1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 12, 2:30 PM MST, 1 hour 50 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 230 PM MST MON JUL 12 2004 .SYNOPSIS...A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS AREA WILL PRODUCE A MOIST EASTERLY FLOW ALOFT INTO THE STATE THIS WEEK. IN ADDITION LOWER LEVEL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH. LOOK FOR AN UPSWING IN SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS ALL OF NORTHERN ARIZONA. STORMS WILL BE MORE NUMEROUS OVER THE MOGOLLON RIM AND WHITE MOUNTAIN ARES. && .DISCUSSION...MORNING SOUNDINGS SHOWED MID LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASING ACROSS THE STATE. HOWEVER...LOWER LEVELS REMAIN RELATIVELY DRY OVER NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA. DEEPEST MOISTURE IS LOCATED OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE CWA WHERE CONVECTION HAS FIRED UP AGAIN TODAY. MOIST EASTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE AS H5 HIGH CENTER SETTLES OVER SOUTHERN CO. LOOKING FOR AN INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE NEXT 24-36 HRS AS A WEAK INVERTED TROF SEEN JUST SOUTH OF WESTERN TX MOVES SLOWLY TO THE WEST AND A GULF OF CALIFORNIA SURGE EXPECTED. HAVE RAISED POPS FOR FAVORED RIM AND WHITE MTNS AREAS FOR TOMORROW WITH CONTINUED HI POPS FOR WEDNESDAY IN THOSE AREAS. HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE STATE THRU THE EXTENDED PERIOD. SEE LITTLE DRYING FOR THE LOWER LEVELS AND WILL MAINTAIN AT LEAST SCATTERED POPS EACH DAY. DF && .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 925 AM MST MON JUL 12 2004 AZZ004>018-037>040-131400- WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS- YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS- MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-KAIBAB PLATEAU-COCONINO PLATEAU- NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD- NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264- CHINLE VALLEY-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU- BLACK MESA AREA-LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY- LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY- LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY- EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-NORTHERN GILA COUNTY- 925 AM MST MON JUL 12 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...NORTHERN GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN ARIZONA. .DAY ONE...TODAY MOISTURE CONTINUES TO INCREASE OVER THE REGION ESPECIALLY IN THE WHITE MOUNTAIN...EASTERN RIM AND YAVAPAI COUNTY AREAS. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY LATE MORNING OVER THE WHITE MOUNTAINS AND SPREAD WESTWARD DURING THE AFTERNOON OVER THE RIM AND INTO YAVAPAI COUNTY. SMALL HAIL...GUSTY WINDS AND BRIEF DOWNPOURS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. ISOLATED STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY A MOIST EASTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION DURING THIS PERIOD WITH THE MOISTURE SLOWLY SPREADING NORTHWARD. LOOK FOR AN UPSWING IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IN THE SOUTHERN SECTIONS AND MOVING NORTHWARD BY MID WEEK. LITTLE CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING INTO THE COMING WEEKEND. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 93 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 23:19 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Flash flooding was reported in the Willow Fire burn area. Three feet of water was reported flowing down City Creek. Debris flow was carried across East Verde Creek. Debris also flowed 3 miles down East Verde Creek. Baby Doll Road was washed over.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arizona in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, July 2004
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5414754.