1 hail, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 15, 2:35 PM MST, 3 hours earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 235 PM MST THU JUL 15 2004 .SYNOPSIS...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS..WITH BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING AFTER MIDNIGHT. MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE STATE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...ALTHOUGH DIMINISH GRADUALLY EACH DAY. EXPECT DAILY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS... ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS. && .DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MOST NUMEROUS IN THE WESTERN FORECAST AREA AND ALONG THE RIM/WHITES CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON. STORMS IN THE EAST ARE TAPPING SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR ALOFT TO PRODUCE SOME HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS...WHILE STORMS IN THE WEST ARE PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN PRIMARILY. EXPECT ACTIVITY TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS BEFORE DIMINISHING BY MIDNIGHT. WILL NEED TO MONITOR CONVECTION MOVING INTO THE EAST LATER THIS EVENING FROM NM AHEAD OF A WEAK DISTURBANCE FOR POSSIBLE CONTINUED CONVECTIVE THREAT THERE OVERNIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM CO TO NM OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS... CONTINUING THE SOUTHEASTERLY TO SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE REGION. DRIER AIR EVIDENT ON THE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY OVER NM IS RAPIDLY FILLING WITH CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL DIMINISH ITS DRYING CAPACITY. HOWEVER...SOME DRYING OF THE AIRMASS IS EXPECTED...AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE MIXES EACH DAY WITH SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR ALOFT. OCCASIONALLY INFUSIONS OF MOISTURE FROM MEXICO ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND...PRIMARILY IN THE FORM OF MID AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE...AS LOW LEVELS BECOME MORE SOUTHWESTERLY AND WESTERLY. BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OVER AZ WHICH WILL WARM AND STABILIZE THE AIRMASS. THUS...DECREASING POPS EACH DAY INTO THE WEEKEND AND THEN LOW-GRADE POPS ARE EXPECTED NEXT WEEK. STAUDENMAIER && .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 1000 AM MST THU JUL 15 2004 AZZ004>018-037>040-161400- WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS- YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS- MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-KAIBAB PLATEAU-COCONINO PLATEAU- NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD- NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264- CHINLE VALLEY-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU- BLACK MESA AREA-LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY- LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY- LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY- EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-NORTHERN GILA COUNTY- 1000 AM MST THU JUL 15 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...NORTHERN GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN ARIZONA. .DAY ONE...TODAY ABUNDANT DEEP MOISTURE OVER THE STATE WILL LEAD TO WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TODAY. DUE TO LIGHT WINDS ALOFT...THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL WITH SOME STORMS PRODUCING RAINFALL TOTALS IN EXCESS OF TWO INCHES THIS AFTERNOON. SOME STORMS MAY ALSO CONTAIN BRIEF GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY MID MORNING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN YAVAPAI COUNTY WITH OTHER STORMS DEVELOPING LATER IN THE MORNING OVER THE MOGOLLON RIM AND WHITE MOUNTAINS. THE NORTHEAST CORNER OF THE STATE SHOULD SEE STORMS DEVELOPING BY LATE MORNING. ONCE DEVELOPED...THESE STORMS WILL SLOWLY MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST AT LESS THAN 10 MPH. BECAUSE SOME AREAS HAVE SEEN HEAVY RAIN OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS...SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING POTENTIAL EXISTS IF HEAVY RAIN MOVES OVER THESE LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY OVER YAVAPAI AND COCONINO COUNTIES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DECREASE OVER THE AREA THROUGH THIS PERIOD. HOWEVER...ENOUGH MOISTURE WILL REMAIN OVER NORTHERN ARIZONA FOR SCATTERED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN WILL DIMINISH BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 40 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 00:36 UTC.
1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
Dime sized hail was falling along Highway 87 from five to ten miles south of Payson. People were pulling off the road.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arizona in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, July 2004
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5414756.