Hail and Damaging Winds in Texas, May 23, 2003

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
352 PM CDT FRI MAY 23 2003

PLAYING CATCH UP WITH SVR TSTM WATCH ISSUED.  CNVTN DVLPD OVR THE
HIER TRRN OF NM/CO AND MOVG S TO SEWD WITH NWLY FLOW ALF.  UPR RDG
OVR THE INTRMTNRGN WL RMN IN PLACE THRU THE WKND AS SHRTWV ENERGY
CONTS TO EJECT SEWD OUT OF THE RCKYS INTO THE PNHDLS.  OUTFLOW
BNDRYS ALG WITH A FNTL BNDRY FCSTD TO MOV INTO THE FA SAT WL
RESULT IN BETTER CHC/S FOR CNVTN SAT AND SAT NGT.  RETAINED LIKELY
POPS AS MOIST UPSLP SFC FLOW BY SAT AFTN INTO SAT NGT...NWLY FLOW
ALF...AND SFC BNDRY/S WL PROVIDE LIFT FOR CNVTV DVLPMT.  LOOKS AS
THOUGH THE PNHDLS WL BE IN FOR A WET AND UNSEASONABLY COOL MEMORIAL
DAY WKND.

SFC HIGH BEGINS TO SHIFT EWD BY TUE AND WED AS SFC FLOW VEERS
AROUND TO THE S AND SW.  THIS WL RESULT IN WARMER CONDITIONS AND NOT
QUITE AS WET.  STILL...NWLY FLOW ALF AND SHRTWV ENERGY TUE THRU WED
NGT WL KEEP SLGT CHC POPS WARRANTED.  THU LOOKS DRIER AND EVEN
WARMER AS UPR HIGH SHIFTS EWD OVR THE SWRN STATES AND RCKYSAND UPR
FLOW BCMS MORE NLY.  SLGT CHC POPS BY THE END OF THE WK AS ANOTHER
FNTL BNDRY SLIDES SWD INTO THE PNHDLS AND UPR RDG SETTLES IN OVR
THE SRN PLNS STATES. DIRTY UPR RDG WITH SHRTWV ENERGY RIDING E
AND SE UNDER THE RDG WL ALLOW FOR CNVTN TO DVLP OFF THE HIER TRRN OF
NM/CO AND SLIDE E/SEWD INTO THE PNHDLS.

FCSTID = 11

AMARILLO    60 82 56 74 / 40 60 60 30
BEAVER      61 76 55 72 / 40 70 60 30
BOISE CITY  61 75 54 72 / 40 60 60 30
BORGER      64 80 57 74 / 40 60 60 30
BOYS RANCH  60 83 56 74 / 40 60 60 30
CANYON      60 83 58 75 / 40 60 60 30
CLARENDON   63 85 59 75 / 40 60 60 30
DALHART     60 81 54 72 / 40 60 60 30
GUYMON      62 75 55 72 / 40 70 60 30
HEREFORD    61 84 57 75 / 40 60 60 30
LIPSCOMB    64 76 54 73 / 40 60 60 30
PAMPA       63 79 57 74 / 40 60 60 30
SHAMROCK    64 81 60 75 / 40 60 60 30
WELLINGTON  64 84 60 75 / 40 60 60 30

.AMA...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-241100-

TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
304 PM CDT FRI MAY 23 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EXTREME WESTERN
OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES INTO THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING AS DISTURBANCES MOVE ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT. OTHERWISE...HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

HENNIG