Flash Flood in Texas, July 16, 2003

SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
700 AM CDT WED JUL 16 2003

RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH CLAUDETTE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE AREA
THROUGH THE MORNING BECOMING SCATTERED AREAS OF RAIN EVOLVING IN
THE AFTERNOON.  WILL GO FOR FLASH FLOOD WATCH THRU NOON FOR PARTS
OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS AND HILL COUNTRY.   SHOWERS EXPECTED TO
DIMINISH THIS EVENING OVER EAST PART OF AREA AND CONTINUE OVER
WESTERN PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH THE EVENING AND
TO EARLY MORNING HOURS.  ON THURSDAY EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO FORM WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND THEN DIMINISH
QUICKLY IN THE EARLY EVENING.

MORE STABLE CONDITIONS EXPECTED FRIDAY...WITH WIDELY SCATTERED
SHOWERS.  HIGH ALOFT BUILDS STEADILY OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...BRINGING STABLE JULY WX PATTERN TO
THE AREA.  WILL GO FOR LITTLE OR NO RAIN THIS WEEKEND TO THE
EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK.

PRELIMS...
AUS 089/073 092/071 095 52402
DRT 086/073 093/074 095 96422
SAT 087/073 091/074 091 83402

.EWX...HIGH WIND WARNING THRU NOON FOR VAL VERDE COUNTY.
       WIND ADVISORY FOR THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST PART OF
       SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THRU 4 PM
       FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PART OF S CNTRL TX ALONG A WEST OF A
       JOHNSON CITY TO SAN MARCOS TO HALLETTSVILLE LINE THRU NOON
       TODAY.

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
500 AM CDT WED JUL 16 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY
CLAUDETTE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH
FLOODING TODAY OVER MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS AND THE HILL
COUNTRY.  BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY WILL
CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO THE AREA.  THERE IS ALSO A
SECONDARY THREAT OF ISOLATED SHORT LIVED TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
CLAUDETTE WILL MOVE WELL WEST INTO MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS BY DAY
TWO...HOWEVER THERE WILL STILL BE A CHANCE OF RESIDUAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA.  HOWEVER NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TODAY.

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1136 AM CDT WED JUL 16 2003

...AN URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR DEWITT
COUNTY UNTIL 1 PM TODAY...
...AN URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR EDWARDS
COUNTY UNTIL 1230 PM TODAY...
...AN URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR
KINNEY...MAVERICK AND VAL VERDE COUNTIES UNTIL NOON TODAY...
...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN THREE-QUARTERS
OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS INCLUDING DEL RIO AND SAN ANTONIO UNTIL 6 PM
TODAY...
...A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR VAL VERDE COUNTY UNTIL 6 PM
TODAY...

REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE...CENTERED AROUND 40 MILES WEST
OF LAKE AMISTAD AT 1136 PM...WILL CONTINUE TO WESTWARD AND AWAY FROM
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
INDIRECTLY ASSOCIATED WITH CLAUDETTE CONTINUE TO MOVE ONSHORE OVER
EASTERN PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. THESE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OF
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OVER VERY SATURATED SOILS.

FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS MAY NEED TO BE ISSUED OVER COUNTIES IN THE
EASTERN HALF OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS IN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO AS THESE
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY AND AREAL COVERAGE.
IN ADDITION TO THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT...THERE REMAINS A SMALL
POSSIBILITY OF A BRIEF TORNADO DEVELOPING IN THIS SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THESE STORMS WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND UNDERPASSES OF
SECONDARY ROADWAYS. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE
WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW
YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE
ABANDONED QUICKLY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.