1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 2, 2:30 PM EST, 4 hours 30 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 230 PM EST FRI JAN 2 2004 SHORT TERM...TNGT THRU SUN... MESOSCALE WMFNT ACROSS OUR WRN FA...SHUD MOVE THRU LATE THIS AFTN/EVE. WITH LOW CLDS CONTG...TEMPS WILL MOVE LTL TNGT WITH INCREASING SW FLO. MAIN DIFFERENCE BTWN MODEL GUIDANCE THROUGH SUNDAY IS A MAJOR DIFFERENCE BTWN GFS/ETA PLACEMENT OF SFC TROUGH/BNDRY AND DVLPNG SFC LOW ON SUNDAY. GFS HAS MAJOR SFC LOW TRACKING N OF INDY ON SUNDAY WHILE ETA HAS LOW NEAR THE OH RIVER. AT THIS POINT AND FOR CONSISTENCY SAKE...WILL TREND FOR SOME INFLUX OF COOLER AIR INTO OUR NRN MOST COUNTIES ONLY. LTL CHG UPCOMING WITH OUR SHWRY/ISOLD TSTM FCSTS FOR LATE SAT NGT/SUN WITH STEADY...WIDESPREAD AND BANDED PCPN TO OUR N IN EXCELLENT FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING/CSI ZONE. SFC TROUGH/BNDRY APPROACHES SRN IN LATE TNGT WITH SHWRS ONCE AGAIN BREAKING OUT FIRST IN SRN IN AND CONTINUING FURTHER SOUTH AHEAD OF THE BNDRY. WILL CONT INCRS IN POPS FROM N TO S DURING SATURDAY UP TO ABOUT 60 POPS GIVEN EXPCTD MOVEMENT OF SFC TROUGH. THEN WILL HAVE HIGHEST POPS LATE SAT NGT AND SUNDAY AS FNT STALLS IN LOW LEVEL MOIST AXIS. APPROACHING MID MSP VLY SHRTWV TROF/DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE TO PROVIDE LARGE SCALE ASCENT. CNVCTN TO BE MAINLY EVEVATED NEAR BNDRY WITH PREHAPS SOME SFC BASED IN DOWNSTATE KY. DESPITE MODEL DIFFERENCES IN TIMING/LOCATION WITH KEY SFC/UPR LVL FEATURES...MODELS ARE CONSISTENT WITH KEEPING HIGH QPF NORTH OF OUR FA IN AFOREMENTIONED FRONTOGENETICAL ZONE. FOR THIS REASON...WONT ISSUE AN ESF (FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK)...HOWEVER WITH CONVECTIVE RAINS...A FFA (FLOOD WATCH ) MAY BE NEEDED LATER ESPCLY IF CDFNT SETTLES FARTHER SWD INTO SRN KY...ALLOWING WARM...MOIST AIR TO FOCUS/OVRRUN THE BNDRY. EXTENDED...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY) FRONTAL PASSAGE SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON...WITH THE END OF THE RAINFALL BY MIDNIGHT FOR THE FORECAST AREA. COLD AIR IS TOO SLOW AND MID LEVEL MOISTURE DISSIPATES AS THE DRY SLOT ENTERS THE REGION BY 06Z MON TO SEE ANY CHANGEOVER TO SNOW. LOW MOVES OFF TO THE NORTHEAST AND SOME CLEARING FOR MONDAY WITH TEMPS 3 TO 5 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL...MUCH COLDER. LARGE SFC HIGH MOVES ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY AFTN THRU WED WITH COOL TEMPS AND PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES. NW UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL KEEP MID WEEK TEMPS NEAR NORMAL. THURSDAY A FEW MORE CLOUDS...AND INCREASING CLOUDS FRIDAY WITH THE APPROACH OF THE NEXT SYSTEM AS IT DRIVES THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS. NO PRECIP EXPECTED UNTIL LATER FRIDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY MORN...WITH A RAIN/SNOW MIX POSSIBLE. && .LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IN...NONE. KY...NONE. && DK/SCHOTT
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 400 PM EST FRI JAN 2 2004 INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067- 070>078-081-082-031000- ADAIR-ALLEN-ANDERSON-BARREN-BOURBON-BOYLE-BRECKINRIDGE-BULLITT- BUTLER-CASEY-CLARK-CLARK IN-CLINTON-CRAWFORD IN-CUMBERLAND-DUBOIS IN- EDMONSON-FAYETTE-FLOYD IN-FRANKLIN-GARRARD-GRAYSON-GREEN-HANCOCK- HARDIN-HARRISON-HARRISON IN-HART-HENRY-JEFFERSON-JEFFERSON IN- JESSAMINE-LARUE-LINCOLN-LOGAN-MADISON-MARION-MEADE-MERCER-METCALF- MONROE-NELSON-NICHOLAS-OHIO-OLDHAM-ORANGE IN-PERRY IN-RUSSELL-SCOTT- SCOTT IN-SHELBY-SIMPSON-SPENCER-TAYLOR-TRIMBLE-WARREN-WASHINGTON- WASHINGTON IN-WOODFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BARDSTOWN...BOWLING GREEN... CAMPBELLSVILLE...COLUMBIA...CORYDON...CYNTHIANA...DANVILLE... ELIZABETHTOWN...FRANKFORT...FRANKLIN...GLASGOW...HARDINSBURG... HARRODSBURG...JASPER...LEITCHFIELD...LEXINGTON...LOUISVILLE... NEW ALBANY...RICHMOND...RUSSELLVILLE...SHELBYVILLE...STANFORD... VERSAILLES...WINCHESTER 400 PM EST (300 PM CST) FRI JAN 2 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SETTLE NEAR THE OHIO RIVER SATURDAY NIGHT...WHILE AN INTENSIFYING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES UP AND ALONG THE FRONT ON SUNDAY. THE COMBINATION OF THE FRONT AND LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...WILL SIGNAL THE CHANCE FOR MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. AN ABUNDANT MOISTURE SUPPLY ALREADY ESTABLISHED ACROSS OUR AREA SUGGESTS A HEAVY RAIN THREAT. THE TIME OF MOST CONCERN FOR HEAVY RAIN APPEARS TO BE SLATED FOR SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...WITH ONE INCH AMOUNTS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. MEANWHILE...OUR DRAMATIC TURN TO MILD TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND WILL CHANGE MARKEDLY EARLY NEXT WEEK...AS READINGS FALL TO NEAR OR BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. DK
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The Rough River at Dundee crested at 25.6 feet around 8 AM EST on January 3. Flood stage at Dundee is 25 feet. Minor flooding occurs at this level. A section of Kentucky 69 about half a mile long on the right bank near the bridge begins to flood.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, January 2004
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5382788.