Hail and Damaging Wind in North Carolina, June 8, 2003

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
202 PM EDT SUN JUN 8 2003

SHORTWAVE ASSOCIATED WITH GREAT LAKES UPPER LOW TO MOVE BY TO N
TONIGHT. SURFACE FRONT STALLED NEAR AREA RIGHT NOW...WITH SECONDARY
FRONT MOVING THROUGH MS RIVER VALLEY. RADAR SHOWS CONVECTION
DEVELOPING MAINLY E OF I-85...THROUGH SECOND BAND DEVELOPING ALONG
BLUE RIDGE. WILL LEAVE SCATTERED CONVECTION IN FORECAST THIS
EVENING. STILL CONCERNED ABOUT FLOOD POTENTIAL IN CLT AREA THIS
EVENING...AND WILL ISSUE ANOTHER FLOOD WATCH. ATMOSPHERE DRIES AS
SECOND FRONT WEEPS ACROSS AREA LATE TONIGHT. GUIDANCE POPS VERY LOW
NEXT TWO DAYS...THOUGH AVN RETURNS MOISTURE FASTER ON TUE. FOR NOW
LEFT TUE DRY. NEXT COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM N WED. AVN MORE
AGRESSIVE IN BRINGING GULF MOISTURE N TO MEET FRONT. INCREASED POP
TO 30 WED AFTERNOON. DRIER AIR WILL ALLOW GREATER DIURNAL
TEMPERATURE RANGE...PARTICULARLY TUE WITH LOWER MININUM TEMPERATURES.

EXTENDED FORECAST FEATURES STALLED FRONT TO N...WITH OPEN GULF TO
W...AND AREA IN WARM SECTOR. BEST ACTIVITY MAY BE LIMITED TO N AND W
SECTIONS NEARES BEST DYNAMICS...OROGRAPHICS...AND MOISTURE SOURCE.
A LOT WILL DEPND ON WHERE EXACTLY FRONT STALLS. AT THIS TIME WILL
LEAVE 30 POPS THROUGHOUT EXTENDED...CONTINUING INTO SUN.
TEMPERATURES NEAR PERSISTENCE AND CLIMATOLOGY.

FCSTID =    7
GSP   64  87  63  87 /  30  10  10  10
AND   64  88  63  88 /  30  10  10  10
CLT   65  87  63  88 /  30  10  10  10
HKY   63  85  60  85 /  30  10  10  10
AVL   60  83  56  83 /  30  10  10  10

.GSP...
GA...NONE.
NC...FLOOD WATCH FOR THIS EVENING FOR ZONES NCZ069>072...NCZ082.

SC...FLOOD WATCH FOR THIS EVENING FOR ZONE SCZ009.

O7

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-SCZ001>014-
019-081300-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
710 AM EDT SUN JUN 8 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN AFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE PIEDMONT OF THE
WESTERN CAROLINAS THIS MORNING. SEE CAEFFAGSP AND CAEFLSGSP FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE VERY SLOWLY ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS TODAY...AND SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE DURING THE AFTERNOON.
THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED HEAVY RAINFALL...
AS WELL AS GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. HOWEVER...THESE
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LEVELS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

LANE

GAZ010-017-NCZ033>035-048>056-058-059-062>068-SCZ001>003-082315-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
619 PM EDT SUN JUN 8 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL TO AFFECT THE
MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS OF NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH 8 PM...

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT
WERE PRODUCING TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS OVER THE NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAINS SUNDAY EVENING. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RECEIVED A
GENERAL PUBLIC REPORT OF NEARLY A HALF INCH OF RAIN IN THE VICINITY
OF SWANNANOA EARLIER. IN ADDITION TO THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAIN...SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE BRIEFLY SEVERE...RESULTING IN
WIND GUSTS AROUND 70 MPH...OR HAIL AS LARGE AS QUARTERS.

THE STORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE FOOTHILLS AS THE EVENING
PROGRESSES...THEN FINALLY INTO THE PIEDMONT...WHICH HAD EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL SATURDAY. ADDITIONAL STORMS COULD FIRE UP LATER...AS THE
ACTUAL COLD FRONT CROSSES THE REGION.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR THE MEDIA FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.

BURRUS