Texas, 2003Flood in Texas, October 12, 2003
October 12, 2003 · NWS CRP · 1 event in 1 county or zone
1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
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- Heat and drought
- Cold
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- Marine and coastal
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Corpus Christi, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 12, 9:30 AM CST, 45 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 12, 9:30 AM CST, 45 minutes before
SOUTH TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1030 AM CDT SUN OCT 12 2003
SFC LOW OVR DEEP S TX COMBINED WITH AN UPPER LEV S/WV AND ABUNDANT
MOISTURE IS MAINTAINING MOD TO HVY RAIN OVR THE CENTRAL CWA. WL
RAISE POPS OVR SE COASTAL COUNTIES FROM 60 TO 80 PERCENT. ALTHOUGH
RAIN HAS CURRENTLY DECREASED OVR W CWA...MODELS PROG STRONG
ISENTROPIC LIFT THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ALONG WITH SFC
CONVERGENCE AND HIGHEST MOISTURE FIELDS/QPF. EVEN WITH THE UPPER
S/WV MVG TO THE E OF THE AREA...STRONG DIFFLUENCE ALOFT CONTS ACRS
THE ENTIRE CWA AS WELL. WL LIKELY CONT FFA FOR TONIGHT...AND MAY
EXTEND IT FARTHER EAST BUT WILL WAIT FOR 12Z MODEL RUNS.
TE...81
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM (TODAY)...IMPRESSIVE COLD CLOUD TOPS WITH MESOSCALE
CONVECTIVE COMPLEX NEAR LAREDO. THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT ONGOING EARLY
THIS MORNING WILL PERSIST INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS OVER THE RIO
GRANDE PLAINS. PREFER THE GFS HANDLING OF THE CURRENT SITUATION. THE
GFS SHOWS GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE REMAINING OVER THE WESTERN
FORECAST AREA THROUGH 18Z. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WAS LOCATED FROM
SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY STRETCHING NORTHWEST TO THE COMPLEX OF STORMS
OVER LA SALLE AND WEBB COUNTIES. RADAR LOOP SHOWS SHOWERS AND STORMS
MOVING NORTHWEST ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TOWARD MASSIVE
CONVECTIVE AREA. EXPECT CONTINUED LOW LEVEL INFLUX OF DEEP TROPICAL
MOISTURE INTO CONVECTIVE COMPLEX TODAY. THE RADAR LOOP INDICATES
MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE VORTEX DEVELOPING NORTH OF LAREDO. GFS MODEL
SLOWLY SHIFTS VORTICITY MAX EASTWARD TO THE COASTAL BEND DURING THE
DAY. WILL ISSUE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR TODAY FOR THE RIO GRANDE
PLAINS GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF A HIGHWAY 281 LINE. LOW LEVEL
FLOW REMAINS STRONG ALONG THE COAST AND OFFSHORE WITH CONVECTIVE
SYSTEM OUT WEST. KCRP VAD WIND PROFILE SHOWS 25 TO 35 KNOTS LOW
LEVEL EAST-NORTHEAST WINDS. WILL CONTINUE SCEC FOR OFFSHORE WATERS
TODAY.
LONG-TERM (TONIGHT THRU SAT)...MCS WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST AND REMAIN
LONG-LIVED AS VERY TROPICAL AIRMASS HAS PRECLUDED DEVELOPMENT OF
DOWNDRAFTS/COLD POOL. GFS/UKMET BOTH IDENTIFY A VORT MAX MOVING
ACROSS THE CWA TODAY AND THIS PROBABLY IS BEST REPRESENTING THE MCV
CURRENTLY NEAR LRD. BY 6Z THIS VORT MAX HAS EXITED THE NE CWA AND
EXPECT THE CHANCE FOR LIKELY RAIN TO HAVE ENDED BY THIS EVENING AS
BEST LLVL CONVERGENCE WILL BE TO THE EAST OF THE CWA. RRQ OF THE
UPPER JET WILL REMAIN IN PLACE...AND DIVERGENCE ALOFT MAY HELP
GENERATE SCATTERED CONVECTION TONIGHT ESPECIALLY OVER THE WEST. NO
REPEAT MCS DEVELOPMENT IS ANTICIPATED TONIGHT WITH HEAVY RAINFALL
THREAT LIKELY BEING LOCALIZED. THE PREVIOUSLY ADVERTISED FROPA FOR
TODAY IS NO LONGER AND SURFACE ANALYSIS SUPPORTS THE GFS SOLUTION OF
LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPS/DEWPOINTS TONIGHT. BY MONDAY...850 FLOW
BECOMES SWLY AND DESPITE CONTINUED UPPER DIVERGENCE THIS WILL LIMIT
LLVL CONVERGENCE AND WILL ONLY FCST CHANCE POPS. FINALLY BY
TUESDAY...MODELS IN AGREEMENT ONCE AGAIN IN BRINGING DECENT FRONT
THROUGH. BELIEVE THAT THIS SHOULD HELP DRIVE THE DEEPER MOISTURE
SOUTH OF THE CWA...BUT CLOUDS WILL PROBABLY LINGER DUE TO ZONAL FLOW
ALOFT. WILL KEEP WED-SAT. RETURN FLOW PROGGED BY GFS/ECMWF BY
THU...WITH ANOTHER FRONT EXPECTED EARLY SAT AS FLOW BECOMES MORE
AMPLIFIED. SCA NEEDED OFFSHORE TUE-WED BEHIND FRONT.
CRP TE 082/070 083/072 083 64322
VCT TE 081/068 083/069 083 43322
LRD TE 078/070 083/074 085 +5322
.CRP...FLASH FLOOD WATCH TODAY RIO GRANDE PLAINS.
89/TMT...SHORT-TERM
92/TR...LONG-TERM
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 12, 5:00 AM CST, 5 hours 15 minutes before
GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-TXZ229>234-239>247-131100-
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
600 AM CDT SUN OCT 12 2003
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR TODAY FOR THE RIO GRANDE
PLAINS. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED
AMOUNTS NEAR 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. PORTIONS OF THE RIO GRANDE
PLAINS HAS RECEIVED 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN SINCE SATURDAY
EVENING. ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL QUICKLY BECOME RUNOFF
AND AGGRAVATE THE FLOODING SITUATION OVER THE REGION ESPECIALLY
OVER WEBB...LA SALLE AND MCMULLEN COUNTIES.
FOR THE COASTAL BEND AND VICTORIA CROSSROADS...SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY
AND TAPER OFF TONIGHT. BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND WIND GUSTS UP TO
30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ON MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LEVELS...WITH
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN BEING THE PRIMARY THREAT. A COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED ON TUESDAY WHICH WILL BRING DRIER AIR AND STRONG NORTHERLY
WINDS INTO THE AREA. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE REQUIRED TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
TMT/TR
In the hours before
Local storm report, Oct 12, 4:22 AM CST, 5 hours 53 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
522 AM CDT SUN OCT 12 2003
TIME(CDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
0130 AM 10 W ENCINAL TX FLASH FLOOD
10/12/03 WEBB WATER OVER THE ROAD ON
HIGHWAYS 83 AND 44 IN
NORTHERN WEBB COUNTY
REPORTED BY WEBB COUNTY SO.
0245 AM 25 N LAREDO TX FLASH FLOOD
10/12/03 WEBB 1 TO 2 FEET OF WATER OVER
INTERSTATE 35 IN PLACES
BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 24 AND
36 NORTH OF LAREDO.
VEHICLES STRANDED.
0300 AM 5 NE LAREDO TX FLASH FLOOD
10/12/03 WEBB WATER OVER THE ROAD AT LOOP
20 AND IGNACIO ROAD IN
NORTHEAST LAREDO REPORTED
BY WEBB COUNTY SO.
0315 AM COTULLA TX FLASH FLOOD
10/12/03 LA SALLE WATER OVER THE ROADS WITHIN
THE CITY OF COTULLA.
0315 AM 25 SE COTULLA TX FLASH FLOOD
10/12/03 LA SALLE HIGH WATER CONTINUING TO
RISE OVER CENTRAL LA SALLE
COUNTY WITH FM 624 AND FM
469 STILL CLOSED.
TMTFlood, Webb
- When
- October 12, 10:15 AM CST
- Where
- Webb forecast zone
- Reported by
- AWOS,ASOS,MESONET,ETC
- Coordinates
- 27.761, -99.332 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Heavy rainfall over South Texas on the 11th and 12th led to river flooding.The Rio Grande at Columbia Bridge rose, crested at 25.45 feet, and fell below flood stage on the 12th. (flood stage 18 feet)
- Flood
- Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flash Flood in Texas, October 12, 2003$75,000 · 1 event
- Frost and Freeze in Colorado, October 12, 20033 events
- Frost and Freeze in Alaska, October 12, 20033 events
- Winter Storm in Montana, October 12 to 13, 20032 events
- High Wind in Montana, October 12, 200356 kt wind · 1 event
- High Wind in Montana, October 12, 200352 kt wind · 1 event
- Wildfire in California, October 12 to 15, 20031 event
- Flood in Texas, October 12, 20031 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5371396.