1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 1, 3:45 AM CST, 28 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 345 AM CST MON NOV 1 2004 ...MAJOR FLOOD EVENT UNFOLDING ACROSS THE MISSOURI OZARKS... DISCUSSION... SERIOUS CONCERNS REVOLVE AROUND FLOODING OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRIMARY UPPER LEVEL COLD CORE BEGINNING TO WRAP UP OVER NORTHERN NEW MEXICO. THE PROBLEM IS THAT THE SYSTEM HAS DUG FURTHER SOUTH THAN EXPECTED...RESULTING IN A SLOWER FRONTAL AND UPPER LOW PASSAGE THAN INITIALLY THOUGHT. IN RESPONSE...THE GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE TAP WILL REMAIN IN TACT OVER THE OZARKS FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS...ALLOWING FOR A PROLONGED PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN...ENHANCING THE FLOOD POTENTIAL. THE RAINFALL HAS PROVED TO BE VERY EFFICIENT IN NATURE AS RADAR ESTIMATES FROM THE KSGF 88-D ARE UNDERESTIMATING HOURLY AND STORM TOTALS. A CARPET BOMB FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SEVERAL COUNTIES FROM SOUTHWEST MISSOURI UP INTO THE LAKE OF THE OZARKS REGION. STAY TUNED FOR FUTURE WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS CONCERNING THIS LIFE THREATENING WEATHER EVENT. BOTH THE GFS AND THE ETA SHIFTS THE BELT OF HEAVY RAIN EAST WITH TIME TODAY...LINGERING THIS LINE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI A FEW HOURS INTO TONIGHTS PERIOD. GIVEN THE POSITIONING OF THE UPPER LOW AND LONG WAVE TROUGH...THIS BAND OF HEAVY PRECIPITATION MAY PROGRESS MUCH SLOWER THAN THE MODELS INDICATE. IN ANY CASE...PRECIPITATION CHANCES REMAIN HIGH AND THIS WILL BE REFLECTED IN THE GRIDS AND ZONES. UNTIL THE PASSAGE OF THE MAIN SYSTEM GETS THROUGH...PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE GOING TO EXIST. AS OF NOW...THE GFS HAS THE UPPER LOW SWINGING THROUGH DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. THEREFORE HAD TO INTRODUCE LIKELY POPS IN THIS PERIOD. AS A MATTER OF FACT...THE GFS DOESNT GIVE THE AMOUNT OF QPF JUSTICE. THE MODEL IS WAY UNDERDONE SO LOOK FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN ON WEDNESDAY. WOULDNT BE SURPRISED TO SEE THE UPPER LOW SWING THROUGH EVEN SLOWER THAN THE CURRENT SOLUTION...SO POPS MAY NEED TO BE INTRODUCED INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHTS PERIOD AS WELL. HEADING INTO THE LONG TERM...MEDIUM RANGE MODELS STILL INDICATE A PERIOD WITH ZONAL FLOW ACROSS THE LOWER 48. MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL EXIST WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE 50S...AND LOWS IN THE 30S AND 40S. AS OF RIGHT NOW...I CANT PINPOINT ANY PERIODS WHERE PRECIPITATION CHANCES EXIST. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE SERIES OF SHORTWAVES THAT WILL MIGRATE THROUGH THE FLOW...PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL LIKELY BE INTRODUCED WITH TIME IN A FEW OF THESE PERIODS. && .AVIATION... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE THE PRIMARY AVIATION HAZARD ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND THE MISSOURI OZARKS TODAY. LOOK FOR THIS BAND OF HEAVIER PRECIPITATION TO REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH MUCH OF TODAY. THIS WILL ULTIMATELY LOWER CEILINGS TO IFR CONDITIONS WITH THE HEAVIER PRECIPITATION...WITH VARIABLE VISIBILITIES. && .SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS IN EFFECT THROUGH 900AM FOR SEVERAL COUNTIES OVER SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL MISSOURI. KS...NONE. CRAMER
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 955 PM CST SUN OCT 31 2004 KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-011200- BARRY-BARTON-BENTON-BOURBON-CAMDEN-CEDAR-CHEROKEE-CHRISTIAN-CRAWFORD- DADE-DALLAS-DENT-DOUGLAS-GREENE-HICKORY-HOWELL-JASPER-LACLEDE- LAWRENCE-MARIES-MCDONALD-MILLER-MORGAN-NEWTON-OREGON-OZARK-PHELPS- POLK-PULASKI-SHANNON-ST. CLAIR-STONE-TANEY-TEXAS-VERNON-WEBSTER- WRIGHT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...AVA...BOLIVAR...BRANSON...CAMDENTON... FORT LEONARD WOOD...FORT SCOTT...HOUSTON...JOPLIN...LEBANON... MONETT...MOUNT VERNON...NEOSHO...NEVADA...OSAGE BEACH...OZARK... PITTSBURG...ROLLA...SPRINGFIELD...STOCKTON AND WEST PLAINS. 955 PM CST SUN OCT 31 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED: THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING. AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING: MUCH OF EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI THROUGH TONIGHT. DISCUSSION: A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE NORTHWARD INTO THE MISSOURI OZARKS REGION TONIGHT. AMPLE MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL INTERACT WITH THE FRONT TO CONTINUE PRODUCING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS. OCCASIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED AND FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE NIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. RAIN AND A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. ALTHOUGH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...THE PRIMARY HAZARD WILL BE FLOODING DUE TO SATURATED SOILS FROM PREVIOUS RAINFALL. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. HOWEVER... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT THEIR RAINFALL TOTALS. TERRY
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
0307 AM CST MON NOV 01 2004
..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0208 AM FLASH FLOOD PINEVILLE 36.60N 94.38W
11/01/2004 MCDONALD MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
LOW WATER CROSSING AND STREETS FLOODED IN THE PINEVILLE
AREA. REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT.
0300 AM FLASH FLOOD (UMN)MONETT 36.88N 93.90W
11/01/2004 BARRY MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
FLOODING OF STREETS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS IN AND
AROUND MONETT. REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT.PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
0354 AM CST MON NOV 01 2004
..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0330 AM FLASH FLOOD 15 N WARSAW 38.46N 93.38W
11/01/2004 BENTON MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
FLOODING ON HIGHWAY 65 NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF HWY 52.
REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT.
0330 AM FLASH FLOOD WARSAW 38.25N 93.38W
11/01/2004 BENTON MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
FLOODING REPORTED ON ROADS AND HIGHWAYS. FLOODING OVER
HIGHWAY 65 1.5 MILES NORTH OF WARSAW. REPORTED BY LAW
ENFORCEMENT.PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
0355 AM CST MON NOV 01 2004
..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0330 AM FLOOD NEOSHO 36.87N 94.37W
11/01/2004 NEWTON MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
ONGOING STREET FLOODING IN NEOSHO. REPORTED BY LAW
ENFORCEMENT.The Springfield radar (KSGF), 60 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 10:13 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Heavy rain caused significant street flooding in the city of Buffalo, including a section of Highway 65.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, November 2004
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5427433.