1 heavy rain, 1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 16, 5:18 AM CST, 3 hours 42 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 518 AM CST SUN NOV 16 2003 .AVIATION... AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN IS TAKING SHAPE FOR SUNDAY NIGHT. TODAY...A WEAK FRONT HAS SLIDE ACROSS THE NORTHWEST HALF OF KDFW TRACON. CLEAR SKIES WITH LOWER DEWPOINTS AT KFTW AND KDFW...AND SATURATED AIRMASS WITH LIFR VIS AND CIGS OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN HALF. IFR VIS WILL LINGER BETWEEN KDFW AND KACT THROUGH MID MORNING THEN IMPROVING. OVERNIGHT....THE BIG PROBLEM COMES TONIGHT WHEN FLOW BECOMES DOMINATED BY AN APPROACHING WEATHER SYSTEM AND DRAWS MVFR/IFR CIGS/VIS BACK NORTHWARD OVER NORTH TEXAS. THIS WILL ALSO LEAD TO AN INCREASED CHANCE OF SCT-NMRS TSRA/SHRA ACROSS THE REGION MAINLY AFTER 06Z. 75 && .DISCUSSION... 338 AM CST RATHER INTERESTING FORECAST TONIGHT THAT HAS BEEN EVOLVING THE PAST FEW DAYS AND APPEARS TO FINALLY BE ARRIVING...AS FORECAST. WHILE THE ETA AND AVN ARE SIMILAR IN HANDLING THIS SCENARIO...THERE ARE ENOUGH MINOR DIFFERENCES THAT MAKES THE AVN THE BETTER CHOICE ON THE FINAL OUTCOME. FIRST...A DENSE FOG ADVISORY FOR ALL BUT THE EXTREME NORTHWEST AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST PORTIONS IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM THIS MORNING. THE MOISTURE PLUME THAT HAS DOMINATED OUR WEATHER THE PAST FEW DAYS CONTINUES TO BRING PRECIP TO OUR SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS THIS MORNING. THIS APPEARS TO BE THE ONLY AREA OF CONCERN FOR RAIN EARLY TODAY. BY TONIGHT...THINGS CHANGE AS BETTER DYNAMICS COME INTO PLAY FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH THE APPROACH OF THE UPPER LOW. WIDESPREAD PRECIP WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. BY THEN...FULL EFFECT OF THE LOW WILL ALLOW FOR SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS NORTH TEXAS...PARTICULARLY IN THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA. THERE IS ALSO THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINS BUT HERE IS WHERE THE ETA AND AVN DIFFER. THE ETA WANTS TO BRING A SINGLE SWATH OF HEAVY PRECIP ACROSS THE CENTRAL PART OF NORTH TEXAS...WHILE THE AVN SPLITS THE QPF INTO TWO AREAS...WITH THE CORES OF BOTH MISSING OUR AREA. SINCE WE ARE PREFERRING THE AVN SOLUTION WE WILL NOT MENTION HEAVY RAIN IN THE ZONES BUT WILL DIFFER TO LATER FORECASTS TO RESOLVE THE ISSUE. OVERALL...MOS TEMPS APPEAR REASONABLE BUT HAVE GONE MORE WITH THE MAV POP SOLUTION. AS FOR THE EXTENDED...THERE IS ENOUGH VARIABILITY IN MODEL RUNS TO LOWER OUR CONFIDENCE...SO WE WILL LEAVE IT ALONE FOR NOW AND CONCENTRATE ON THE SHORT TERM. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DFW 78 63 71 52 / 10 60 90 10 ACT 77 64 73 53 / 20 60 90 30 PRX 74 62 70 52 / 10 60 90 30 DTO 76 63 74 51 / 10 60 90 10 TKI 76 63 71 52 / 10 60 90 10 DAL 77 63 71 53 / 10 60 90 10 TRL 77 64 71 54 / 10 60 90 30 CRS 78 64 73 54 / 20 60 90 30 TPL 76 64 73 54 / 30 60 90 30 && .FWD... TX...DENSE FOG ADVISORY FOR THIS MORNING FOR ZONES TXZ092>095... TXZ102>107...TXZ116>123...TXZ129>135...TXZ141>148...TXZ156>161. && 42
TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-162200- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 425 AM CST SUN NOV 16 2003 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS. .DAY ONE... DENSE FOG WITH VISIBILITIES BELOW 1/2 MILE WILL BE PRESENT ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH TEXAS UNTIL MID MORNING. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTH TEXAS TODAY...BUT NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED. THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MIDNIGHT...BUT ONE OR TWO SEVERE STORMS MAY DEVELOP BEFORE DAYBREAK WEST OF INTERSTATE 35 WITH LARGE AND DAMAGING WINDS AS THE PRIMARY THREAT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT AS THE SYSTEM ORGANIZES INTO A SQUALL LINE BY MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MOVES EAST ACROSS THE REGION. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS...BUT A FEW TORNADIC SUPERCELLS MAY EVOLVE MONDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING. HEAVY RAINFALL MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLOODING PROBLEMS DURING MONDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO NORTH TEXAS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY...BUT THERE MAY BE LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION WEST OF INTERSTATE 35 TONIGHT. 75
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 heavy rain, 1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Heavy rains the night of the 15th and morning of the 16th, washed out a retaining wall on San Augustine Street. No flooding was reported.
Early Sunday morning an estimated 8 to 9 inches of rain fell in Normangee. Town Creek overflowed it's banks by 800 am, and by 1000 am rising water had flooded many streets in town. However, no homes or businesses reported flood damage.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2003Every state in 2003This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, November 2003
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5336745, 5336744.