New York, 2003Flash Flood in New York, August 11 to 12, 2003
August 11 to 12, 2003 · NWS BGM · 1 event in 1 county or zone
1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $750,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Binghamton, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 11, 7:55 PM EST, 2 hours 35 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 11, 7:55 PM EST, 2 hours 35 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
855 PM EDT MON AUG 11 2003
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ON THE WANE. MOST OF IT HAS DSPTD LINGERING
ACTIVITY OVER THE FINGER LAKES AND WRN MOHAWK VLY/SRN TUG SHJOULD
PROPAGATE OUT OF THE BGM CWA SHORTLY. THEREFORE PLAN ON DROPPING THE
FLASH FLOOD WATCH WITH THE EVENING UPDATE. COULD SEE SOME ISOLD/WDLY
SCT ACTIVITY OVERNGT SO WILL KEEP A LOW CHC POP FOR A SHOWER OR
TSTM. WILL ALSO ADD AREAS OF FOG TO THE ZONES/GRIDS. OTRW NO CHGS
PLANNED TO CRNT FCST.
PREV AFD BLO. BRADY
-------------------------------------------------------------------
BIG PICTURE...FLATTENING POSITIVE PNA PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TO
WEAKEN THE ERN US TROUGH AT 500 MB...AND EVENTUALLY ALLOW THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A WEAK 500 MB RIDGE.
TONIGHT...HEAVY RAINERS WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING...WILL HAVE
TO WAIT UNTIL AFTER SUNSET BEFORE THINGS BEGIN TO DIE DOWN.
ALTHOUGH THE THREAT OF SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGHT THE NIGHT AS
DYING FRONT WILL CREATE WEAK CONVERGENCE IN MOIST AIRMASS.
TUESDAY...NOT MUCH CHANGES...ALTHOUGH WHAT IS LEFT OF FRONT WILL
HAVE BETTER POSSIBILITY OF PRODUCING SHRA/TSRA...SO WILL GO WITH
LKLY POPS TO N...CHC TO THE S. VERTICAL WIND PROFILES MORE
ENERGETIC THAN TODAY...SO EXPECT BETTER FASTER CELL MOVEMENT...BUT
COULD STILL SEE SOME BACK BUILDING HEAVY RAINERS...THOUGH NOT AS
GREAT A THREAT AS TODAY.
TUESDAY NIGHT...500 MB CLOSED LOW BEGINS TO FILL MORE RAPIDLY...AND
RIDGE BEGINS TO PUSH OVER THE TOP OF IT...ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES.
PRESENCE OF SFC BOUDARY AND SOME CVA WILL PRECLUDE TAKING THE
CHC POPS OUT OF THE FORECAST THOUGH.
WED...LOOKS LIKE THERE WILL BE MORE SUN...BUT SIGNIFICANTLY DRIER
AIR NEVER REALLY MAKES IT IN (ALTHOUGH TDS DO DROP INTO THE LOW
60S). LINGERING...BUT NEBULOUS...SFC BOUDARY COULD FIRE OFF A FEW
TSRA IN THE AFTERNOON...SO CHC POPS INCLUDED SRN 2/3 CWA.
BEYOND WED...
IT STILL APPEARS THAT A PATTERN CHANGE IS IN THE OFFING AS ALL
LONGER RANGE COMPUTER GUIDANCE FILLS THE EASTERN U.S TROUGH AND
BUILDS AT LEAST A PIECE OF THE HIGH PLAINS UPPER RIDGE EASTWARD BY
LATER THIS WEEK.
AS A RESULT, WELL LEAVE THE FORECAST RAIN-FREE THROUGHOUT THIS TIME
FRAME. THE GFS MODEL IS MORE AMPLIFIED IN DROPPING A SHORT WAVE
DOWN ACROSS NY/PA IN THE NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN ALOFT FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO SATURDAY. HOWEVER, MODEL CONSENSUS IS THAT THIS WAVE WILL BE
WEAKER AND FURTHER NORTH, AND WELL GO ALONG WITH THIS LINE OF
THINKING.
WE BUMPED UP TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY BOTH IN THE THURSDAY/FRIDAY TIME
FRAME AND AGAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK TO MATCH GUIDANCE/CLIMATE VALUES
MORE CLOSELY.
AVIATION...
CONVECTION IN FULL SWING AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AS THE LATEST SHORT
WAVE ROTATES UP THROUGH THE REGION. WE EXPECT THE BEST FORCING TO
SHIFT MORE TOWARDS THE NORTHERN TAF SITES (SYR/UCA) THIS EVENING,
THEN OUT OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT. UP UNTIL THE 02Z-04Z TIME FRAME
THIS EVENING, THUNDER AND LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN WILL BE INCLUDED FOR
ALL SITES. CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE TO MVFR AT TIMES.
AFTER 06Z, LOW CLOUDS AND FOG WILL RULE ONCE AGAIN. WELL HIT THE
USUAL CULPRITS THE HARDEST (ELM/BGM/ITH/UCA) THROUGH 12Z-13Z.
STRATUS CLOUDS AND FOG ARE EXPECTED TO LIFT BY MID-MORNING, WITH
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS THEN PREVAILING. THERE COULD BE SOME HIT AND
MISS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN LATER TUESDAY AFTERNOON, BUT
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY SHOULD BOTH BE LESS THAN WHAT WERE SEEING
TODAY.
.BGM...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING ENTIRE CWA.
TON-WED...CEMPA
WED NIGHT+/AVIATION...JUREWICZ
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 11, 3:24 AM EST, 19 hours 6 minutes before
NYZ009-015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043-
044-047-048-072-121000-
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
425 AM MON AUG 11 2003
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD TODAY AND
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH THIS EVENING. A FLOOD WATCH
IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL NEW YORK AND
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. SEE WATCH STATEMENT ALBFFABGM FOR MORE
DETAILS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. THE GREATEST
THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY.
Flash Flood, Steuben
- When
- August 11, 10:30 PM EST to August 12, 2:00 AM EST
- Where
- Steuben County, Canisteo
- Property damage
- $750,000
- Reported by
- EMERGENCY MANAGER
- Coordinates
- 42.268, -77.384 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
An isolated slow-moving thunderstorm produced around 2.5 inches of rain in a short period of time in Hornell and Addision causing more flash flooding of streams and creeks.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Tornado and Damaging Winds in Texas, August 11, 2003$1.2 million · F1 · 12 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Texas, August 11, 2003$781,000 · 2.75 in hail · 22 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Kansas, August 11, 20032 injured · $220,000 · 1 in hail · 11 events
- Hail and Damaging Wind in Texas, August 11, 2003$700,000 · 1.75 in hail · 2 events
- Flash Flooding in New York, August 11 to 12, 2003$170,000 · 8 events
- Flash Flood in Massachusetts, August 11, 2003$200,000 · 1 event
- Flash Flood and Lightning Strike in Kentucky, August 11, 20033 injured · $55,000 · 3 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Texas, August 11, 2003$53,000 · 60 kt wind · 7 events
- Flash Flood in Kentucky, August 11, 2003$50,000 · 1 event
- Flash Flooding in West Virginia, August 11, 2003$35,000 · 2 events
- Damaging Winds and Lightning Strike in Illinois, August 11, 2003$30,000 · 52 kt wind · 3 events
- Damaging Winds in Michigan, August 11, 2003$25,000 · 60 kt wind · 3 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5332700.