Thunderstorm Wind, Pierce
- When
- July 15, 5:00 PM EST
- Where
- Pierce County, 3 mi WSW of Blackshear
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- EMERGENCY MANAGER
- Coordinates
- 31.283, -82.300
Damaging Wind in Georgia, July 15, 2004
Powerlines down at Ware St. and Hacklebarney Ln.
Where it happened
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
The toll
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What happened
The episode as NWS JAX wrote it up.
Powerlines down at Ware St. and Hacklebarney Ln.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 15, 1:42 PM EST, 3 hours 18 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 15, 1:42 PM EST, 3 hours 18 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 242 PM EDT THU JUL 15 2004 .CURRENTLY...STRONG TO SVR TSTMS ONGOING ACROSS THE E 1/2 OF THE AREA. THIS ACTIVITY IS FIRING IN RESPONSE TO A COMBINATION OF HIGH INSTABILITY...A VORTICITY AXIS EXTENDING FROM THE W ATLC ACROSS N FL TO THE N CENTRAL GOMEX (WITH INDIVIDUAL VORT MAXES MOVING ALONG IT)... AND STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL SHEAR. 500 MB TEMPS HAVE DROPPED UPSTREAM TO AROUND -9C AND LIS ARE APPROACHING -10. ONLY NVA (NEGATIVE VORTICITY ADVECTION) NW OF THE AREA IS PREVENTING TSTMS FROM ERUPTING...BUT ISOLD CONVECTION OVER SE AL AND OUR N GA ZONES MAY BE SIGN OF MORE EXTENSIVE DEVELOPMENT LATER IN THE DAY AHEAD OF SFC FRONT. .SHORT TERM...LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AND LACK OF DYNAMICS WILL REDUCE POPS THIS EVENING...ALTHO SHEAR AXIS WILL REMAIN ACROSS S ZONES. IN ADDITION...ANY OUTFLOWS INTO VERY UNSTABLE AIR OVER REMAINDER OF ZONES MAY KEEP CONVECTION GOING LATE IF IT CAN DEVELOP. FOR NOW...WILL KEEP CHANCE POPS THRU EVENING OVER MOST ZONES AND DIMINISH TOWARD MIDNIGHT. MAY NEED TO ADJUST THIS TOWARD PRESS TIME. FRI...LACK OF ORGANIZED PVA WILL LEAD TO LESS BUT MORE UNIFORM COVERAGE OF MAINLY AFTN TSTMS. HOWEVER...THIS FCST IS CONTINGENT ON NO IMPULSES MOVING RAPIDLY SE ON BACKSIDE OF ABNORMALLY DEEP ATLC TROF. NEEDLESS TO SAY...THERE IS A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS FCST. MAV MOS SHOWS VERY HIGH POPS...WITH MORE THAN 80% ACROSS S ZONES. THINK THIS IS OVERDONE...BUT ALSO DONT BUY LACK OF SIGNIFICANT POPS IN ETA. SO...WILL USE GFS PRECIP FIELD BUT SCALE BACK ROUGHLY 20%. THANX FOR COORD MLB/TBW SAT...MODEL DIFFERENCES CONTINUE WITH GFS DEVELOPING SIGNIFICANT SFC LOW NR KATL. NO SUCH DEVELOPMENT IN ETA SUITE. HOWEVER...MOS NUMBERS CLOSE SO WILL GENERALLY BLEND WITH ROUGHLY 60% AREA-WIDE. .LONG TERM...GRADUALLY REDUCE POPS THRU THE PERIOD AS GFS INDICATES MORE MID-LEVEL DRYING OCCURS AND PATTERN DAMPENS SOMEWHAT BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. && .MARINE...ANOTHER NOCTURNAL SURGE TONIGHT WITH SCEC NEEDED. NOT MUCH CHANGE TO REMAINDER OF FCST. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AMG 70 94 72 89 / 30 30 20 60 SSI 75 90 76 88 / 40 30 20 60 JAX 73 92 73 90 / 40 40 30 60 SGJ 75 91 75 90 / 40 50 30 60 GNV 72 90 72 88 / 30 50 40 60 OCF 72 89 72 88 / 30 50 40 50 && .JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. GA...NONE. && CARROLL/CAMP
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 15, 8:30 AM EST, 8 hours 30 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 930 AM EDT THU JUL 15 2004 FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-151600- ALACHUA-APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-BAKER-BRADFORD-BRANTLEY- CAMDEN (COASTAL)-CAMDEN (INLAND)-CHARLTON-CLAY-CLINCH-COFFEE- COLUMBIA-DUVAL-ECHOLS-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-GLYNN (COASTAL)- GLYNN (INLAND)-HAMILTON-JEFF DAVIS-MARION-NASSAU-PIERCE-PUTNAM- ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION-WARE-WAYNE- 930 AM EDT THU JUL 15 2004 THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS LATE THIS MORNING WITH THE EARLY DEVELOPMENT IN THE SUWANNEE VALLEY AND ALONG THE FLORIDA/GEORGIA STATE LINE. BEST CHANCES MAINLY IN THOSE COUNTIES ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 10. STORMS WILL BE MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE AND PRODUCE DOWNBURST WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...HAIL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TO 2 INCHES OR MORE. HEAT INDICES MAY APPROACH 105 DEGREES IN AREAS THAT DO NOT GET EARLY RAIN...LATER THIS AFTERNOON. INDICES THIS HIGH CAN RESULT IN HEAT EXHAUSTION IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME. IF YOU PLAN TO BE OUTSIDE...AVOID PROLONGED EXPOSURE OR STRENUOUS PHYSICAL ACTIVITY. DRINK PLENTY OF NON-ALCOHOLIC FLUIDS TO AVOID DEHYDRATION. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE EACH DAY THROUGH THE PERIOD. ISOLATED STORMS WILL PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO SELF-ACTIVATE IF WARNINGS ARE ISSUED. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAX. WELSH
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 15, 4:25 PM EST, 35 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 525 PM EDT THU JUL 15 2004 FLZ023-030-031-152215- BAKER FL-BRADFORD FL-UNION FL- 525 PM EDT THU JUL 15 2004 ...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR BRADFORD...UNION AND BAKER COUNTIES FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORM WINDS UNTIL 615 PM EDT... AT 525 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 21 MILES NORTH OF SANDERSON TO 11 MILES SOUTH OF RAIFORD...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 15 MILES SOUTHEAST OF FARGO TO 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LAKE BUTLER...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THIS CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND SANDERSON...RAIFORD... ELLERBEE AND GLEN ST. MARY THROUGH 615 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR WIND DAMAGE. ALSO HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL OCCUR. REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR YOU CAN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE DIRECTLY AT 1-800-499-1594. ZIBURA
Local storm report, Jul 15, 4:33 PM EST, 27 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
533 PM EDT THU JUL 15 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0335 PM TORNADO HORTENSE 31.33N 81.96W
07/15/2004 BRANTLEY GA PUBLIC
TRUCKER REPORTED TORNADO FOLLOWED HIM DOWN US 301. CALLED
FROM HORTENSE TO WAYNE COUNTY EM.
&&
CARROLLSpecial weather statement, Jul 15, 4:34 PM EST, 26 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 534 PM EDT THU JUL 15 2004 GAZ149-163-152215- ATKINSON GA-CLINCH GA- 534 PM EDT THU JUL 15 2004 ...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR CLINCH AND ATKINSON COUNTIES FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORM WINDS VALID UNTIL 615 PM EDT... AT 534 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM PEARSON TO 5 MILES EAST OF HOMERVILLE...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM PEARSON TO 3 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ARGYLE...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THIS CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND PEARSON...HOMERVILLE AND COGDELL THROUGH 615 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR WIND DAMAGE. HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL ALSO OCCUR. STAY INDOORS. REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR YOU CAN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE DIRECTLY AT 1-800-499-1594. ZIBURA
Special weather statement, Jul 15, 4:45 PM EST, 15 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 545 PM EDT THU JUL 15 2004 GAZ152-152230- BRANTLEY GA- 545 PM EDT THU JUL 15 2004 ...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR BRANTLEY COUNTY FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORM WINDS VALID UNTIL 630 PM EDT... AT 545 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF RAYBON TO 10 MILES WEST OF NAHUNTA...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES SOUTH OF PATTERSON TO HOBOKEN...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. THIS CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND RAYBON AND NAHUNTA THROUGH 630 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR WIND DAMAGE. HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL ALSO OCCUR. REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR YOU CAN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE DIRECTLY AT 1-800-499-1594. ZIBURA
Local storm report, Jul 15, 4:50 PM EST, 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
550 PM EDT THU JUL 15 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0200 PM HAIL NICHOLLS 31.52N 82.64W
07/15/2004 1.00 INCH COFFEE GA PUBLIC
QUARTER SIZE HAIL.
0530 PM HAIL WARESBORO 31.25N 82.47W
07/15/2004 0.88 INCH WARE GA EMERGENCY MNGR
NUMEROUS REPORTS OF NICKEL SIZE HAIL FROM PARTS OF THE
COUNTY. WINDS ESTIMATED 40 TO 50 MPH NEAR WARESBORO.
0532 PM TSTM WND DMG WARESBORO 31.25N 82.47W
07/15/2004 WARE GA PUBLIC
TREES DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 122.
0535 PM TSTM WND DMG WAYCROSS 31.21N 82.36W
07/15/2004 WARE GA EMERGENCY MNGR
POWER POLE DOWN AND TREE DOWN ON CAR. ALSO DIME SIZE HAIL
AND ESTIMATED 60 MPH WINDS IN THE EMERSON PARK AREA.
REPORTED BY 911 CENTER.
0540 PM TSTM WND DMG WAYCROSS 31.21N 82.36W
07/15/2004 WARE GA PUBLIC
NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ALL OVER THE CITY. US-1 UNDERPASS IN
WAYCROSS FLOODED AND BLOCKED OFF.
&&
CARROLLSpecial weather statement, Jul 15, 4:52 PM EST, 8 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 552 PM EDT THU JUL 15 2004 FLZ024-025-032-152230- CLAY FL-DUVAL FL-NASSAU FL- 552 PM EDT THU JUL 15 2004 ...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NASSAU...CLAY AND DUVAL COUNTIES FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORM WINDS UNTIL 630 PM EDT... AT 552 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 20 MILES WEST OF CALLAHAN TO 23 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DOCTORS INLET...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 17 MILES WEST OF HILLIARD TO 13 MILES SOUTHEAST OF RAIFORD...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. THIS CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND BRYCEVILLE...NORMANDY... NASSAU VILLAGE-RATLIFF...JACKSONVILLE HEIGHTS...DOCTORS INLET AND CALLAHAN THROUGH 630 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS OF UP TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR WIND DAMAGE. HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL ALSO OCCUR. REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR YOU CAN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE DIRECTLY AT 1-800-499-1594. ZIBURA
The radar
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
Event by event
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
What these are
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
The same day elsewhere
- Strong Wind in North Carolina, July 15, 2004
- Tornadoes and Hail in Nebraska, July 15, 2004
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Alabama, July 15, 2004
- Hail and Damaging Wind in Nebraska, July 15, 2004
- Damaging Wind and Lightning Strike in Georgia, July 15, 2004
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Mississippi, July 15, 2004
- Hail in Utah, July 15, 2004
- Flash Flood in Utah, July 15, 2004
- Damaging Wind in Georgia, July 15, 2004
- Damaging Wind in Georgia, July 15, 2004
- Lightning Strike in Florida, July 15, 2004
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Georgia, July 15, 2004
More
Every storm in Georgia in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in Georgia, July 2004
Sources
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5405905.