South Carolina, 2003

Flood in South Carolina, March 20, 2003

March 20, 2003 · NWS GSP · 1 event in 1 county or zone

After heavy rain caused flash flooding during the late evening of the 19th, and the early morning of the 20th, moderating rainfall resulted in slower rises, but continued and additional flooding along many creeks and streams in areas from Berea, to Greenville, Taylors, and Greer, to Mauldin and Simpsonville. The flooding was quite significant in Berera, Taylors and Mauldin.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$1.0 million
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS GSP wrote it up.

After heavy rain caused flash flooding during the late evening of the 19th, and the early morning of the 20th, moderating rainfall resulted in slower rises, but continued and additional flooding along many creeks and streams in areas from Berea, to Greenville, Taylors, and Greer, to Mauldin and Simpsonville. The flooding was quite significant in Berera, Taylors and Mauldin. In Berea, some residents had to be rescued via canoe from their homes.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 20, 4:30 AM EST, 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 20, 4:30 AM EST, 30 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
430 AM EST THU MAR 20 2003

LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS WEDGE CONTROLLING EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS
DOWN TO ALMOST THE AL/GA STATE LINE. PARENT HIGH WILL SHIFT FURTHER
EAST TODAY...MAY BE COME SLIGHTLY PINCHED OFF WITH A SFC WAVE.
HOWEVER...WITH HEAVY RAIN FALLING INTO THE AIR MASS...WARM FRONT
WILL TAKE A SLOW BUT STEADY APPROACH TO ERODING THE WEDGE. SHORT
TERM MODELS ALL HAVE THE HEAVIEST RAIN MAKE A EXODUS THIS AFTERNOON
TO THE NORTHEAST. TIMING OF THIS FEATURE WILL BE TAKEN OFF THE ETA
AS GFS HAS SOME OBVIOUS FEEDBACK ISSUES. ALTHOUGH THE BEST FORCING
WILL LEAVE...THE ERODING EDGES OF THE WEDGE WILL ALLOW THE MOIST SFC
TO TEMPS TO WARM...INCREASING INSTABILITY. WILL CONTINUE FFA AT THE
CURRENT TIMING AND ZONES.

TONIGHT...H85 LIS COOL TO THE LOWEST VALUES OF THE EVENT. AFTER
MAKING A ANALYSIS OF THE FORECAST SOUNDINGS...HAVE CONCLUDED THAT
THE EASTERN EDGE WILL HAVE A THREAT OF SVR WX. USING THE TIMING OFF
THE ETA WILL EXPECT MID LEVELS TO DRY RATHER QUICK FROM THE SOUTH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAVE REFLECTED THIS IN THE GRIDS/FORECAST AS TS
CHANCE WILL BE LIMITED TO THE NC FOOTHILLS/PIEDMONT FRIDAY MORNING.
AFTER MID MORNING CWA WILL BE PAINTED WITH ONLY CHC OF SHOWERS. A
SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE WRITTEN TO HIGHLIGHT CONCERNS.

WITH DYING WEDGE...TEMPS WILL LIKELY PRESENT A TIGHT TEMP
GRADIENT...WILL USE ETA FIELDS FOR TEMP AND WILL REFINE WITH A MOS
COMPROMISE.

FCSTID =   16
GSP   60  53  74  50 / 100  80  40  10
AND   64  56  74  48 / 100  80  40  10
CLT   61  53  75  51 / 100  80  40  10
HKY   55  51  73  50 / 100  80  40  10
AVL   60  49  72  44 /  90  70  30  10

.GSP...
GA...FLOOD WATCH FOR TODAY FOR ZONES GAZ010...GAZ017>018...GAZ026...
GAZ028>029.

NC...FLOOD WATCH FOR TODAY FOR ZONES NCZ033>037...NCZ048>059...
NCZ062>072...NCZ082.

SC...FLOOD WATCH FOR TODAY FOR ZONES SCZ001>014...SCZ019.

NED
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 19, 2:55 PM EST, 14 hours 5 minutes before
GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-SCZ001>014-
019-192145-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
255 PM EST WED MAR 19 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST
GEORGIA TONIGHT. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT...
POSSIBLY ACCOMPANIED BY TORNADOES ALONG THE BORDER OF NORTHEAST
GEORGIA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND
NORTHEAST GEORGIA THURSDAY. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

07

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 20, 1:33 AM EST, 3 hours 27 minutes before
NCZ068-SCZ008-200730-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
133 AM EST THU MAR 20 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS WESTERN CHEROKEE COUNTY...

AT 130 AM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED MORE
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH ACROSS CHEROKEE COUNTY. ONE
THUNDERSTORM CELL IN PARTICULAR WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF
THE COUNTY THROUGH 2 AM. THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL PRODUCE PEA TO
MARBLE SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 40 MPH.

IF THE STORMS HOLD TOGETHER...THEY WILL MOVE INTO CLEVELAND COUNTY
NORTH CAROLINA BY 2 AM...AND SHOULD REACH THE AREA BETWEEN BOILING
SPRINGS AND SHELBY BETWEEN 215 AM AND 230 AM.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.

MOORE
Special weather statement, Mar 20, 5:00 AM EST, 0 minutes before
GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-SCZ001>014-
019-201600-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
500 AM EST THU MAR 20 2003

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE AGAIN TODAY AND TONIGHT...

A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL PERSIST AGAIN TODAY ACROSS
THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA...AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT MOVING IN FROM ALABAMA AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE. WIND SHEAR
IN THE LOWER PART OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL ALSO REMAIN STRONG. A WARM
FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL GEORGIA AND THE MIDLANDS OF SOUTH CAROLINA WILL
REMAIN A FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND
PIEDMONT. HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE
ADDITIONAL FLOODING OR AGGRAVATE EXISTING FLOOD PROBLEMS. A FLOOD
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TODAY.

THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ACROSS THE AREA
GENERALLY TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 85...LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. HOWEVER...IF THE WARM FRONT CAN PUSH IN FROM
THE SOUTHEAST...THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW TORNADOES
ACROSS THE AREA TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM ELBERTON
GEORGIA TO ABBEVILLE...CLINTON...CHESTER IN SOUTH CAROLINA...AND
MONROE NORTH CAROLINA. TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 85...THE
THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER IS LESS...BUT A FEW THUNDERSTORMS COULD
PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE.

THE THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DIMINISH AFTER MIDNIGHT
AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE WESTERN CAROLINAS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR THE MEDIA FOR THE LATEST WEATHER
INFORMATION OR SEVERE WEATHER WATCHES OR WARNINGS.

SPOTTER GROUPS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO ACTIVATE QUICKLY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. DISPATCHERS SHOULD ENSURE COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS ARE AWARE OF THIS INFORMATION.

MOORE

Event by event

1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Greater Greenville

When
March 20, 5:00 AM EST to 3:00 PM EST
Where
Greater Greenville forecast zone
Property damage
$1.0 million
Reported by
LAW ENFORCEMENT

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in South Carolina in 2003Every state in 2003This day in weather historyWarnings in South Carolina, March 2003

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-30. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5348437.