1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 29, 3:08 AM CST, 37 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 308 AM CST MON MAR 29 2004 .DISCUSSION... CURRENTLY WATCHING SHOWERS WORK THEIR WAY FROM NORTH CENTRAL TO NORTHEASTERN KANSAS. SEEMS TO BE ON THE EDGE OF THE H5 COLD POOL WITH ADDITIONAL AID FROM A LITTLE SHRTWV. ORIGINALLY THOUGHT THE ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE STEEP LAPSE RATES WOULD BE DIURNALLY DRIVEN...BUT SINCE THESE SHOWERS ARE HOLDING TOGETHER...WILL HAVE TO BRING POPS IN EARLIER. MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE AROUND 8 DEG...AND SHOWALTERS ARE AROUND ZERO. A FEW STRONG STORMS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. THEY WILL BE THE SCATTERED UP/DOWN HARD TO WARN FOR KIND. PER SPC...WE GOT SEE TEXT-ED... THE COLD AIR SWINGS IN TUESDAY MORNING. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE SOME FROST AROUND WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HAVE ALSO DROPPED TEMPS FOR TUESDAY HIGHS. NOT AS CONVINCED WE WILL SEE ANY CONVECTION AS BEST LAPSE RATES SHOULD BE FARTHER TO THE EAST. NOT TOTALLY OUT OF THE QUESTION THOUGH...SO LEFT IN THE SLIGHT CHANCES FOR TUES AFTN IN THE NORTHEASTERN COUNTIES. BY MID WEEK THE GFS UPPER LEVEL FEATURES LOOK LIKE TWO EYEBALLS STARING FROM THE EDGES OF THE COUNTRY. THIS BLOCKING PATTERN...IF CORRECT...IS ALSO MIRRORED IN THE ECMWF. THIS WOULD LEAD TO A PREVAILING E/NE FLOW THAT WILL KEEP TEMPS IN CHECK FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. HAVE GONE AHEAD AND TRENDED COOLER FOR DAY 4/5. DEPENDING ON CLOUD COVER...WED MORNING LOWS MAY EVEN BE IN THE UPPER 20S. WILL NEED TO CONSIDER ADDING FREEZE WORDING TO ZFP TEXT. NO OTHER CHANGES MADE. LVQ && .PREV DISCUSSION... 345 PM SUN... THE HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL PREVENT THE WEATHER FROM CHANGING MUCH OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES WILL CARVE OUT A DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE MIDWEST BY TUESDAY. IN THE MEAN TIME, COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL BRING ENOUGH INSTABILITY TO THE AREA TO CONSIDER AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. FOR THIS EVENING, SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL MOVE INTO THE EXTREME NORTHWEST TIP OF MISSOURI AS STEEP LAPSE RATES IN THE CYCLONIC FLOW MAKE FAVOR SCATTERED CONVECTION. SHOWERS WILL COLLAPSE QUICKLY AS THE SUN SETS LEAVING CLEAR SKIES FOR MOST OF NORTHERN MISSOURI TONIGHT. LAPSE RATES STEEPEN FURTHER TOMORROW AS THE UPPER TROUGH AXIS APPROACHES THE KANSAS MISSOURI STATE LINE. DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 30S WILL CUT DOWN ON THE SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY, BUT MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST AMPLE MOISTURE IN THE 700 TO 600 MB LAYER. IVE INCREASED THE PROBABILITY OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND STORMS TO 30 TO 40 PERCENT TOMORROW. VERY COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL MAKE SMALL HAIL A POSSIBILITY WITH THE STRONGER CELLS TOMORROW AFTERNOON. GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO BE A CONCERN WITH STORMS SINCE DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS IN THE LOWEST 200 MB OF THE COLUMN WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO CREATE STRONG COLD POOLS. THE JURY IS STILL OUT ON THE POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. I FAVOR THE DEEPER, SLOWER GFS OVER THE ETA SINCE THE GENERAL UPPER PATTERN IS SO AMPLIFIED. EVEN THE DEEPER SOLUTION SUGGESTS LAPSE RATES INCREASE ENOUGH TUESDAY THAT CONVECTION WILL BE SCARCE. FOR NOW IVE INCLUDED 20 TO 30 PERCENT CHANCES OF SHOWERS OVER EASTERN SECTIONS OF MISSOURI, BUT LEFT THE REST OF THE FORECAST AREA DRY. KOCH IN THE MEDIUM RANGE THE MODELS DISPLAY A FAIR AMOUNT OF AGREEMENT. THIS IS A LITTLE SURPRISING GIVEN THE ODD DOUBLE CUTOFF LOW PATTERN THAT IS LOOKING TO DEVELOP DURING THE LAST HALF OF THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK. THE TROUGH...THAT IS MOVING THROUGH THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TODAY...IS EXPECTED TO PINCH OFF INTO A CUTOFF LOW THAT WILL SLOWLY SLIDE ACROSS THE EAST COAST LATER THIS WEEK. ANOTHER TROUGH WILL SWING INTO THE WEST COAST AROUND MID WEEK...AND IS PROGGED TO BOMB OUT OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA OR THE BAJA PENINSULA. WITH TWO CUTOFF LOWS WANDERING AROUND...CONFIDENCE IN THE LAST HALF OF THE FORECAST IS LOW. SO FOR NOW I HAVE INCHED TEMPERATURES TOWARDS SEASONALLY NORMAL VALUES...AND LEFT ANY MENTION OF PRECIP OUT...AS A MIDDLE OF THE ROAD FORECAST. THIS MIGHT NEED RADICAL ADJUSTMENTS THOUGH AS THIS PATTERN EVOLVES. CUTTER && .EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...NONE. MO...NONE. WFO EAX
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 100 PM CST SUN MAR 28 2004 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-291200- THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY THE MIDDLE OF THE DAY TOMORROW OVER EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS AND MUCH OF NORTHERN MISSOURI. A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON, BUT WIDESPREAD SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. && THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGIC AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT (LOWER CASE) HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/EAX OR HTTP://WEATHER.GOV. KOCH
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The Blackwater River near Blue Lick crested at 25.05 feet, or 1.05 feet above flood stage.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, March 2004
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5388913.