1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Morristown, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 7, 8:14 PM EST, 6 hours 44 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 914 PM EDT WED MAY 7 2003 THE FOLLOWING ARE ALL THE FORECAST DISCUSSIONS FROM THE PAST 24 HOURS...WITH THE MOST RECENT ON TOP. THIS PROVIDES A HISTORY OF THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE CURRENT FORECAST. ********************************************************************* EVENING FORECAST DISCUSSION (UPDATE) 914 PM EDT WED MAY 7 2003 AN AREA OF SHOWERS CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK SHORT-WAVE. THIS WAVE WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA BY EARLY MORNING. A WEAK BOUNDARY ACROSS MID-STATE ALONG WITH MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM AROUND THE NORTHERN PLATEAU TO SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY MOVE INTO THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT SO WILL KEEP CHANGE POPS GOING AREA WIDE. SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS NOTED WHICH WILL ALLOW PATCHY FOG TO DEVELOP. WILL INCLUDE PATCHY DENSE FOG DUE TO THE SATURATED GROUND AND EXPECTED LIGHT/CALM WINDS. CURRENT FORECASTED LOWS LOOKS GOOD. .MRX... NC...NONE. TN...NONE. VA...NONE. DH ********************************************************************* AFTERNOON FORECAST DISCUSSION 230 PM EDT WED MAY 7 2003 ANOTHER RAINY DAY IN THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. THE LATEST MCS IS BEGINNING TO PULL OFF THE THE EAST AND SHOULD BE EXITING THE FORECAST AREA BEFORE MIDNIGHT. THURSDAY MORNING LOOKS TO BE RELATIVELY DRY WITH THE NEXT RAIN SYSTEM MOVING IN AFTERNOON. RAINS CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND. MONDAY LOOKS TO BE DRY...HOWEVER LATEST MRF BRINGS RAINS BACK INTO THE PICTURE TUESDAY. THIS IS A DEPARTURE FROM YESTERDAYS RUN AND DO NOT TOTALLY BUY IT...HOWEVER INTRODUCTED CHANCE POPS WITH THE RAINYNESS CURRENTLY ONGOING. GFS AND ETA SIMILIAR AND WENT WITH A BLEND FOR GUIDANCE. ********************************************************************* MORNING FORECAST DISCUSSION 1040 AM EDT WED MAY 7 2003 TWO UPDATES ALREADY THIS MORNING TO THE ZONE FORECAST...ONE TO DROP A WATCH AND THEN ANOTHER TO ADD TORNADO WATCH 283 FOR EXTREME SW ZONES THRU 18Z. TEMPS AND WINDS WERE TWEAKED A BIT WITH THE LAST UPDATE...AND WITH NEAR 100% POPS LOOKING GOOD FOR TODAY...SHOULD BE NO NEED TO UPDATE AGAIN UNTIL THE TORNADO WATCH EXPIRES OR IF A NEW WATCH BECOMES NECESSARY. CONCERNING SEVERE WEATHER THREAT...A FEW STRONG STORMS MOVING EAST FROM SOUTHERN MIDDLE TN BEAR WATCHING FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE WINDS. THESE STORMS MAY REACH OUR CDT COUNTIES BEFORE NOON EDT (11AM CDT). MSAS SHOWS NRN MIDDLE AND EAST TN STILL FAIRLY STABLE WITH BEST INSTABILITY FROM SRN MIDDLE TN SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES. FLOODING CONTINUES ACROSS MUCH OF THE SW HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA ...INCLUDING RIVER FLOODING. WILL LET THE FLOOD WATCH ISSUED EARLIER REMAIN IN EFFECT...BUT NO SIGNIFICANT THREAT OF FLOODING SEEN YET FOR NE TN AND SW VA. TG ********************************************************************* EARLY MORNING FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED 730 AM EDT WED MAY 7 2003 WILL UPDATE SHORTLY TO CANCEL SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 281. ADDITIONAL SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE TODAY. ...FL0OD WARNINGS CONTINUE FOR MOST OF EAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA TODAY... ...A FLOOD WATCH TODAY FOR SOME NORTHEAST AREAS OF TENNESSEE... FLOODING PROBLEMS TO CONTINUE TODAY. WILL NOT EXPAND WATCH AREA AT THIS TIME SINCE NE AREAS CAN PROBABLY HANDLE A COUPLE OF INCHES TODAY. HIGH CONFIDENCE IN CURRENTLY WARNED AREAS CONTINUING TODAY SO WILL NOT KEEP THOSE IN WATCH. AREA IN WARM SECTOR WITH CONTINUED DP BOUNDARY ALONG SOUTHERN AND WESTERN EDGE. VERY SHORT WAVE TO SW HAS EASILY KICKED OF CONVECTION WHICH IS CURRENTLY ADVECTING INTO S MRX CWA. ANOTHER SHORT WAVE CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH MS RVR VLY WILL BE THE MAIN FOCUSING MECHANISM FOR CONVECTION TODAY. THIS WAVE IS RATHER FLAT WHICH WILL ALLOW IT TO MOVE QUICKLY TO THE EAST TODAY. SFC DEVELOPMENT SE MO A LITTLE DEEPER AND PROGGED MORE SOUTHWARD TODAY THAN PREV MODEL RUNS. THIS JUST ENHANCES ALREADY EXPECTED PRECIP WHICH COMES IN TWO WAVES TODAY. AMOUNTS WILL BE HEFTY WITH 1.5 TO 2 INCHES COMMON. DP AXIS AND EAST EDGE OF THETA-E RIDGE SHOULD EVENTUALLY MOVE E INTO THE AREA TODAY. HOWEVER...INSTABILITY AND SHEAR VALUES INDICATE ONLY SLIGHT CHANCES FOR SEVERE WEATHER. MOS MAX TEMPS REMAIN TOO HIGH WITH EXPECTED DEEP MOISTURE. MID/UPR LVL DRYING MOVES INTO AREA FAST TONIGHT. ANOTHER SHORT WAVE MOVES EAST ACROSS THE AREA THU. THIS WILL DRAW ADDITIONAL MOISTURE BACK UP THE LOW LEVEL BOUNDARY FM THE SOUTH RESULTING IN MORE PRECIPITATION MAINLY SOUTHERN AREAS. ALSO INSTABILTY LOOKS BETTER THOSE AREAS SO DESPITE LESS COVERAGE SLGT SVR TSTM POTENTIAL REMAINS. ANOTHER WAVE WITH GOOD LLVL CONVERGENCE MOVES E NORTH OF AREA WITH BEST CHCS THERE FRI. DECENT SUNSHINE FRI WILL ALLOW FOR TEMPS TO WARM UP TO WELL ABOVE CLIMO AND AFTN INSTABILITY WILL BE GOOD SO ISOLD SVR THREAT ONCE AGAIN. CSTID = 17 CHA 77 63 83 64 / 100 30 60 40 TYS 76 60 81 62 / 100 50 50 20 TRI 73 57 78 58 / 100 50 30 30 OQT 75 61 82 62 / 100 40 50 20 SON
NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-005-006-008-081000- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 440 AM EDT WED MAY 7 2003 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA...EAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE... A CONTINUATION OF A STORMY WEATHER PATTERN WILL RESULT IN CONTINUED HAZARDOUS WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. FLOODING IS ONGOING IN MUCH OF SOUTHEAST TENNESSEE AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TODAY WILL LIKELY MAKE MATTERS WORSE. ALSO...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY...BOTH THIS MORNING AND AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. FINALLY...SEVERAL RIVERS ARE EXPERIENCING FLOODING AND THIS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AS WELL. * FLOOD WARNING..............SEE WGUS44 KMRX - FLWMRX FOR DETAILS * * RIVER FLOOD WARNING........SEE WGUS44 KMRX - FLWMRX FOR DETAILS * * FLOOD WATCH................SEE WGUS66 KMRX - FFAMRX FOR DETAILS * .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... STORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...WITH MORE HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING POSSIBLE. MOST OF THE RIVERS THAT ARE IN FLOOD SHOULD REMAIN HIGH THROUGH THURSDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS ALSO POSSIBLE. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE INTO THE WEEKEND...BUT THERE IS STILL A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. * RIVER FLOOD WARNING........SEE WGUS44 KMRX - FLWMRX FOR DETAILS * .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. SP
The Northeast Alabama radar (KHTX), 88 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 07:56 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Widespread flooding, road closures, damage, evacuations.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Tennessee in 2003Every state in 2003This day in weather historyWarnings in Tennessee, May 2003
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5356345.