2 heavy rain, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 11, 3:02 AM CST, 5 hours 58 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 255 AM CST THU 11 2004 .DISCUSSION... MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGES FOR THIS PACKAGE CONTINUES TO LIE WITH AMOUNTS OF RAIN TODAY/TONIGHT...THEN WITH TIMING OF ENDING PRECIP FRIDAY. 00Z ETA AND GFS RUNS HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT ON THE TIMING OF THE FRONT/INVERTED TROUGH WHICH WILL SAG BACK SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION LATER TODAY/TONIGHT. GFS HAS COME AROUND CLOSER TO THE SLOWER ETA SOLUTION...WHICH WILL RESULT IN A SLOWER ARRIVAL OF THE COOLER AIR....AND ALSO A SLOWER DEPARTURE OF PRECIP AND CLOUDS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. SOME LINGERING VERY LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE WILL NOW NEED TO BE EXTENDED INTO FRIDAY...ESP THE MORNING HOURS...OVER MUCH OF THE QUAD STATE REGION. TOTAL FORECAST GRIDDED QPF FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL BE IN THE 1 TO 2 INCH RANGE...IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH HPC AND THE GFS MODEL OUTPUT. MOST OF THIS WILL FALL IN A 12 TO 18 HOUR PERIOD TODAY INTO THIS EVENING...WHICH COULD CAUSE SOME MINOR PROBLEMS...AS MENTIONED IN THE LATEST HWO. LEAF CLOGGED DRAINS COULD CAUSE SOME PROBLEMS. RAIN SHOULD TAPER FAIRLY QUICKLY THIS EVENING AS SFC LOW PASSES THROUGH WEST TN...AND WE ARE LEFT IN THE WEAKER LIFT DEFORMATION/FRONTOGENESIS REGION NORTHWEST OF THE SURFACE LOW. MOST RAIN TOTALS AFTER 00Z FRI SHOULD BE LESS THAN 1/4 INCH SOUTH/EAST AREAS...AND LESS THAN 1/10 INCH WEST/NORTH. CLEARING WILL PROGRESS VERY SLOWLY SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ON FRIDAY AS STRONG SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTHEAST. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED GIVEN LATEST MODEL RUNS/TRENDS IF MOST OF WESTERN KY STAYS CLOUDY ALL DAY LONG...WITH AREAS OF VERY LIGHT RAIN/DRIZZLE. MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL DOMINATE THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE 1040 MB HIGH PASSES TO OUR NORTH. MEX MOS TEMPS STILL CREEPING UP A BIT WITH EACH RUN...SO LOOKS LIKE A HARD FREEZE IS UNLIKELY...THOUGH SOME TEMPS BETWEEN 29 AND 32 WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE CHILLIER SHELTERED AREAS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS FRI/SAT NIGHTS. NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL ARRIVE TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY. MODELS ARE HAVING A DIFFICULT TIME WITH THE MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM FOR NEXT WEEK. THE TREND IN BOTH THE GFS/ECMWF HAS BEEN TO HOLD 500 MB RIDGING OVER THE GULF COAST/SOUTHEASTERN STATES LONGER INTO NEXT WEEK. THUS...CONFIDENCE IS FAIRLY LOW FROM TUE ON. WILL SIDE WITH WARMER ETA MOS TEMPS TODAY...GIVEN POOR INITIALIZATION (TOO COOL) OF THE MAV/FWC NUMBERS...AND THE FACT THAT THE FRONT WILL BE SLOWER TO MAKE ITS WAY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON/TONIGHT. MAV FORECAST HIGH TEMPS TODAY RUNNING AROUND 3 DEGREES LOWER THAN THE CURRENT 09Z TEMPS. WILL NOT ALLOW FOR MUCH WARMING TODAY WITH ALL THE CLOUDS/PRECIP...BUT NEED TO TAKE INTO ACCOUNT CURRENT TEMPS. CLOUDS AND SLOWER FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT WILL LEAD TO INCREASED TEMPS HERE TOO. AGAIN...WILL FOLLOW CLOSER TO THE WARMER MET/ETA MOS NUMBERS. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KY...NONE. MO...NONE. IL...NONE. IN...NONE. && MEFFERT
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 411 AM CST THU NOV 11 2004 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-100- 107>112-114-121100- ALEXANDER IL-BALLARD KY-BOLLINGER MO-BUTLER MO-CALDWELL KY- CALLOWAY KY-CAPE GIRARDEAU MO-CARLISLE KY-CARTER MO-CHRISTIAN KY- CRITTENDEN KY-DAVIESS KY-EDWARDS IL-FRANKLIN IL-FULTON KY- GALLATIN IL-GIBSON IN-GRAVES KY-HAMILTON IL-HARDIN IL-HENDERSON KY- HICKMAN KY-HOPKINS KY-JACKSON IL-JEFFERSON IL-JOHNSON IL- LIVINGSTON KY-LYON KY-MARSHALL KY-MASSAC IL-MCCRACKEN KY-MCLEAN KY- MISSISSIPPI MO-MUHLENBERG KY-NEW MADRID MO-PERRY MO-PERRY IL-PIKE IN- POPE IL-POSEY IN-PULASKI IL-RIPLEY MO-SALINE IL-SCOTT MO-SPENCER IN- STODDARD MO-TODD KY-TRIGG KY-UNION KY-UNION IL-VANDERBURGH IN- WABASH IL-WARRICK IN-WAYNE MO-WAYNE IL-WEBSTER KY-WHITE IL- WILLIAMSON IL- 411 AM CST THU NOV 11 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND WESTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE QUAD STATE REGION TODAY AS A COLD FRONT BEGINS TO SAG SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA. DUE TO A LACK OF OVERALL INSTABILITY...ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN AND STREET FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 heavy rain. Local standard time, as filed.
Flooding of streets and basements occurred in typical problem areas. Rainfall estimates were about two inches during the early morning hours.
A nearly stationary band of moderate to heavy rain during the morning produced around two inches of rain. Water was close to going over Route 142.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Illinois in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in Illinois, November 2004
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5426867, 5426955.