Heavy Snow in Wisconsin, December 10 to 11, 2003

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
601 PM CST WED DEC 10 2003

.DISCUSSION...THE STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT SPREAD SNOW ACROSS
THE UPPER MIDWEST AND NORTHWEST WISCONSIN...HAS MOVED OUT OF THE CWA
LATE THIS AFTERNOON.  ALL WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES FOR NORTHWEST
WISCONSIN COUNTIES HAVE BEEN CANCELED.  SNOW FALL AMOUNTS TODAY
WERE IMPRESSIVE...WITH PRICE...IRON AND SAWYER COUNTIES RECEIVING 5
TO 10 INCHES OF NEW SNOW FROM THIS STORM.  A HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER
LEVEL JETSTREAM PATTERN RESIDES ACROSS THE NORTHWEST US...ALBERTA
AND SASKATCHEWAN...BRINGING A NORTHWEST FLOW ACROSS THE UPPER
MIDWEST. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE STATE THIS
EVENING. THIS COMBINED WITH ABSENCE OF CLOUDS UPSTREAM AND EXCELLENT
RADIATIONAL COOLING IN VERY DRY AIR WILL BRING THE COLDEST
TEMPERATURES OF THE SEASON ACROSS MINNESOTA AND WISCONSIN...TONIGHT
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK

ETA/MESOETA/AVN ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT INITIAL PLACEMENT OF UPPER
LEVEL LOW AND FORECAST MOVEMENT OF ASSOCIATED DEFORMATION ZONE CLOUD
BANDS INTO EASTERN WISCONSIN.

NO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHWEST WISCONSIN.
LOOKING FOR 1 TO 2 INCHES OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW THIS EVENING ACROSS
IRON COUNTY AT MOST.  DESPITE 4 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW FORECAST WITH
MESOETA SOLUTION...BELIEVE DRYER AIR WILL HELP STABILIZE LAKE EFFECT
SNOW BANDS FROM ALOFT...MINIMIZING RESULTING SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. SC
CLOUDS WILL LINGER THROUGH TOMORROW FOR THE SOUTH SHORE.

EXPECT PLENTY OF SUN FOR FRIDAY UNDER HIGH PRESSURE.

.EXTENDED.

A GRADUAL WARM UP WILL OCCUR TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEKEND. NEXT
POTENTIAL WEATHER MAKER APPEARS TO BE A WEAK SYSTEM FOR MONDAY.  A
MORE ZONAL FLOW FOR NEXT WEEK MEANS A MORE PROGRESSIVE PATTERN AND
TEMPERATURES NEAR CLIMATE NORMALS. BY THE END OF THE WEEK...A
HIGHER AMPLITUDE RETURNS ACROSS THE US.

&&

.DLH...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.

LJT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
730 AM CST WED DEC 10 2003

MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033>038-WIZ001>004-006>009-111330-
ASHLAND-BAYFIELD-BURNETT-C. ST. LOUIS-CROW WING-DOUGLAS-IRON-
KOOCHICHING-N. AITKIN-N. CASS-N. ITASCA-N. LAKE/N. COOK-N. ST. LOUIS-
PINE-PRICE-S. AITKIN-S. CASS-S. COOK/LAKESHORE-S. ITASCA-
S. LAKE/LAKESHORE-S. ST. LOUIS/CARLTON-SAWYER-WASHBURN-
730 AM CST WED DEC 10 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEASTERN MINNESOTA AND
NORTHWESTERN WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO FALL OVER MUCH OF NORTHWEST WISCONSIN TODAY.
THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF GRADUALLY AS THE DAY PROGRESSES.
TOTAL EVENT SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO REACH 8 INCHES OVER THE SNOW
BELT NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR... AS WELL AS NEAR PARK FALLS.  LESSER
AMOUNTS ELSEWHERE IN NORTHWEST WISCONSIN.  ADVISORIES ARE IN
EFFECT FOR ALMOST ALL OF NORTHWEST WISCONSIN...AS WELL AS A WARNING
FOR PRICE COUNTY...FOR THE MORNING HOURS.  THE ADVISORY FOR
THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE SUPERIOR...EAST OF PORT WING...WILL BE IN
EFFECT ALL DAY TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY NIGHT...MAINLY FROM
CORNUCOPIA TO THE UPSON...MONTREAL AREA. UP TO ANOTHER INCH OR SO
IS POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA.

VERY COLD AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHLAND BEHIND THIS SYSTEM. LOW
TEMPERATURES ALONG THE BORDER COUNTRY WILL BE IN THE MINUS 10 TO
MINUS 15 DEGREE RANGE BY THURSDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT.
SPOTTERS ARE URGED TO CALL IN ANY SNOWFALL REPORTS TODAY.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING URL:

HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/DLH

KFM