Kentucky, 2004Flood in Kentucky, August 21, 2004
August 21, 2004 · NWS RLX · 1 event in 1 county or zone
1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $1,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Charleston, WV wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 21, 1:45 AM EST, 15 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 21, 1:45 AM EST, 15 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
245 AM EDT SAT AUG 21 2004
.LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...
FEW CHANGES MADE TO THIS PERIOD. HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE FIRST
HALF OF THE PERIOD. LINGERING FRONTS RESIDE OF THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS AND MIDDLE OHIO VALLEY FROM MIDWEEK ON...LEAVING THE
POSSIBILITY OF MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST THROUGH FRIDAY. KEEPING POSSIBILITIES
AROUND 20 PERCENT...WHICH WILL NOT BE EVIDENT IN THE TEXT ZFP.
.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
THE FOLLOWING WAS ORIGINALLY ISSUED AT 142 AM EDT SAT AUG 21 2004
AVIATION (06Z TO 06Z)...
RADAR AND LIGHTNING DATA CONTINUE SHOWING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
FROM HTS...NORTHEAST THROUGH PKB AND CKB. EXPECT THIS RAINFALL
ACTIVITY TO SPREAD EAST ACROSS CRW...EKN THIS MORNING...AND LATER ON
TO BKW. HAVE MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS WITH TEMPOS OF MVFR/IFR AT MOST
SITES THROUGH 12Z. IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE WITH THUNDERSTORMS.
EARLY MORNING VERY LOW CEILING SHOULD LIFT BY MID MORNING...BUT MID
LEVEL CEILING WILL PREVAIL WHILE NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY
REMAINS OVER THE AREA. FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE EASTERN
MOUNTAINS THIS EVENING AND MOVE AWAY OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT. NOT WILL
BE UNTIL THEN THAT CLEAR TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL BE SEEN.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
THE FOLLOWING WAS ORIGINALLY ISSUED AT 338 PM EDT FRI AUG 20 2004
SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...
STORMS HAVE FIRED AHEAD OF MAIN BATCH OF RAINFALL THIS
AFTERNOON...AS MID/HI CLOUDS WERE NOT THICK ENOUGH TO HINDER
HEATING. DO NOT FORESEE MUCH SEVERE WEATHER THIS EVENING AS
FREEZING LEVEL IS TOO HIGH FOR LARGE HAIL...AND UPPER WIND FLOW IS
JUST WEAK ENOUGH TO PREVENT DAMAGING WINDS.
MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON SPEED OF FRONT...BRINGING IT TO CRW BY
AROUND 12Z...AND ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS BY 18Z. MAIN SHORTWAVE
REMAINS OFF TO THE NORTHWEST. RRQ OF H250 JET GIVES GOOD UPPER
DIVERGENCE...ALTHOUGH BEST GOES ACROSS EASTERN OHIO/WESTERN
PENNSYLVANIA. EXPECT AXIS OF HEAVIER PRECIP TO REMAIN IN THIS
AREA. OUT AHEAD STORMS WILL PRODUCE DOWNPOURS BUT MOTION IS QUICK
ENOUGH TO PREVENT FLOODING PROBLEMS.
ROLLING WITH CATEGORICAL POPS TONIGHT...MAINLY EARLY...FOR PRECIP
SHIELD. AS SHORTWAVE/UPPER JET RIDE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER
06Z...EXPECT A DECREASE IN COVERAGE. STILL WILL RIDE WITH LIKELY
POPS AHEAD OF THE FRONT. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW POST-FRONTAL
SHRA...AND GIVEN H850 CAA/LINGERING MOISTURE THIS LOOKS REASONABLE.
SO MAINTAINING CHANCE POPS BEHIND THE FRONT ON SATURDAY.
AFTER A FEW STRAGGLING SHRA IN THE MOUNTAINS SATURDAY EVENING...HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN WITH SLOWLY CLEARING SKIES. HOLDING OFF ON FOG
MENTION FOR NOW BUT IT COULD BE AN ISSUE IF WINDS DECOUPLE. SUNDAY
LOOKS LIKE A WINNER WITH RECOVERING TEMPERATURES.
GENERALLY RAN CLOSE TO MAV TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD...EXCEPT
ON SUNDAY. FORECAST H850 TEMPS WOULD BARELY SUPPORT HIGHS IN THE
MID 80S AT CRW/HTS...THINK THE MORE CONSERVATIVE MET NUMBERS LOOK A
LITTLE BETTER.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
THE FOLLOWING WAS ORIGINALLY ISSUED AT 205 PM EDT FRI AUG 20 2004
LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...
THE MAIN THEME THIS PERIOD WILL BE THE SLOW BUILDING OF HEIGHTS OVER
THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE NATION...WHICH BY THE END OF THE PERIOD
LOOKS MUCH LIKE SUMMER SHOULD REALLY BE.
FIRST...CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE QUICKLY SLIDES EAST OF THE REGION BY
MONDAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BRING BACK SUMMER LIKE TEMPERATURES AND
ESPECIALLY HUMIDITIES BY WEDNESDAY. DESPITE THE BUILDING HEIGHTS...
THERE MAY BE ENOUGH INSTABILITY WITH HEATING TO GENERATE THE TYPICAL
WIDELY SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY INTO FRIDAY.
THE ONLY POSSIBLE FLY IN THE OINTMENT IS THAT THE MODELS...
ESPECIALLY THE GFS...ARE HINTING THAT A SOUTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE
MAY TRY TO LIFT UP OVER THE AREA WEDNESDAY BEFORE THE UPPER RIDGE
SQUASHES THINGS. IF THIS HAPPENS THE REMNANTS OF THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY THAT DROPS SOUTH OF US THIS WEEKEND MAY LIFT NORTH BEFORE
DISSIPATING AND PROVIDE A BETTER CHANCE FOR CONVECTION WEDNESDAY.
WILL NOT JUMP ON THIS SCENARIO AS THE OVERALL TREND IS THE BUILDING
UPPER RIDGE.
MAV GUIDANCE FOR MAX TEMPERATURES THIS PERIOD LOOK A LITTLE COOLER
THAN ONE WOULD EXPECT GIVEN THE DEVELOPING PATTERN...BUT RECENT
HISTORY HAS PROVEN THE MAV TO BE QUITE GOOD...AND WITH ALL THE GREEN
VEGETATION WILL ESSENTIALLY GO WITH IT.
&&
.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...NONE.
VA...NONE.
KY...NONE.
OH...NONE.
&&
LONG TERM...KF
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 20, 8:10 AM EST, 17 hours 50 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
910 AM EDT FRI AUG 20 2004
KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-VAZ003-004-WVZ005>011-
013>020-024>040-046-047-210900-
ATHENS OH-BARBOUR WV-BOONE WV-BOYD KY-BRAXTON WV-BUCHANAN VA-
CABELL WV-CALHOUN WV-CARTER KY-CLAY WV-DICKENSON VA-DODDRIDGE WV-
FAYETTE WV-GALLIA OH-GILMER WV-GREENUP KY-HARRISON WV-JACKSON WV-
JACKSON OH-KANAWHA WV-LAWRENCE OH-LAWRENCE KY-LEWIS WV-LINCOLN WV-
LOGAN WV-MASON WV-MCDOWELL WV-MEIGS OH-MINGO WV-MORGAN OH-
NICHOLAS WV-PERRY OH-PLEASANTS WV-POCAHONTAS WV-PUTNAM WV-RALEIGH WV-
RANDOLPH WV-RITCHIE WV-ROANE WV-TAYLOR WV-TYLER WV-UPSHUR WV-
VINTON OH-WASHINGTON OH-WAYNE WV-WEBSTER WV-WIRT WV-WOOD WV-
WYOMING WV-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHLAND...ATHENS...BECKLEY...BUCKHANNON...
CHARLESTON...CLARKSBURG...CLAY...CLINTWOOD...DURBIN...ELIZABETH...
ELKINS...FAYETTEVILLE...GALLIPOLIS...GLENVILLE...GRAFTON...
GRANTSVILLE...GRAYSON...GREENUP...GRUNDY...HAMLIN...HARRISVILLE...
HUNTINGTON...IRONTON...JACKSON...LOGAN...LOUISA...MADISON...
MARIETTA...MARLINTON...MCARTHUR...MIDDLEBOURNE...NEW LEXINGTON...
PARKERSBURG...PHILIPPI...PINEVILLE...POINT PLEASANT...POMEROY...
RIPLEY...ROCK CAVE...SNOWSHOE...SPENCER...STONEWALL JACKSON LAKE...
SUMMERSVILLE...SUTTON...WAYNE...WEBSTER SPRINGS...WELCH...
WEST UNION...WESTON...WILLIAMSON AND WINFIELD
910 AM EDT FRI AUG 20 2004
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEASTERN OHIO...
NORTHEASTERN KENTUCKY...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...AND MOST OF WEST
VIRGINIA.
.DAY ONE...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE OVER EASTERN
OHIO...EASTERN KENTUCKY...AND WESTERN WEST VIRGINIA DURING THIS
AFTERNOON. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL RACE NORTHEAST...FURTHER INTO
WEST VIRGINIA THIS FRIDAY EVENING.
THERE IS A CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THAT CHANCE IS HIGHER
ACROSS EASTERN OHIO...EASTERN KENTUCKY...AND WESTERN AND NORTHERN
WEST VIRGINIA...COMPARED TO COUNTIES IN EASTERN AND SOUTHERN WEST
VIRGINIA AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS SEEM MORE LIKELY THAN LARGE HAIL...WITH ANY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CELLS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON OR THIS EVENING.
Flood, Carter
- When
- August 21, 2:00 AM EST to 4:30 AM EST
- Where
- Carter forecast zone
- Property damage
- $1,000
- Reported by
- LAW ENFORCEMENT
- Coordinates
- 38.318, -83.049 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Rains of 2.5 to 3.75 inches fell from repetitive thunderstorms in 12 hours. The 24 hour rain total measured by the cooperative observer near Grayson was 3.6 inches. Minor flooding occurred along Routes 986, southeast of Olive Hill, and along Route 1 near Hitchens.
- Flood
- Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- High Surf in Guam, August 21, 20041 death · 1 injured · 1 event
- Tornado and Damaging Winds in Massachusetts, August 21, 20043 injured · $1.6 million · F1 · 7 events
- Tornadoes and Hail in Texas, August 21, 2004$2.0 million · F0 · 9 events
- Damaging Wind in Rhode Island, August 21, 2004$500,000 · 62 kt wind · 1 event
- Hail in Texas, August 21, 2004$350,000 · 1.75 in hail · 4 events
- Flash Flooding and Hail in Texas, August 21, 2004$155,000 · 1.75 in hail · 5 events
- Hail in Texas, August 21, 2004$110,000 · 1.75 in hail · 2 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Connecticut, August 21, 20042 injured · $10,000 · 50 kt wind · 4 events
- Frost and Freeze in Minnesota, August 21, 200414 events
- Flash Flooding and Damaging Winds in Connecticut, August 21, 200450 kt wind · 11 events
- Flood in Pennsylvania, August 21 to 22, 2004$15,000 · 1 event
- Lightning Strike in Florida, August 21, 20041 injured · 1 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5415661.