1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 26, 6:55 PM CST, 5 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 655 PM CST FRI NOV 26 2004 .DISCUSSION... SOME MINOR REVISIONS TO TONIGHT AND SATURDAY FORECAST TO BETTER FIT PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE TRENDS. WILL INCREASE POPS FOR NORTHWEST MISSOURI AND NORTHEAST CORNER OF KANSAS BASED ON PRECIPITATION SPREADING ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS. WILL ALSO INTRODUCE A BRIEF PERIOD OF MIXED PRECIPITATION AS BACK EDGE OF DEFORMATION BAND MOVES OUT OF NORTHWEST MISSOURI...WITH FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOWING FREEZING LEVEL DROPPING TO BELOW 900 MB IN THOSE AREAS AS PRECIPITATION COMES TO AN END. ALSO WILL SLOW THE RATE OF COOLING TONIGHT AS AIR BEHIND THE FRONT IS INITIALLY NOT THAT COOL. STILL SEEING LOWER 40S BEHIND THE FRONT IN NEBRASKA AND NORTHWEST KANSAS. PC && .PREV DISCUSSION... 351 PM... SATELLITE AND UPPER AIR DATA SHOW THE NATION..AS A WHOLE...DOMINATED BY A WEAK TROUGH. A SLOWLY DEEPENING SHORTWAVE IS NOTED MOVING THROUGH THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN TODAY. IT IS THIS SHORTWAVE THAT WILL EJECT THROUGH THE MIDWEST OVERNIGHT AND SATURDAY...BRINGING MORE RAIN TO EASTERN KANSAS AND NORTHERN MISSOURI. OVERNIGHT...THE SHORTWAVE WILL EJECT THROUGH THE PLAINS. THIS WAVE WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE CWA...WITH DEEP LAYER MOISTURE ADVECTING NORTH JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT. BOTH THE GFS AND ETA ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF THE FRONT AND ATTENDANT PRECIP. BOTH MODELS SHOW THAT ISENTROPIC LIFT LOOKS TO BE THE PRIMARY FORCING COMPONENT AHEAD OF AND ALONG THE FRONT AS A THETA-E RIDGE EXPANDS NORTHEAST. RIGHT ENTRANCE JET DYNAMICS SHOULD PROVIDE ENOUGH LIFT TO SQUEEZE SOME LIGHT PRECIP OUT OF THE SATURATED AIR BEHIND THE FRONT...WITHIN THE DEFORMATION ZONE. THE RAIN/SNOW LINE SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE MISSOURI/IOWA BORDER AS THE WARM TEMPERATURES ADVECTED NORTH AHEAD OF THE FRONT TODAY WILL PREVENT THE COLUMN OF AIR FROM COOLING ENOUGH TO CHANGE OVER. THE OTHER CONCERN FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS IS THE AMOUNT OF PRECIP THAT CENTRAL MISSOURI WILL RECEIVE. SEVERAL RIVERS IN CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI ARE STILL JUST ABOVE FLOOD STAGE OR HAVE JUST GONE BELOW. IT SHOULD NOT TAKE MUCH MORE THAN HALF AN INCH OF RAIN TO SEND SOME OF THESE RIVERS BACK INTO FLOOD. HOWEVER...QPF IS LESS THAN HALF AN INCH...SO I HAVE NOT ISSUED A FLOOD WATCH...BUT HYDRO WILL NEED WATCHING. FOR SATURDAY...WINDS WILL PICK UP BEHIND THE FRONT AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM GETS SPUN UP MOVING EAST. PRESSURE GRADIENTS ON THE BACK SIDE LOOK TO INCREASE EARLY TOMORROW MORNING...SO I HAVE UPPED WINDS A LITTLE. THE NORTHERLY DIRECTION OF THE WIND WILL BRING NOTHING BUT COOL AIR TO KANSAS AND MISSOURI TOMORROW. THEREFORE... LEFT TEMPS BELOW GUIDANCE. FOR SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...I LEFT THE FORECAST AS IS. GFE AND ETA STILL AGREE THAT PRECIP SHOULD START SUNDAY NIGHT. THE RAIN/SNOW LINE CONTINUES TO BE TRICKY...BUT I SAW NO STRONG REASON TO LIFT IT NORTH OF ITS CURRENT LOCATION SOUTH OF I-70 RIGHT NOW. OTHERWISE...KEPT TEMPS BELOW NORMAL DUE TO NORTHEAST SURFACE WINDS. WARM ADVECTION TYPE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE DAY MONDAY WITH A BROAD AREA OF ISENTROPIC LIFT OVER SPREADING THE FORECAST AREA. THE WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL BE AHEAD OF AN EJECTING UPPER LOW FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THE GFS HAS FLIP FLOPPED TO A MORE SOUTHERLY UPPER LOW FORECAST TRACK WITH A MORE ELONGATED LOOKING TROUGH. ON THE OTHER HAND...THE ECMWF HAS RETAINED BETTER CONSISTENCY AND TAKES THE LOW FURTHER NORTH ACROSS NORTHERN MISSOURI...MORE LIKE YESTERDAYS 00Z GFS. FOLLOWED MORE ALONG THE LINES OF THE ECMWF WHICH RESULTED IN ONLY MINOR CHANGES TO THE GOING FORECAST. PRECIPITATION CHANCES INCREASE AGAIN ON TUESDAY AS THE SYSTEM REACHES THE AREA. 850MB TEMPERATURES ARE A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN PREVIOUS RUNS...WHICH TRANSLATES TO PRECIPITATION BEGINNING AS RAIN ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI WITH THE CHANGEOVER TO SNOW POSSIBLY DELAYED UNTIL LATE TUESDAY. CUTTER/STOFLET 301 AM FRI... EARLY MORNING ANALYSIS DEPICTS ZONAL/NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ACROSS GREATER PORTION OF WESTERN CONUS...WITH A FEW EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES IN THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN REGION. SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS DEVELOPING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA...ALTHOUGH FRONTS ARE POORLY DEFINED AT THIS TIME. CLOSER TO HOME...ONLY HIGH CLOUDS PRESENT ASSOCIATED WITH WEAK ISENTROPIC LIFT. MAIN CONCERN IN THE SHORT TERM (FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT) WILL BE WITH COLD FRONT SWEEPING THROUGH THE AREA LATE FRIDAY EVENING. CONDITIONS DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY WILL BE THOSE ASSOCIATED WITH WARM ADVECTION...WITH CLOUDS GRADUALLY INCREASING AS THE MORNING PROGRESSES. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BRING UP TEMPERATURES AS WELL AS DEWPOINTS...LOCATIONS AROUND KANSAS CITY WILL REACH THE LOW 50S...ERODING QUITE A BIT OF THE REMAINING SNOWPACK. ABUNDANT MOISTURE WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE BOTTLED UP OVER LOUISIANA...AND AS A RESULT...THE CHANCE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION WITH THIS FRONT IS LIMITED. PROFILES ACROSS MISSOURI WOULD SUGGEST THAT PRECIPITATION WILL BE IN THE FORM OF RAIN DURING THE DURATION OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...WITH STRONG COLD ADVECTION COMING AFTER THE PRECIPITATION HAS ENDED. DEWPOINTS PROGGED TO REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE EVENT, COMBINED WITH STRONG DRY AIR INTRUSION IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE FRONT HAS LED ME TO REMOVE MENTION OF SNOW IN THE FORECAST FOR SATURDAY MORNING. MADE A COUPLE OF MINOR MODIFICATIONS FOR THE SUN/MON TIMEFRAME. WARM AIR ADVECTION STILL DECENT...SO MOISTURE LOOKS TO BE PLENTIFUL AHEAD OF THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL WAVE. SOME CONCERN ABOUT PRECIP TYPE MAINLY ON MONDAY...AS SOME DAYTIME TEMPS LOOK TOO WARM TO SUPPORT SNOW. EASTERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS STILL TRYING TO SHUTTLE IN DRY LOW LEVEL TEMPS WHICH MAY CAUSE SOME LOWERING OF WET BULB TEMPS IN THE LAYER...SO HAVE LEFT THE SNOW IN THE NORTHERN COUNTIES. HOWEVER...HAVE ADDED MORE RAIN/SNOW MIX WORDING MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF I70. DL/LVQ && .EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...NONE. MO...NONE. WFO EAX
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 1243 PM CST FRI NOV 26 2004 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-271200- THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT RAIN WILL BECOME LIKELY OVERNIGHT AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH KANSAS AND MISSOURI. THIS WILL BE AN ALL RAIN SYSTEM...WITH SNOW STAYING WELL NORTH OF MISSOURI. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT ENOUGH RAIN MAY FALL TO CAUSE RIVERS THAT HAVE RECENTLY BEEN IN FLOOD...IN CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...TO GO BACK INTO FLOOD OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS NOT ANTICIPATED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY THERE IS A CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM TO OUR WEST. PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF SNOW...OR RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW...IS EXPECTED NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70. LOCATIONS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70 ARE MORE LIKELY TO SEE RAIN. THE STORM SYSTEM IS THEN EXPECTED TO REACH THE AREA ON TUESDAY WITH A BETTER CHANCE FOR MEASURABLE SNOW. BE SURE TO MONITOR FUTURE OUTLOOKS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. && THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGIC AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT (LOWER CASE) HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/EAX OR HTTP://WEATHER.GOV. CUTTER
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The South Grand River near Urich crested at 26.75 feet, or 2.75 feet above flood stage.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, November 2004
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5427879.