Arizona, 2004

Flash Flood in Arizona, September 2, 2004

September 2, 2004 · NWS TWC · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 2, 1:50 PM MST, 5 hours 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 2, 1:50 PM MST, 5 hours 55 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
150 PM MST THU SEP 2 2004

SOUTHEAST ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION

.SYNOPSIS...A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST MAINLY TO OUR NORTH FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY...BRINGING COOLER TEMPERATURES AND BREEZES. IN
ADDITION...THE WEAK REMNANTS OF A TROPICAL SYSTEM WILL INCREASE THE
MOISTURE ACROSS SOUTHERN ARIZONA OVER THE WEEKEND...BRINGING A
BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA.

&&

.DISCUSSION...HIGH OVERHEAD BREAKING DOWN AS A STRONG LOW MOVES
THROUGH BRITISH COLUMBIA AND THE RESULTING TROUGH DIGS THROUGH.
LATITUDE TOO HIGH TO DO MUCH THIS FAR SOUTH...BUT SOME BREEZES AND
SEVERAL DEGREES OF COOLING NOT TOO MUCH TO ASK FOR. TODAYS 12Z KTUS
SOUNDING HAD A STRONG CAP ABOVE THE MOISTURE (JUST ABOVE H5). THIS
SEEMS TO HAVE ERODED A BIT WITH WEAK COOLING STARTING AT MID LEVELS
THIS AFTERNOON. PRECIPITABLE WATER AT .92 ON THE SOUNDING WITH
VALUES NEAR 1 INCH AROUND HAS BEEN ENOUGH FOR A FEW BUILDUPS...BUT
MORE OF A TOPO ASSIST MAY BE NEEDED WITH THE INVERSION AND COVERAGE
IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE DOWN A BIT.

HOWARD WELL SOUTHWEST OF BAJA...CURRENT NHC TRACKS PUT THE WEAK
REMNANTS OFF THE CENTRAL THEN NORTHERN BAJA COAST OVER THE LABOR DAY
WEEKEND. BOTH STRENGTH AND TRACK TRENDS ARE QUITE REASONABLE
CONSIDERING THE COOLER WATER HES MOVING INTO AND THE SPEED AT WHICH
THE HIGH IS COLLAPSING UNDER THE TROUGH...HES TOO FAR SOUTH AND
MOVING TOO SLOWLY TO RECURVE DRASTICALLY UNDER THE TROUGHS
INFLUENCE. EVEN SO...THE RESULTING DEEPER MOISTURE PUSHING INTO
NORTHWEST MEXICO ON THE EASTERN FLANK OF THE DECAYING SYSTEM WILL
LIKELY BE A FACTOR FOR AT LEAST SOUTHERN ARIZONA. ENOUGH OF A
MOISTURE INCREASE TO PUSH US INTO SCATTERED COVERAGE OVER THE
WEEKEND WITH A MOISTURE GRADIENT FROM NORTH TO SOUTH.

HIGH CENTER RECONSOLIDATING OVER NORTHWEST MEXICO BEHIND THE TROUGH
BULLIES THE DEEPEST MOISTURE BACK AROUND TO THE WEST WITH THE FINAL
TENUOUS REMNANTS OF THE TROPICAL SYSTEM DRAWN UP WEST OF US AND INTO
THE FLOW NORTH OF US. WELL KEEP ISOLATED COVERAGE BUT NOT SURE
ABOUT THINGS AFTER THE WEEKEND.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

MEYER

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 112 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 02:44 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Pima

When
September 2, 7:45 PM MST to 9:00 PM MST
Where
Pima County, Sells
Reported by
LAW ENFORCEMENT
Coordinates
32.097, -111.790 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Tohono O'ohdam sheriff dispatch reported that Route 19 was closed due to high water.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arizona in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, September 2004

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5427342.