1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 16, 3:06 AM CST, 1 hour 54 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 406 AM CDT FRI JUL 16 2004 .DISCUSSION... THIS MORNING A RIDGE REMAINS PARKED OVER THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS WITH A TROUGH AXIS ALONG THE APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS. WITHIN THE NORTHWEST FLOW IN BETWEEN THESE TWO FEATURES A 100+ KTS JET STREAK AT 250 MB IS EVIDENT ON THE PROFILERS ACROSS THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. AN MSC OVER WEST KANSAS THIS MORNING HAS BROUGHT AN EFFECTIVE FRONT SOUTH...RUNNING IT FROM NORTH KANSAS THROUGH SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA INTO NORTH CENTRAL IOWA. RUC ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT A THETA-E AXIS IS A LITTLE TO OUR WEST...RUNNING FROM CENTRAL OKLAHOMA THROUGH KANSAS INTO EASTERN NEBRASKA. 00Z UPPER AIR SOUNDINGS FROM OAX...TOP...AND DVN ALL SHOWED A NICE CAP ACROSS THE CWA. HOWEVER...WITH 850 MB WINDS...WEAK AS THEY MAY BE...VEERING ACROSS THE THETA-E AXIS...AND THE RIGHT REAR ENTRANCE REGION OF THE JET SHIFTING SOUTH...CONVECTION HAS BEGUN TO FIRE ACROSS SOUTHWEST IOWA AND NORTHWEST MISSOURI THIS MORNING. FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...THE CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH. WITH 0-6 KM SHEAR VALUES RUNNING IN THE 35+ KTS RANGE...AND SURFACE WINDS HIGHLY BACKED ALONG THE MISSOURI RIVER...LOCAL HELICITY VALUES ARE QUIT HIGH. HENCE SUPERCELL ACTIVITY WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS...AND TORNADOS ARE POSSIBLE. AFTER SUNRISE...CONVECTION LOOKS TO BE ONGOING AS THE FORECAST BECOMES VALID THIS MORNING. THETA-E ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CWA AS THE RIGHT REAR ENTRANCE TO THE JET SETTLES THROUGH THE CWA TODAY. ADDITIONALLY...THE SHORTWAVE ASSOCIATED WITH THE JET STREAK WILL PUSH THE FRONT THROUGH NORTHERN MISSOURI EARLY THIS AFTERNOON PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR ACTIVITY. SURFACE BASED CAPES WILL BE RUNNING FROM AROUND 1000+ J/KG THIS MORNING TO 3000+ J/KG ALONG THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON. 0-6 KM SHEAR VALUES ALSO RUN IN THE 30+ KNOT RANGE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS...SO HEAVY RAIN WIND AND HAIL AND WIND WILL BE POSSIBLE AS THESE STORMS WILL HAVE SOME ORGANIZATION AND HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES. THEREFORE...I HAVE ADDED SOME LIKELY POPS TO THE FORECAST FOR THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS LOOSELY BASED ON THE EXPECTED SURFACE BOUNDARIES PROGRESS. OTHERWISE...I PUSHED TEMPERATURES DOWN A FEW DEGREES FOR THIS AFTERNOON AS THE SURFACE FRONT LOOKS TO PUSH THROUGH MOST OF THE CWA BY EARLY AFTERNOON AND THE CLOUD COVER FROM TODAYS CONVECTION SHOULD TAKE THE EDGE OF THE DIURNAL HEATING. CUTTER .PREV DISCUSSION... 910 PM THU... EARLY EVENING SATELLITE IMAGERY AND OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS INDICATE MID LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER CENTRAL ROCKIES WITH 100+KT 250MB JET STREAK EMBEDDED WITHIN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ACROSS UPPER/MID MS VALLEY. SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES COLD FRONT STRETCHING FROM EASTERN DAKOTAS BACK INTO WESTERN NEBRASKA...WHILE SURFACE RIDGE IN PLACE ACROSS EASTERN IA/MO. AHEAD OF SURFACE FRONT MOISTURE AXIS WITH LOW TO MID 70 DEW POINTS IN PLACE ACROSS EASTERN KS/NE...RESULTING IN AXIS OF >3000 J/KG 100MB MLCAPE...WHILE FURTHER EAST TIGHT INSTABILITY AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS WESTERN MO WHERE DEW POINTS FALL INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S ACROSS CENTRAL/EASTERN MO ASSOCIATED WITH SURFACE RIDGE. TOP/OAX SOUNDINGS INDICATE FAIRLY SUBSTANTIAL CAPPING INVERSION REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION. SEVERE CONVECTION EARLIER THIS EVENING ACROSS SOUTHEAST SD/NORTHEAST NE WEAKENED RAPIDLY AS IT MOVED INTO EAST CENTRAL NE WHERE STRONGER CAP WAS IN PLACE...AND SCATTERED ELEVATED CONVECTION FURTHER EAST ACROSS IA REMAINS WEAK. ALTHOUGH CAPPING INVERSION REMAINS STRONG THIS EVENING...IT STILL APPEARS FORCING LATER TONIGHT WILL ALLOW FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED CONVECTION TO DEVELOP. AS JET STREAK PROPAGATES SOUTHWARD OVERNIGHT AND 850MB FLOW VEERS...EXPECT REGION OF ENHANCED LIFT TO SPREAD ACROSS WESTERN HALF OF FORECAST AREA...ASSOCIATED WITH COMBINATION OF RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF PASSING JET STREAK...AND 850MB THETA-E ADVECTION. THIS MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO WEAKEN CAP AND ALLOW PARCELS TO REACH LFC...ALLOWING FOR CONVECTION TO DEVELOP AND POSSIBLY BECOME WIDESPREAD ACROSS EASTERN KS/WESTERN MO AFTER 06Z. DEEP LAYER SHEAR IN EXCESS OF 40 KTS SUGGESTS STORMS HAVE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREAT. HIGH FREEZING/WET-BULB ZERO LEVELS WILL LIKELY KEEP HAIL THREAT MARGINAL AT BEST. GOING FORECAST LOOKS IN GOOD SHAPE AND HAVE ONLY MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS. SEAMAN 315 PM THU... MAIN FORECAST CONCERN RELATES TO CONVECTIVE COMPLEX LATE THIS EVENING. CONVECTIVE CLUSTER THAT FORMED OVER THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF SOUTH DAKOTA AND NORTHEAST NEBRASKA WITHIN THE THETA/E RIDGE HAS TAKEN A DIVE SOUTH AND WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY OVER THE PAST 1 TO 2 HOURS. A FEW WANING LEFTOVER SHOWERS WILL MAKE THEIR WAY INTO NORTHWEST MISSOURI AND NORTHEAST KANSAS THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING. 12Z ETA AND GFS MODELS HAVE COME INTO GOOD AGREEMENT FOR TONIGHT...GIVING A BIT MORE CONFIDENCE TO THE STORM SCENARIO. A NEW ROUND OF CONVECTION IS TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING WITHIN THE INSTABILITY AXIS AS THE SURFACE TROUGH PUSHES INTO SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA AND EASTERN NEBRASKA. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION SHOULD ORGANIZE INTO AN MCS AND PROPAGATE SOUTH/SOUTHEAST. STORM MOVEMENT WILL BE RATHER FAST...WITH STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW OF 35 TO 40 KNOTS AT 500MB. CURRENT THINKING IS THAT STORMS WILL BE STRONG TO SEVERE WITHIN RELATIVELY NARROW BAND OF STRONG 850MB THETA E ADVECTION/ISENTROPIC LIFT ABOUT 100 MILES WIDE POSITIONED NEAR THE KANSAS/MISSOURI BORDER. THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO ENTER THE NORTHWEST PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA AROUND 10 PM...AND MOVE OUT OF THE SOUTHERN FORECAST AREA JUST AFTER DAYBREAK. THE SEVERE THREAT LOOKS TO BE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THIS EVENING...AND BECOME PREDOMINANTLY A DAMAGING WIND THREAT DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. AFTER THE STORM COMPLEX PUSHES OUT OF THE FORECAST AREA TOMORROW MORNING...THE POSSIBILITY OF REDEVELOPMENT IS IN QUESTION FOR THE AFTERNOON. HAVE GONE WITH ONLY LOW END PRECIPITATION CHANCES CONFINED TO THE SOUTHERN TIER OF COUNTIES AS OUTFLOW BOUNDARY/IES SHOULD END UP IN SOUTHERN MISSOURI...BUT WILL HAVE TO WAIT TO SEE HOW THE SYSTEM PANS OUT TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES TOMORROW WILL HIGHLY DEPEND UPON CLOUD COVER OR CLEARING THEREOF. KEPT GOING TEMPERATURES OF MID TO UPPER 80S. NORTHERLY BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM GETTING OUT OF HAND OVER THE WEEKEND...WITH DAYTIME READINGS EXPECTED IN THE 80S. ECMWF AND UKMET MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT FOR NEXT WEEK IN TERMS OF THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN...WITH THE GFS NOT FAR BEHIND. EARLY NEXT WEEK THE UPPER LOW ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS PULLS AWAY TOWARD THE ATLANTIC COAST...AND A FAST ZONAL FLOW SETS UP ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER CONUS WITH HIGH PRESSURE STILL CENTERED OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. TEMPERATURES WILL RESPOND WITH A WARMING TREND ON MONDAY THROUGH MID WEEK. A COLD FRONT IS THEN EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. STOFLET && .EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH TILL 9 AM FOR KSZ057-060. MO...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH TILL 9 AM FOR MOZ043>045-053-054. WFO EAX
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 543 AM CDT FRI JUL 16 2004 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-171100- THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO SINK SOUTHEAST ACROSS EAST KANSAS...WEST AND CENTRAL MISSOURI THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WITH THE REMAINDER OF THIS MORNINGS THUNDERSTORMS HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY. HOWEVER...DUE TO THE VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS TORRENTIAL RAIN WILL BE A PROBLEM WITH THIS MORNINGS STORMS. AREAS THAT WILL BE PRONE TO FLASH FLOODING PROBLEMS WILL BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM MOUND CITY MISSOURI THROUGH WARRENSBURG. FOR THIS AFTERNOON...A COLD FRONT WILL SINK THROUGH EAST KANSAS AND NORTHERN MISSOURI. WHILE THIS MORNINGS THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL HELP INHIBIT AFTERNOON CONVECTION ALONG THE FRONT...IF SKIES BEGIN TO CLEAR OR THE FRONT SLOWS DOWN MUCH...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON. IF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT...THE AREAS UNDER THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE ACTIVITY WOULD BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FORM PAOLA KANSAS THROUGH HIGGINSVILLE TO MOBERLY. THE PRIMARY WEATHER THREATS WOULD BE HEAVY RAIN...HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM PAOLA KANSAS THROUGH HIGGINSVILLE TO MOBERLY. && THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGIC AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT (LOWER CASE) HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/EAX OR HTTP://WEATHER.GOV. CUTTER
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 348 AM CDT FRI JUL 16 2004 KSZ057-060-MOZ043>045-053-054-161400- BATES MO-CASS MO-HENRY MO-JOHNSON MO-LINN KS-MIAMI KS-PETTIS MO- 348 AM CDT FRI JUL 16 2004 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 645...IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CDT FRIDAY MORNING. THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... IN MISSOURI: BATES...CASS...HENRY...JOHNSON AND PETTIS. IN KANSAS: LINN AND MIAMI. SOME CITIES IN THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH INCLUDE BUTLER...CLINTON...HARRISONVILLE...PAOLA...SEDALIA AND WARRENSBURG. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE WEATHER...INCLUDING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. WHILE SEVERE WEATHER MAY NOT BE IMMINENT...PERSONS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS...AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. CUTTER
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
356 AM CDT FRI JUL 16 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0325 AM HAIL LIBERTY 39.24N 94.42W
07/16/2004 0.88 INCH CLAY MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
&&
GAPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
358 AM CDT FRI JUL 16 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0224 AM HAIL ST JOSEPH 39.76N 94.85W
07/16/2004 1.00 INCH BUCHANAN MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
&&
GAPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
504 AM CDT FRI JUL 16 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0258 AM TSTM WND GST PLATTE CITY 39.36N 94.78W
07/16/2004 58 MPH PLATTE MO OFFICIAL NWS OBS
&&
GAPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
508 AM CDT FRI JUL 16 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0456 AM FLASH FLOOD ST JOSEPH 39.76N 94.85W
07/16/2004 BUCHANAN MO PUBLIC
SEVERAL ROADS CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER. WHITEHEAD CREEK
FLOODING.
&&
GAPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
557 AM CDT FRI JUL 16 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0550 AM FLASH FLOOD EDGERTON 39.51N 94.63W
07/16/2004 PLATTE MO TRAINED SPOTTER
HIGHWAY B CLOSED DUE TO FLASH FLOODING. 3.50 INCHES OF
RAIN REPORTED.
&&
GAThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The Little Platte River near Smithville crested at 27.24 feet, or 0.24 feet above flood stage.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, July 2004
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5414112.