A thunderstorm with heavy rainfall moved over Nelson County during the afternoon of the 6th. As a result of saturated soil, a small landslide blocked Route 151 near Bryant.
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The episode as NWS LWX wrote it up.
A thunderstorm with heavy rainfall moved over Nelson County during the afternoon of the 6th. As a result of saturated soil, a small landslide blocked Route 151 near Bryant.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Baltimore/Washington wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 6, 1:45 PM EST, 55 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 245 PM EDT SUN JUL 6 2003 .SHORT TERM...TONIGHT AND MON NO SIG CHGS TO CUR FCST PKG THRU MON. TYPICAL SUMMER PATTERN WITH AFTN HEAT AND HUMIDITY PROVIDING ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR CHC TSTMS IN FCST. HAVE PASSED CONV TEMP. MUCH MORE CU THAN YESTERDAY BUT ONLY STORM CELLS AS YET ARE S OF CHO IN ALBEMARLE AND NELSON. DEW POINTS OVER SRN CWA ARE IN THE LOWER 70S VERSUS UPR 60S OVER NRN CWA. STILL...JUST SEEMS TO BE A MATTER OF TIME. MDLS SEEM TO INDICATE A LTL MORE CLDS ARND TONIGHT...PERHAPS LEFT OVER DEBRIS FROM AFTN AND EVE CONVECTION. ETA AND GFS HAVE A SHORT WV MOVING THRU MON AFTN WHICH MAY PROVIDE A LTL MORE LIFT TO GET THINGS GOING. 40 POP LOOKS GOOD. MOS GUIDENCE CONTINUES TREND OF FCSTG MAX TEMPS TOO HIGH. WATSON .LONG TERM...MON NIGHT THRU SUN... MEDIUM RANGE MODELS COMING INTO BETTER AGREEMENT TODAY. ALL AGREE THAT THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL CHANGE DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT EXTENDS WESTWARD TO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION TODAY WILL GRADUALLY MOVE EAST AND ALLOW SHORTWAVE TROUGH TO PROGRESS/DEVELOP OVER THE AREA THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. THE TROUGH WILL MOVE OFF THE COAST ON SATURDAY AND THE RIDGE WILL EXPAND TO COVER THE REGION AGAIN SUNDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DISSIPATE SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET MONDAY EVENING. IT WILL BE HOT AND HUMID ON TUESDAY. DEWPOINTS ARE SLATED TO BE IN THE 60S AND 70S WITH A WEST WIND. MAV GUIDANCE SHOWS TEMPS IN THE UPPER 90S AT SOME LOCATIONS WHILE MET NUMBERS IN THE LOWER 90S. WILL TAKE A BLEND...WITH TEMPS IN SOME LOCATIONS IN THE MID 90. THIS COULD PRODUCE HEAT INDICES IN THE TRIPLE DIGITS AGAIN. HEAT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON. FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...A NUMBER OF WEAK IMPULSES WILL AFFECT THE AREA. THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA BY FRIDAY AS THE STRONGEST SHORTWAVE MOVES THROUGH. WILL CONTINUE A CHANCE POP THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. TEMPS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY EXPECTED TO BE BELOW CLIMO. DRY WITH NEAR NORM TEMPS AND RISING DEWPOINTS FOR SUNDAY. .LWX... DC...NONE. MD...NONE. VA...NONE. WV...NONE. MARINE...NONE. SHORT TERM...WATSON LONG TERM...CPW
DCZ001-MDZ002>007-009>011-013-014-016>018-VAZ021-025>031-036>042- 050>057-WVZ048>055-071000- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 1030 AM EDT SUN JUL 6 2003 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MARYLAND WEST OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND EAST OF GARRETT COUNTY...THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA...NORTHERN VIRGINIA...THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL SHENANDOAH VALLEY...AND THE EASTERN PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BETWEEN NOON TODAY AND 8:00 PM. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE PRODUCING LOCALIZED DAMAGING WINDS CAPABLE OF DOWNING TREES AND POWER LINES. BRIEF HEAVY RAINS ARE ALSO LIKELY AND SOME AREAS MAY EXPERIENCE LOCALIZED FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND ROADWAYS WITH POOR DRAINAGE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY THIS AFTERNOON. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. WATSON
VAZ036-037-062000- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 305 PM EDT SUN JUL 6 2003 AT 305 PM...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM OVER JONESBORO...MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH. THIS STORM IS PRODUCING A LOT OF RAINFALL GENERALLY OVER THE CENTRAL PORTION OF NELSON COUNTY. THE COMMUNITIES OF SCHUYLER AND WINTERGREEN WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM THROUGH 400 PM. BE AWARE OF THE HEAVY RAIN WHILE DRIVING THROUGH THIS REGION. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED. ROGOWSKI
The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 149 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:40 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
A small landslide blocked Route 151 near Bryant.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Virginia in 2003Every state in 2003This day in weather historyWarnings in Virginia, July 2003
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5369492.