Minnesota, 2004

Hail in Minnesota, May 21, 2004

May 21, 2004 · NWS MPX · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 hail, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Twin Cities, MN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 20, 2:10 PM CST, 11 hours 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 20, 2:10 PM CST, 11 hours 20 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
310 PM CDT THU MAY 20 2004

.DISCUSSION...
NO MATTER WHICH MODEL YOU VIEW...THERE IS A GREAT DEAL OF MOISTURE
INFLUX OVER THE NEXT 18 HOURS...AND WITH THIS...STRONG LIFT. A
PARTICULARLY DRAMATIC DISPLAY IS VIEWED ON THE ETA (305K) THETA
SURFACE. IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...THE MIXING RATIO INCREASED
FROM 2 GM/KG TO 8 GM/KG. ALL THIS SUGGESTS AN ALL DAY RAIN WITH SOME
THUNDER MIXED IN AS K INDICES SURGE INTO THE 30S ON FRIDAY. THE MAIN
FEATURE THAT APPEARS TO BE DRIVING ALL THIS IS DRAMATIC RIGHT REAR
QUAD DIVERGENCE ASSOCIATED WITH A STRENGTHENING JET STREAK THAT ENDS
UP WITH PEAK WINDS OF 130 KTS BY 12Z FRIDAY WITH ALONG STREAM SHEAR
OF 60 KTS INTO THE MPX CWA. THE DIVERGENCE DIFFERENCE (30H-70H FROM
ETA) UNDERSCORES ALL THIS LIFT.

WITH SURFACE LOW PRESSURE REMAINING SOUTHWEST OF OUR AREA...TOGETHER
WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...MORE PRECIPITATION CAN BE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...HOWEVER...IT IS NOT LIKELY TO BE AS DRAMATIC
AS THE PRECIPITATION EVENT ON FRIDAY.

LONGER TERM...GFS HAS REASONABLE CONTINUITY THRU ABT 120 HOURS AND
THEN HUGE SWINGS IN HEIGHT FIELDS AND THUS CORRESPONDING SURFACE
FEATURES AND PRECIP OUTPUT.  SUCCESSIVE RUNS OF GFS 500 MB HEIGHTS
HAS VARIATIONS OF 300 TO 400 METERS  THUS NOT MUCH CONFIDENCE IN
WHEN FLOW ALOFT WILL BEGIN TO TRANSITION FROM THE WET SWLY FLOW TO
A DRIER W OR NW FLOW.  SO NOT MUCH CHANGE MADE TO GRIDS BEYOND 5
DAYS.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.

&&

/BAP

NOTE...EFFECTIVE 1200 UTC JUNE 8TH THE AWIPS PRODUCT IDENTIFIER
/PID/ FOR THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION ISSUED BY WFO TWIN
CITIES/CHANHASSEN  WILL CHANGE FROM AFDMSP TO AFDMPX.  THE WMO CODE
WILL REMAIN FXUS63 KMPX.
Hazardous weather outlook, May 20, 4:50 AM CST, 20 hours 40 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
550 AM CDT THU MAY 20 2004

MNZ076>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ024>028-211044-
BLUE EARTH-CHIPPEWA-DUNN-EAU CLAIRE-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-GOODHUE-
LE SUEUR-MARTIN-PEPIN-PIERCE-RICE-STEELE-WASECA-WATONWAN-
550 AM CDT THU MAY 20 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE AREA THIS MORNING. THE FRONT
WILL STALL OVER IOWA AND SOUTHERN WISCONSIN THIS EVENING...AND
BEGIN TO LIFT BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT AS AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE MOVES TOWARD THE AREA OUT OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES.
RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP IN THE EVENING OVER NEBRASKA
AND SOUTHERN SOUTH DAKOTA. THIS PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE INTO SOUTH
CENTRAL MINNESOTA AFTER MIDNIGHT. A FEW OF THE STORMS COULD PRODUCE
LARGE HAIL...AND TORRENTIAL RAINS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
ACTIVE WEATHER FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY
AS THE PRECIPITATION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP AND INTENSIFY OVER SOUTH
CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN THROUGH THE DAY. WITH
DEEP MOISTURE IN PLACE...MECHANISMS WILL BE PLACE FOR HEAVY RAIN
PRODUCTION FROM SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA INTO WEST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...WITH TOTAL AMOUNTS UP TO 2.5 INCHES POSSIBLE BY THE TIME
THE RAIN ENDS FRIDAY EVENING. THIS COULD LEAD TO FLOODING PROBLEMS
GIVEN RECENT HEAVY RAINS. IN ADDITION...STORMS ON FRIDAY COULD POSE
A DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL THREAT.

ANOTHER EPISODE OF HEAVY RAIN SEEMS PROBABLE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY MORNING...AS ANOTHER DISTURBANCE INTERACTS WITH THE NEARBY
STALLED FRONT...AND VERY AMPLE MOISTURE. ANOTHER INCH OR TWO OF
RAIN IS POSSIBLE...WHICH WOULD ONLY EXACERBATE ANY WATER PROBLEMS.

BETWEEN THE TWO HEAVY RAIN EPISODES FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...A NARROW BAND OF 3 OR 4 INCHES OF RAIN WOULD NOT
BE OUT OF THE QUESTION FROM MANKATO...TO RED WING...TO EAU CLAIRE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

MNZ051>070-073>075-WIZ014>016-023-211044-
ANOKA-BARRON-BROWN-CARVER-CHIPPEWA-CHISAGO-DAKOTA-HENNEPIN-ISANTI-
KANDIYOHI-LAC QUI PARLE-MCLEOD-MEEKER-NICOLLET-POLK-RAMSEY-REDWOOD-
RENVILLE-RUSK-SCOTT-SHERBURNE-SIBLEY-ST CROIX-SWIFT-WASHINGTON-
WRIGHT-YELLOW MEDICINE-
550 AM CDT THU MAY 20 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL...
CENTRAL...AND EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP TOWARD SUNRISE OVER SOUTH
CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AND MOVE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE DAY ACROSS
THE AREA...AS A WARM FRONT OVER IOWA BEGINS TO LIFT NORTH. WITH DEEP
MOISTURE IN PLACE ALONG THE FRONT...MECHANISMS WILL BE PLACE FOR
HEAVY RAIN PRODUCTION FROM CENTRAL MINNESOTA INTO WEST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...WITH TOTAL AMOUNTS FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE BY THE
TIME THE RAIN ENDS FRIDAY EVENING. THIS COULD LEAD TO
LOCALIZED FLOODING PROBLEMS GIVEN RECENT HEAVY RAINS. IN ADDITION...
STORMS ON FRIDAY COULD POSE A DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL THREAT...
ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

ANOTHER EPISODE OF HEAVY RAIN SEEMS POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY MORNING...AS ANOTHER DISTURBANCE INTERACTS WITH THE NEARBY
STALLED FRONT...AND VERY AMPLE MOISTURE. ANOTHER INCH OR TWO OF
RAIN IS POSSIBLE...WHICH WOULD ONLY EXACERBATE ANY WATER PROBLEMS.

BETWEEN THE TWO HEAVY RAIN EPISODES FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...AN AREA OF 2 TO 3 INCH RAIN ACCUMULATION WOULD NOT
BE OUT OF THE QUESTION FROM MONTEVIDEO...TO THE TWIN CITIES...TO
RICE LAKE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

MNZ041>045-047>050-211044-
BENTON-DOUGLAS-KANABEC-MILLE LACS-MORRISON-POPE-STEARNS-STEVENS-TODD-
550 AM CDT THU MAY 20 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP TOWARD SUNRISE OVER SOUTH
CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AND MOVE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE DAY ACROSS
THE AREA...AS A WARM FRONT OVER IOWA BEGINS TO LIFT NORTH. WITH DEEP
MOISTURE IN PLACE ALONG AND NORTH OF THE FRONT...MECHANISMS WILL
BE PLACE FOR HEAVY RAIN PRODUCTION FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MINNESOTA.
TOTAL AMOUNTS FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY THE TIME THE
RAIN ENDS FRIDAY EVENING. IN ADDITION...STORMS ON FRIDAY COULD POSE A
DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL THREAT...ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

ANOTHER EPISODE OF HEAVY RAIN SEEMS POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY MORNING...AS ANOTHER DISTURBANCE INTERACTS WITH THE NEARBY
STALLED FRONT...AND VERY AMPLE MOISTURE. ANOTHER INCH OF RAIN IS
POSSIBLE.

BETWEEN THE TWO HEAVY RAIN EPISODES FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...AN AREA OF 1.5 TO 2.5 INCH RAIN ACCUMULATION WOULD
NOT BE OUT OF THE QUESTION FROM GLENWOOD TO MORA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

BINAU

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 154 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 07:29 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.

Hail, Martin

When
May 21, 1:30 AM CST
Where
Martin County, Countywide
Measured
1 in hail
Reported by
TRAINED SPOTTER
Coordinates
43.667, -94.567

Dime to quarter sized hail was reported in scattered locations. The time was estimated.

What these are

Hail
Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Minnesota in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in Minnesota, May 2004

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5395563.