Damaging Wind in Pennsylvania, October 14, 2003

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
405 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2003

HAVE ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. ETA AND GFS
SHOW THE APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEEPENING AS IT MOVES
THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES. PREFRONTAL THUNDERSTORMS HAVE A SLIGHT RISK
OF SEVERE WEATHER, MAINLY WIND GUSTS. POSTFRONTAL DOWNWARD MOMENTUM
TRANSFER WITH THE TIGHTENING ISOBARIC GRADIENT LIKEWISE CAPABLE OF
WIND GUSTS OVER 50 MPH. ENSUING TROUGHY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL
MAKE TEMPERATURES NOTICEABLY COOLER FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.

GFS SHOWS NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM TO ALSO BE WELL DEVELOPED AS IT MOVES
THROUGH FRIDAY. SO ACCOMPANYING SHOWERS CAN LINGER INTO SATURDAY.

PIT   46  54  40  55 / 100  30  10  10
HLG   46  55  40  56 / 100  30  10  10
MGW   46  56  41  56 / 100  30  10  10
ZZV   45  56  41  56 / 100  30  10  10
PHD   45  54  40  55 / 100  30  10  10
FKL   43  49  37  50 / 100  40  10  10
DUJ   43  49  37  50 / 100  40  10  10
LBE   46  55  39  54 / 100  30  10  10
BTP   44  52  39  53 / 100  40  10  10
IDI   46  55  39  54 / 100  30  10  10
ODM   44  55  37  52 / 100  30  10  10

.PBZ...
MD...WIND ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY FOR ZONE MDZ001.

OH...NONE.
PA...WIND ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY FOR ZONES PAZ007>009...
PAZ013>016...PAZ022>023...PAZ030...PAZ032.

WV...WIND ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY FOR ZONES WVZ023...
WVZ041.

MDZ001-OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ007>009-013>016-020>023-
029>032-WVZ001>004-012-021>023-041-142000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
1240 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA
EAST CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA AND
GARRETT COUNTY MARYLAND.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WESTERN
PENNSYLVANIA...EAST CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA AND GARRETT
COUNTY MARYLAND THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE MAIN THREAT WITH
THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS. THE STORMS WILL FORM
AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT WHICH WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE REGION
EARLY TONIGHT.

AFTER THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH...THERE IS ALSO THE POTENTIAL FOR
STRONG WINDS LATE TONIGHT.  THE HIGHEST WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER
NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA AND THE MOUNTAINS.  WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 60 MPH
ARE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS CONTINUES ON DAY TWO.  THE HIGHEST
WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA AND THE MOUNTAINS.  WIND
GUSTS OF UP TO 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED BEYOND DAY TWO.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MDZ001-OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ007>009-013>016-020>023-
029>032-WVZ001>004-012-021>023-041-141915-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
1232 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2003

...THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WESTERN
PENNSYLVANIA...EAST CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA AND GARRETT
COUNTY MARYLAND THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE MAIN THREAT WITH
THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS. THE STORMS WILL FORM
AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT WHICH WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE REGION
EARLY TONIGHT.

SKYWARN ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

MDZ001-PAZ007>009-014>016-021>023-029>032-WVZ021>023-041-142200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
509 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2003

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH SAYS WINDS CAN GUST OVER 50 MPH
AS A LINE OF HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVES THROUGH
BETWEEN NOW AND 6:30 PM. TAKE COVER IN A STRONG BUILDING.

RAIN AMOUNTS CAN GO OVER 1 INCH AND CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS
AND IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

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