Flood, Pike
- When
- September 17, 1:50 PM EST to 9:30 PM EST
- Where
- Pike forecast zone
- Reported by
- EMERGENCY MANAGER
- Coordinates
- 37.469, -82.396 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
S. Highway 460 in Millard, had exceeded their banks and were flooding nearby roadways.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JKL wrote it up.
Red Creek and Slones Branch, off of U.S. Highway 460 in Millard, had exceeded their banks and were flooding nearby roadways. Highway 612 near South Williamson had water flowing over it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 17, 6:28 AM EST, 7 hours 22 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 726 AM FRI SEP 17 2004 .DISCUSSION... MODELS ARE FINALLY IN RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT FOR HANDLING WHAT REMAINS OF IVAN...ESPECIALLY CONSIDERING THE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THEM UP UNTIL NOW. ONE DIFFERENCE WHICH DOES REMAIN IS THE QPF. BASED ON WHAT HAS FALLEN OVERNIGHT AND ITS RECENT HISTORY WITH TROPICAL SYSTEMS...THE ETA IS TOO LIGHT. THE GFS IS PROBABLY A BETTER REPRESENTATION...ALTHOUGH IT MAY BE SLIGHTLY HEAVY. THE SURFACE SYSTEM IS FORECAST BY AN ETA/GFS COMPROMISE TO TRACK FROM E TN THIS MORNING NE TO THE VA/NC BORDER TODAY...THEN SLOWLY E TONIGHT...BEFORE GOING SOUTH INTO NC ON SATURDAY. OF MOST SIGNIFICANCE IS THE DEEP MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH IT. A DEFORMATION ZONE...WARM AIR ADVECTION...AND RIGHT REAR QUAD OF UPPER JET WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT PRECIP TODAY. AN ETA AND GFS COMPROMISE SUGGESTS THE RAIN TAPERING OFF IN OUR WESTERN COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON...AND EARLY THIS EVENING IN ALL BUT OUR FAR EASTERN COUNTIES. THE GFS TENDS TO HOLD ONTO IT LONGER IN THE EAST...AND HAVE LEANED THAT DIRECTION. WITH FLOODING STARTING TO BE REPORTED IN SOME COUNTIES AND SIGNIFICANT RAIN STILL TO FALL...HAVE CONTINUED THE FLOOD WATCH UP UNTIL THE TIME THAT RAIN IS FORECAST TO TAPER OFF. HAVE HAD SOME STRONG WINDS OVERNIGHT...AND WITH THE SYSTEM PASSING JUST TO OUR EAST WE WILL SEE A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT TODAY. IT APPEARS THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE IN OUR WESTERN COUNTIES. THEY LOOK MARGINAL FOR A LAKE WIND ADVISORY...AND HAVE USED ONE ON OUR WESTERN FRINGE TODAY. OTHER THAN SOME LINGERING DRIZZLE POSSIBLE IN THE EAST ON SATURDAY MORNING...WE SHOULD FINALLY DRY OUT TOMORROW...WITH SUNSHINE OR PARTIAL SUNSHINE RETURNING AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH TAKES CONTROL. THE FAIR WEATHER THEN LASTS INTO THE START OF THE NEW WORK WEEK. THE MODELS DO TRY TO BRING SOME LOW LEVEL MOISTURE BACK WESTWARD ON SUNDAY. HOWEVER...IT DOES NOT APPEAR WE WOULD SEE ANYTHING MORE THAN SOME CLOUDS IN OUR SOUTHEAST COUNTIES WITH THIS. && .PREV DISCUSSION... 620 PM THU SEP 16 2004 WHAT A DAY. AS IS TYPICAL WITH TROPICAL SYSTEMS...MODELS ARE HAVING A DIFFICULT TIME WITH THE DETAILS...IN PARTICULAR QPF AMOUNTS...AS THE REMNANTS OF IVAN MOVES MORE QUICKLY NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE APPALACHIANS. MOST NOTICEABLE DIFFERENCE IS THE SPEED AT WHICH THE 12Z GFS MOVES THE SYSTEM OUT OF THE DEEP SOUTH. IF THIS PANS OUT THE RESULT WILL BE AN INCREASE IN WINDS...WITH THE BETTER ORGANIZED SYSTEM...AND SOMEWHAT LOWER QPF AMOUNTS WITH THE FASTER MOVEMENT. BUT AM HESITANT TO GO TOO FAR IN THAT DIRECTION WITH ONLY THE LATEST RUN ADVERTISING THIS. FCST SOUNDINGS STILL INDICATE HIGH PWS...AROUND 2 INCHES THROUGH EACH 6 HOUR PERIOD...AND THE SYSTEM WILL BE VERY EFFICIENT AT PRODUCING RAIN. EVERYTHING CONSIDERED...THE FINAL RESULT WILL BE TO DECREASE PRECIP TOTALS A BIT...AND DECREASE POPS SOONER THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO STALL OUT FURTHER EAST...CLOSER TO THE ATLANTIC COAST...BEFORE DRIFTING BACK TO THE WEST AS AN UPPER LEVEL CUTOFF LOW. A LITTLE CAUTIOUS WITH THE EXTENDED AS THIS UPPER LOW APPEARS TO HANG AROUND IN THE GENERAL VICINITY...POSSIBLY INTERACTING WITH JEANNE. THEREFORE HAVE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS THROUGH MOST OF THE EXTENDED...AND INCREASED POPS FOR THU TO CHC WITH THE APPROACH OF THE NEXT TROUGH FROM THE PLAINS. LITTLE CHANGE TO THE TEMPS OR SKY FORECAST. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM TODAY FOR KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>087-104-106-108-109-111- 112-114-116...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT FOR KYZ088-107-110- 113-115-117>120...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM FOR KYZ044-050-051- 068-079-083. && HAL
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 126 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2004 KYZ052-058>060-069-080-084>088-104-106>120-181100- BELL KY-BREATHITT KY-CLAY KY-ELLIOTT KY-ESTILL KY-FLOYD KY-HARLAN KY- JACKSON KY-JOHNSON KY-KNOTT KY-KNOX KY-LAUREL KY-LEE KY-LESLIE KY- LETCHER KY-MAGOFFIN KY-MARTIN KY-MCCREARY KY-MENIFEE KY-MORGAN KY- OWSLEY KY-PERRY KY-PIKE KY-POWELL KY-ROWAN KY-WHITLEY KY-WOLFE KY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BARBOURVILLE...BEATTYVILLE...BOONEVILLE... CAMPTON...FRENCHBURG...HARLAN...HAZARD...HINDMAN...HYDEN...INEZ... IRVINE...JACKSON...LONDON...MANCHESTER...MCKEE...MIDDLESBORO... MOREHEAD...PAINTSVILLE...PIKEVILLE...PINEVILLE...PRESTONSBURG... SALYERSVILLE...SANDY HOOK...STANTON...WEST LIBERTY...WHITESBURG... WHITLEY CITY AND WILLIAMSBURG 126 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A PORTION OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE RAIN WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST THIS EVENING. FLOODING ACROSS THE REGION WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY RECEDE TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. CREEKS...STREAMS...AND SOME AREA RIVERS ARE EXPECTED TO STILL BE RUNNING HIGH SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOONS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ARE ENCOURAGED TO CALL IN RAINFALL REPORTS. KYZ044-050-051-068-079-083-181100- BATH KY-FLEMING KY-MONTGOMERY KY-PULASKI KY-ROCKCASTLE KY-WAYNE KY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MONTICELLO... MOUNT STERLING...MOUNT VERNON...OWINGSVILLE AND SOMERSET 126 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A PORTION OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. FLOODING ACROSS THE REGION WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE. NO ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED. AREA LAKES MAY SEE WINDS GUSTING TO 40 MPH THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOONS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ARE ENCOURAGED TO CALL IN RAINFALL AMOUNTS. OUDEMAN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
958 AM EDT FRI SEP 17 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0855 AM FLOOD STANTON 37.85N 83.86W
09/17/2004 POWELL KY EMERGENCY MNGR
ONGOING FLOODING THROUGHOUT POWELL COUNTY. NUMEROUS ROADS
CLOSED DUE TO FLOWING WATER...INCLUDING HWY 77 AT
NADA...ADAMS RIDGE ROAD IN CLAY CITY...HWY 599 ALONG CANE
CREEK...AND HWY 1057 ALONG HARDWICK CREEK.
0910 AM FLOOD LONDON 37.13N 84.08W
09/17/2004 LAUREL KY NEWSPAPER
ONGOING FLOODING OF NUMEROUS ROADS IN THE LONDON
AREA...INCLUDING MAIN STREET...KY 80E...KY 538 AT OAK
CREEK...KY 192 BYPASS...ENTERPRISE LANE...AND TOBACCO
ROAD
0922 AM FLOOD SALT LICK 38.12N 83.62W
09/17/2004 BATH KY COUNTY OFFICIAL
HWY 211S IN SALT LICK IS CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER. WATER
ALSO REPORTED OVER PISTOL RD AND PINEGROVE RD NEAR
OLYMPIA.
0940 AM FLOOD BELKNAP 37.72N 83.29W
09/17/2004 WOLFE KY COUNTY OFFICIAL
MADDIX BRANCH ROAD CLOSED DUE TO 2 TO 6 INCHES OF FLOWING
WATER. BANKS FORK ROAD CLOSED DUE TO 1 TO 1 AND 1 HALF
INCES OF FLOWING WATER. BOTH ROADS ARE OFF HWY 1094.
&&
MLMPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1021 AM EDT FRI SEP 17 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0935 AM FLOOD 1 N MCKEE 37.44N 84.00W
09/17/2004 JACKSON KY COUNTY OFFICIAL
SAND LICK ROAD OFF OF HWY 421...N OF MCKEE...AND GRAY
HAWK PARK ROAD..NEAR GRAY HAWK...IMPASSABLE DUE TO HIGH
WATER.
0950 AM FLOOD WELCHBURG 37.32N 83.93W
09/17/2004 JACKSON KY COUNTY OFFICIAL
WELCHBURG ROAD IS IMPASSABLE DUE TO HIGH WATER.
0950 AM FLOOD CLOVER BOTTOM 37.50N 84.15W
09/17/2004 JACKSON KY COUNTY OFFICIAL
HIGHWAY 421 NEAR CLOVER BOTTOM IS IMPASSABLE DUE TO HIGH
WATER
&&
MLMPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1139 AM EDT FRI SEP 17 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0830 AM FLOOD CURT 37.50N 83.39W
09/17/2004 BREATHITT KY LAW ENFORCEMENT
CANE CREEK BRANCH ROAD FLOODED. WATER DEPTH UNKN.
0830 AM FLOOD SMITH BRANCH 37.53N 83.31W
09/17/2004 BREATHITT KY LAW ENFORCEMENT
SMITHS BRANCH ROAD IS FLOODED. WATER DEPTH UNKN.
1000 AM FLOOD 3 S MALCOMB 37.23N 83.84W
09/17/2004 CLAY KY TRAINED SPOTTER
18 INCHES OF WATER IS FLOWING OVER HWY 472 AT MUNCY
FORK...OR HALFWAY BETWEEN BURNING SPRINGS AND FOGERTOWN.
1000 AM FLOOD 1 SW CLAY CITY 37.85N 83.94W
09/17/2004 POWELL KY PUBLIC
WATER IS FLOWING OVER HWY 1057 NEAR CLAY CITY. WATER IS
ALSO OVER HWY 2001 AT THE INTERSECTION OF HWY 1057.
1015 AM FLOOD IRVINE 37.70N 83.97W
09/17/2004 ESTILL KY COUNTY OFFICIAL
WIDESPREAD FLOODING ONGOING ACROSS COUNTY. NUMEROUS ROADS
CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER...INCLUDING DARK HOLLOW ROAD OFF
HWY 52 NEAR IRVINE...DRIFTWOOD DRIVE OFF MILLERS
CREEK...AND MURPHYS FORD OFF HWY 895 BETWEEN RED LICK AND
AND WAGERSVILLE ROADS.
1015 AM FLOOD 8 SE WHITLEY CITY 36.64N 84.37W
09/17/2004 MCCREARY KY COUNTY OFFICIAL
ONGOING FLOODING. HAYES CREEK RD...OFF HWY 92E OR 6 MI FM
WHITLEY COUNTY LINE...HAS 6 INCHES OF WATER FLOWING OVER
IT. WATER IS ALSO FLOWING OVER JENNYS BRANCH ROAD IN
DOWNTOWN WHITLEY CITY.
1030 AM FLOOD JACKSON 37.56N 83.38W
09/17/2004 BREATHITT KY LAW ENFORCEMENT
WOLVERINE ROAD NEAR JACKSON IS STARTING TO FLOOD.
1030 AM FLOOD 9 N PINEVILLE 36.89N 83.70W
09/17/2004 KNOX KY COUNTY OFFICIAL
ONGOING FLOODING. HWY 66 HAS WATER FLOWING OVER IT. WATER
DEPTH UNKN.
1050 AM FLOOD 5 SSE INEZ 37.80N 82.50W
09/17/2004 MARTIN KY COUNTY OFFICIAL
ONGOING FLOODING. TWO FEET OF WATER IS FLOWING OVER RTE
2032 AT FROG POND.
1100 AM FLOOD HELECHAWA 37.77N 83.34W
09/17/2004 WOLFE KY PUBLIC
RTE 191 AT HELECHAWA IS FLOODED.
&&
MLMPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1251 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1110 AM FLOOD SMITH BRANCH 37.53N 83.31W
09/17/2004 BREATHITT KY LAW ENFORCEMENT
FOUR TO FIVE FEET OF WATER IS COVERING HWY 1098 AT SMITH
BRANCH.
1115 AM FLOOD SLADE 37.79N 83.71W
09/17/2004 POWELL KY COUNTY OFFICIAL
ONGOING FLOODING. HWY 15...FROM INTERSECTION OF HWY 77 TO
SOUTH FORK ROAD...IS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.
1140 AM FLOOD BEAUTY 37.84N 82.44W
09/17/2004 MARTIN KY TRAINED SPOTTER
HIGHWAY 40 NEAR BEAUTY IS FLOODED.
1150 AM FLOOD 3 SW JACKSON 37.53N 83.42W
09/17/2004 BREATHITT KY NWS EMPLOYEE
ONGOING FLOODING. BELCHER FORK IS OUT OF ITS BANKS AND
SURROUNDING MANY TRAILERS.
1200 PM FLOOD 3 WNW MCHARGUE 37.02N 84.07W
09/17/2004 LAUREL KY TRAINED SPOTTER
ONGOING FLOODING. WATER IS FLOWING OVER HWY 552E NEAR
LILY. THREE TREES ALSO REPORTED DOWN DUE TO FLOODING.
1205 PM FLOOD BOWEN 37.84N 83.77W
09/17/2004 POWELL KY EMERGENCY MNGR
ONGOING FLOODING. NUMEROUS ROADS CLOSED COUNTYWIDE DUE TO
FLOODING...INCLUDING KY 77 OF HIGHWAY 15...ADAMS RIDGE
ROAD NEAR CLAY CITY...HIGHWAY 15 NEAR BOWAN AND ALONG
MIDDLE FORK...CANE CREEK ROAD IN NORTHERN POWELL
COUNTY...AND HARDWICK CREEK ROAD IN SOUTHWEST POWELL
COUNTY.
1222 PM FLOOD 4 NW SALYERSVILLE 37.79N 83.12W
09/17/2004 MAGOFFIN KY COUNTY OFFICIAL
ONGOING FLOODING. WATER IS COVERING LICK CREEK ROAD NEAR
LICKBURG. REPORTED BY CITY HALL.
&&
MLMPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
147 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1030 AM FLOOD ISLAND CITY 37.37N 83.77W
09/17/2004 OWSLEY KY CO-OP OBSERVER
4 TO 5 INCHES OF WATER IS FLOWING ACROSS HIGHWAY 1350.
1200 PM FLOOD OWINGSVILLE 38.14N 83.76W
09/17/2004 BATH KY EMERGENCY MNGR
ONGOING FLOODING. NUMEROUS ROADS ARE FLOODED ACROSS THE
COUNTY.
1217 PM FLOOD 7 SSW LONDON 37.03N 84.13W
09/17/2004 LAUREL KY TRAINED SPOTTER
ONGOING FLOODING. OVER ONE FOOT OF WATER IS OVER HWY 552
IN MANY LOCATIONS. MANY SIDE ROADS ALONG US HWY 25 ARE
WATER COVERED AND INACESSABLE. LAUREL RIVER IN LILY IS
ALSO WELL OVER ITS BANKS.
1237 PM FLOOD 6 SE MOUNT STERLING 38.00N 83.87W
09/17/2004 MONTGOMERY KY EMERGENCY MNGR
ONGOING FLOODING. HARPERS RIDGE ROAD AND SPENCER
ROAD...SR 713...IS CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER IN THE
EASTERN PART OF MONTGOMERY COUNTY.
0103 PM FLOOD SALYERSVILLE 37.75N 83.06W
09/17/2004 MAGOFFIN KY PUBLIC
BURNING FORK CREEK IS OUT OF ITS BANKS AND FLOWING OVER
SEVERAL ROADS IN SAYLERSVILLE.
0103 PM FLOOD PRESTONSBURG 37.67N 82.77W
09/17/2004 FLOYD KY PUBLIC
ONGOING FLOODING. KY HWY 1427...2 AND 1/2 MILES FROM HWY
23... HAS 6 TO 8 INCHES OF WATER FLOWING OVER IT.
HIGHLAND AVENUE IN DOWNTOWN PRESTONSBURG IS ALSO UNDER
WATER.
0120 PM FLOOD 1 SE WHYNOT 37.63N 83.77W
09/17/2004 LEE KY COUNTY OFFICIAL
HWY 52 W BETWEEN CRYSTAL AND WHYNOT...NEAR THE ESTILL
COUNTY LINE...IS CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.
0120 PM FLOOD HEIDELBERG 37.56N 83.78W
09/17/2004 LEE KY COUNTY OFFICIAL
ONGOING FLOODING. LITTLE CREEK...NEAR HEIDELBERG...IS OUT
OF ITS BANKS AND FLOWING ACROSS THE ROADWAY.
&&
MLMThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, September 2004
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5421817, 5421818.