORNING HOUR ACROSS
THE CWA...CONTINUED TO FALL APART ACROSS NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL
MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON. WHAT ACTIVITY WAS LEFT APPEARED TO BE
FUELING ITSELF WITH LEFT OVER ELEVATED INSTABILITY AND WEAK WARM AIR
ADVECTION.
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON...ELEVATED CONVECTION WILL
PERSIST ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI. SOME OF THE LATEST RADAR TRENDS
INDICATE THAT PULSE SEVERE MAY BE A CONCERN WITH THIS ACTIVITY.
OTHERWISE...THE CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DIE OUT BY THE LATE
AFTERNOON HOURS AS MODELS DEPICT A WEDGE OF DRY AIR WORKING ITS WAY
INTO MISSOURI. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
FOR TONIGHT...THE LOW LEVEL JET WILL ONCE AGAIN SETUP ACROSS THE
MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY...BUT THE NOSE LOOKS TO FOCUS ACTIVITY MORE TO
OUR NORTH AND EAST ALONG THE EDGE OF THE CAP. WILL KEEP SOME SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS ALONG THE EAST EDGE OF THE CWA THROUGH 03Z AS THE BACK
SIDE OF THE MCV...LEFT OVER FROM THIS MORNINGS ACTIVITY...EXITS TO
OUR EAST.
FOR SUNDAY IT WILL BE DRY WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS RANGING ABOVE NORMAL.
WARMER AIR IS POISED JUST TO OUR WEST SO THAT A SOUTHWEST 850MB WIND
WILL SPREAD +20 C TEMPS ACROSS EAST KANSAS AND WEST MISSOURI.
HOWEVER...I HAVE UNDER CUT GUIDANCE NUMBERS BY A DEGREE OR TWO DUE
TO AN EXPECTED SOUTHEAST SURFACE WIND...WHICH WILL BE SOURCING ITS
AIR FROM A COOLER LOCATION.
FOR NEXT WORK WEEK...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY FALL AS THE
WEST COAST TROUGH TRAVERSES THE NATION. THE GFS/CANADIAN/UKMET HAVE
LEANED TOWARDS A SLOWER SLIGHTLY LESS AMPLIFIED SOLUTION...WHILE THE
ECMWF CONTINUES TO BE MUCH FASTER. A CONSENSUS FORECAST WITH THE
MAJORITY LOOKS LIKE THE WAY TO GO. THIS WOULD KEEP THE STORM TRACK
TO THE NORTH OF OUR CWA THROUGH THURSDAY WHEN THE SHORTWAVE WILL
PUSH A COLD FRONT THROUGH. TO THIS END I HAVE PUSHED BACK
THUNDERSTORM POPS TO THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.
CUTTER
&&
.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
316 AM SAT...
ONGOING CONVECTION ACROSS CWA TONIGHT IS IN AREA OF THETA/E
ADVECTION...ALONG WITH NOSE OF LLVL JET. THE ETA HAS THIS AREA OF
CONVECTION MOVING EAST THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT...WHICH ALIGNS
WELL WITH THE MESOSCALE FEATURES. THERE HAS BEEN SOME TRAINING
EFFECT...SO WITH SLOW MOVING STORMS HAVE SEEN HEAVY RAINFALL
AMOUNTS. WILL CONTINUE PRECIP CHANCES THROUGH MID MORNING FOR
MAINLY EASTERN PORTIONS OF CWA. THE GFS GENERATES A VORT IN
CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK...WHICH AFFECTS THE AREA THROUGH THE ENTIRE
DAY. SEEING THIS FEATURE MAKES ONE QUESTION WHETHER OR NOT WE MAY
NEED TO HOLD ON TO POPS A LITTLE BIT LONGER INTO THE AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER FEEL THAT AS THE JET REFOCUSES...WE SHOULD DRY OUT. WILL GO
RIGHT AROUND FWC GUIDANCE TODAY. UNLIKE YESTERDAY...WE ARE NOT
WATCHING MORE CONVECTION IN KS OR NEBRASKA...SO AS PRECIP
ENDS...CLOUDS SHOULD BREAK UP ENOUGH FOR A DECENT RISE THIS
AFTERNOON.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE HAS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE RIDING AROUND IT TONIGHT.
HOWEVER THE LLVL JET IS FOCUSED FARTHER NORTH AND WEST...SO WILL
MAINTAIN DRY FORECAST.
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS FEATURE SOUTHEASTERLY SURFACE WINDS WITH A
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE. THIS IS NOT A WARMING WIND FOR US...SO HAVE
CONTINUED PREVIOUS FORECAST TREND OF GOING WITH THE COOLER GUIDANCE
NUMBERS. NEXT WEATHER FEATURE IS THE FRONT TO OUR NORTHWEST...
TIMING IS UNCERTAIN WHEN IT WILL COME THROUGH. WILL CONTINUE
PREVIOUS FORECAST WHICH AIMS FOR THURSDAY...ALTHOUGH THAT MAY NEED
TO BE PUSHED BACK.
LVQ
904 PM...
REVISING FORECASTS TO REFLECT ONGOING CONVECTION AND EXPECTED
CONVECTION DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT. ISENTROPIC LIFT SHOULD BECOME MORE
FOCUSED INTO NORTHWEST MISSOURI AND NORTHEAST KANSAS TONIGHT.
ALREADY SEEING AC FIELD DEVELOPING IN THAT AREA ON SATELLITE...SO
MAY SEE INITIATION IN THOSE AREAS BEFORE MIDNIGHT AS LOW LEVEL JET
INCREASES. ACTIVITY SHOULD SPREAD FURTHER EAST AS THETA E ADVECTION
MOVES FROM NORTHWEST INTO NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI OVERNIGHT. EVEN
THOUGH STORMS WILL BE SOMEWHAT ELEVATED WHICH MAY PREVENT STRONGER
WINDS FROM REACHING THE SURFACE...EXPECTED LIFT WOULD INDICATE THAT
THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL OF LARGER HAIL. ALREADY UPDATED THE
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK BASED ON THE 01Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK FROM SPC.
PC
&&
.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
WFO EAX
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 18, 12:40 PM CST, 3 hours 20 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
140 PM CDT SAT SEP 18 2004
KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-191100-
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON. AN ISOLATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE MAINLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM BUTLER
TO HIGGINSVILLE TO MOBERLY. THE PRIMARY THREATS ARE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS. OTHERWISE...NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED ELSEWHERE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY AS A COLD
FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES THE REGION. AT THIS
TIME...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LOOK POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON BUT MAY BE NEEDED
ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA ON THURSDAY.
&&
THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGIC AND CLIMATE
INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT (LOWER CASE)
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/EAX OR HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.
DB
In the hours before
Local storm report, Sep 18, 11:29 AM CST, 4 hours 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1229 PM CDT SAT SEP 18 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0855 AM FLASH FLOOD PLATTE CITY 39.36N 94.78W
09/18/2004 PLATTE MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
WATER OVER ROADS IN TOWN
&&
HUDSONLocal storm report, Sep 18, 11:32 AM CST, 4 hours 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT ... SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1232 PM CDT SAT SEP 18 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1040 PM HAIL 3 N LEAVENWORTH 39.37N 94.92W
09/17/2004 0.88 INCH LEAVENWORTH KS EMERGENCY MNGR
HAIL OCCURRED IN KICKAPOO KANSAS AREA.
1045 PM HAIL 5 SSW AVENUE CITY 39.81N 94.82W
09/17/2004 0.88 INCH BUCHANAN MO TRAINED SPOTTER
1205 AM HAIL EASTON 39.72N 94.64W
09/18/2004 2.00 INCH BUCHANAN MO PUBLIC
RELAYED BY TROOP H. HAIL MAY HAVE BEEN LARGER BUT NOT
CONFIRMED.
1210 AM HAIL STEWARTSVILLE 39.75N 94.50W
09/18/2004 1.75 INCH DEKALB MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL LASTED FOR ABOUT 20 MINUTES
1212 AM HAIL EDGERTON 39.51N 94.63W
09/18/2004 0.75 INCH PLATTE MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
REPORTED BY EDGERTON-TRIMBLE FIRE.
1235 AM HAIL 2 S COSBY 39.83N 94.68W
09/18/2004 1.75 INCH ANDREW MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
1235 AM HAIL MOSBY 39.32N 94.30W
09/18/2004 0.75 INCH CLAY MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
1240 AM HAIL ROCHESTER 39.92N 94.70W
09/18/2004 1.75 INCH ANDREW MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
1240 AM HAIL PLATTSBURG 39.56N 94.46W
09/18/2004 1.00 INCH CLINTON MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
1240 AM HAIL CLARKSDALE 39.81N 94.55W
09/18/2004 0.75 INCH DEKALB MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
0130 AM FLASH FLOOD 10 E SAVANNAH 39.94N 94.64W
09/18/2004 ANDREW MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
WATER OVER ROUTE F AND COUNTY ROADS 257 AND 253. DRIVER
STRANDED ON 257.
0130 AM FLASH FLOOD 6 S UNION STAR 39.89N 94.60W
09/18/2004 DEKALB MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
CREEK FLOWING OVER ROUTE V JUST EAST OF ANDREW-DE KALB
COUNTY LINE.
0140 AM HAIL 5 NW GRANT CITY 40.54N 94.48W
09/18/2004 0.88 INCH WORTH MO PUBLIC
0200 AM HAIL KANSAS CITY 39.12N 94.55W
09/18/2004 0.88 INCH JACKSON MO PUBLIC
NICKEL HAIL AT 23RD AND INTERSTATE 35
0225 AM HAIL KANSAS CITY 39.12N 94.55W
09/18/2004 1.75 INCH JACKSON MO PUBLIC
GOLF BALL HAIL NEAR BANNISTER RD AND INTERSTATE 435
0228 AM HAIL LEES SUMMIT 38.92N 94.38W
09/18/2004 1.75 INCH JACKSON MO FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
QUARTER TO GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL ALONG INTERSTATE 470
CORRIDOR IN LEES SUMMIT
0230 AM HAIL 6 E GRANDVIEW 38.87N 94.42W
09/18/2004 0.88 INCH JACKSON MO TRAINED SPOTTER
0240 AM HAIL LEES SUMMIT 38.92N 94.38W
09/18/2004 2.00 INCH JACKSON MO PUBLIC
NEAR INTERSTATE 470 AND WOODS CHAPEL ROAD
0330 AM FLASH FLOOD 5 S AMITY 39.80N 94.43W
09/18/2004 DEKALB MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
WATER OVER ROUTE J IN SEVERAL SPOTS BETWEEN HIGHWAYS 36
AND 6.
0430 AM FLASH FLOOD PERRIN 39.67N 94.42W
09/18/2004 CLINTON MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
WATER OVER HIGHWAY 33 IN SEVERAL LOCATIONS ACROSS CLINTON
COUNTY.
0507 AM HAIL KANSAS CITY 39.12N 94.55W
09/18/2004 0.88 INCH JACKSON MO FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT 87TH AND WINCHESTER.
0550 AM FLASH FLOOD LIBERTY 39.24N 94.42W
09/18/2004 CLAY MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
FLASH FLOODING REPORTED ALONG OLD HIGHWAY 210 BETWEEN
BLUFF ROAD AND RAINES ROAD.
0600 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG ROCKPORT 40.42N 95.52W
09/18/2004 ATCHISON MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
A FEW TREES BLOWN DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY BY VERY STRONG
SUSTAINED NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS.
0600 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 S ARKOE 40.23N 94.83W
09/18/2004 NODAWAY MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
TREE BLOWN DOWN ONTO HIGHWAY JUST SOUTH OF ARKOE.
0855 AM FLASH FLOOD PLATTE CITY 39.36N 94.78W
09/18/2004 PLATTE MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
WATER OVER ROADS IN TOWN
&&
CUTTERFlood, Johnson
- When
- September 18, 4:00 PM CST to September 19, 6:00 AM CST
- Where
- Johnson forecast zone
- Reported by
- OFFICIAL NWS OBS.
- Coordinates
- 38.744, -93.806 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The Blackwater River near Valley City crested at 25.65 feet, or 3.65 feet above flood stage.
- Flood
- Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Damaging Wind in Maryland, September 18, 20042 deaths · 61 kt wind · 1 event
- Flash Flood in Pennsylvania, September 18, 2004$100 million · 1 event
- Wildfire in Wyoming, September 18, 20049 injured · $1.0 million · 1 event
- Flash Flood and Flood in New Jersey, September 18 to 20, 2004$28 million · 2 events
- Flash Flood and Flood in Pennsylvania, September 18 to 20, 2004$25 million · 2 events
- Flash Flood and Flood in Pennsylvania, September 18 to 21, 20041 death · 2 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Wind in North Atlantic Coastal Waters, September 18, 20041 death · 1 event
- Flash Flood in Pennsylvania, September 18, 2004$20 million · 1 event
- Flash Flood and Flood in Pennsylvania, September 18 to 20, 2004$16 million · 2 events
- Flash Flood in New York, September 18, 2004$15 million · 1 event
- Flash Flood in Pennsylvania, September 18, 2004$15 million · 1 event
- Flash Flood in Pennsylvania, September 18, 2004$15 million · 1 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5424700.