Flood, Somerset
- When
- March 21, 1:40 AM EST to March 22, 7:44 AM EST
- Where
- Somerset forecast zone
- Reported by
- AWOS,ASOS,MESONET,ETC
- Coordinates
- 40.564, -74.616 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Flood in New Jersey, March 21 to 22, 2003
A slow moving low pressure system and a deep southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico produced heavy rain during the second half of the day on the 20th across Somerset County. Soil conditions remained moist due the combination of above normal precipitation and snow melt earlier in the month.
Where it happened
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
The toll
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What happened
The episode as NWS PHI wrote it up.
A slow moving low pressure system and a deep southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico produced heavy rain during the second half of the day on the 20th across Somerset County. Soil conditions remained moist due the combination of above normal precipitation and snow melt earlier in the month. The combination produced river flooding along parts of the Millstone and Raritan Rivers on the 21st and 22nd. The North Branch of the Raritan River at South Branch was above its 6.9 foot flood stage from 140 a.m. EST through 733 a.m. EST on the 21st. It crested at 7.30 feet at 5 a.m. EST on the 21st. The Millstone River at Griggstown was above its 10 foot flood stage from 231 a.m. EST on the 21st through 744 a.m. EST on the 22nd. It crested at 10.95 feet at 230 p.m. EST on the 21st. Storm totals included 1.65 inches in Long Valley (Morris County), 1.58 inches in Flemington (Hunterdon County) and 1.32 inches in Somerville (Somerset County). The low pressure system moved from Oklahoma the morning of the 19th, to Missouri the morning of the 20th and into the Great Lakes the morning of the 21st. Its associated warm front moved from the Gulf Coast States the morning of the 20th into New Jersey and Pennsylvania the morning of the 21st. The heavy rain preceded this feature.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 20, 11:30 PM EST, 2 hours 10 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 20, 11:30 PM EST, 2 hours 10 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1130 PM EST THU MAR 20 2003
SENT OUT AN UPDATED ZFP WHICH INCLUDED THE REMOVAL OF THE COASTAL
FLOOD WARNING HEADLINE. ALSO ADJUSTED POPS AND TEMPS.
.PHI...
DE...FLOOD WATCH OVERNIGHT FOR ZONES DEZ001.
MD...FLOOD WATCH OVERIGHT FOR ZONES MDZ008.
NJ...FLOOD WATCH OVERNIGHT FOR ZONES
NJZ001-007>010-012>013-015>020-026-027.
PA...FLOOD WATCH OVERNIGHT FOR ZONES
PAZ054>055...PAZ060>062...PAZ067>071.
MARINE...SCA ON THE OCEAN AND DE BAY.
KRUZDLO
*********************PREVIOUS AFD***********************
WL UPDATE THE ZONES TO ACCOUNT FOR RAIN ENDING FM THE SW...OR AT
LEAST BACKING DOWN TO SCT SHWRS SRN ZONES. WL END THE FLD WATCH FOR
THE SRN ZONES...AND KEEP IT GOING FOR AWHILE LONGER IN THE CNTRL AND
NRN ZONES. WL MAKE SOME TEMP CHGS...RAISING TEMPS WITH THE WRMFNTL
PASSAGE...AND ALSO ADJ THE WIND DIRECTIONS A BIT.
PREV AFD/S BLO...
***************************************************************
WE/RE GOING TO UPDATE THE MARINE TO PUT SCA IN THE WHOLE DE BAY.
SHIP JOHN SHOAL NOW CLEARLY IN SCA CRIT.
TFG
PREV AFD*****************************************************
RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...AND PSBL CONVECTION WILL OCCUR OVER
THE FA UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT. EXPECT PCPN TO END BY 1 OR 2 AM.
FLOOD WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT.
WILL LEAVE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING UP THROUGH THIS EVENINGS HIGH
TIDE CYCLE. EXPECT MINOR FLOODING ALONG THE NJ OCEANFRONT...WITH
AREAS OF MODERATE ON THE BACK BAYS.
NEXT PROBLEM WILL BE FRI AFTN AND EVNG AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL
SYSTEM MOVING IN FROM THE WEST. TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP.
SOME MAY APPROACH SEVERE...ESPECIALLY SRN PORTIONS.
ONCE FRONT MOVES ACROSS...PCPN WILL END BY MIDNIGHT AND SKIES
WILL BEGIN TO CLEAR. SATURDAY WILL SEE SUNNY TO PARTLY SUNNY
SKIES WITH RELATIVELY MILD TEMPS.
.PHI...
DE...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TONIGHT FOR ZONES DEZ001.
MD...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TONIGHT FOR ZONES MDZ008.
NJ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR ZONES
NJZ012>014...NJZ020...NJZ022>027.
FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TONIGHT FOR ZONES
NJZ001-007>010-012>013-015>020-026-027.
PA...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TONIGHT FOR ZONES PAZ054>055...
PAZ060>062...PAZ067>071.
MARINE...SCA ON THE OCEAN AND DE BAY.
RPWHazardous weather outlook, Mar 20, 6:00 AM EST, 19 hours 40 minutes before
DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055- 060>062-067>071-201200- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 600 AM EST THU MAR 20 2003 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...DELAWARE...THE NORTHERN MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE...AND NEW JERSEY EXCLUDING THE FIVE NORTHEAST COUNTIES. .DAY ONE...TODAY SOME FREEZING RAIN WILL OCCUR THIS MORNING...MAINLY OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF CARBON AND MONROE COUNTIES IN PENNSYLVANIA AND SUSSEX COUNTY IN NEW JERSEY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT. MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING AND AGAIN THIS EVENING ALONG THE JERSEY SHORE...ESPECIALLY IN THE BACK BAYS. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE JERSEY SHORE. HEAVY RAINS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT OVER THE ENTIRE AREA. THIS RAIN ALONG WITH MELTING SNOW MAY CAUSE FLOODING ALONG RIVERS AND STREAMS. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND AREAS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME STORMS COULD CONTAIN LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE DELMARVA AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION COULD BE NEEDED FRIDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING. AMC
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Mar 20, 8:32 PM EST, 5 hours 8 minutes before
DEZ001>003-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ016>019-021-PAZ069>071-210900- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 655 PM EST THU MAR 20 2003 ..MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT ALONG THE COASTS OF DELAWARE BAY AND ALONG THE TIDAL PORTIONS OF THE DELAWARE RIVER AND ITS TRIBUTARIES ...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT ALONG THE MARYLAND UPPER EASTERN SHORE... PERSISTENT EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS HAVE RAISED WATER LEVELS IN THE CHESAPEAKE AND DELAWARE BAYS...INCLUDING THE TIDAL PORTION OF THE DELAWARE RIVER. HEAVY RAIN THIS EVENING AND RUNOFF FROM THE HEAVY RAIN OVERNIGHT WILL ONLY ADD TO THE WATER LEVELS. HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES HAVE BEEN OCCURRING...AND MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED NEAR THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE TONIGHT IN DELAWARE BAYS...AND ALONG THE TIDAL PORTIONS OF THE DELAWARE RIVER AND ITS TRIBUTARIES. MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT ALONG THE UPPER EASTERN SHORE OF MARYLAND. SOME TIDAL FLOODING OCCURRED EARLY THIS MORNING ALONG THE ADMIRAL WILSON BOULEVARD AND THIS SHOULD OCCUR AGAIN THIS EVENING. IN ADDITION...SOME OF THE ROADS IN PHILADELPHIA THAT RUN ALONG THE DELAWARE RIVER COULD ALSO SEE SOME FLOODING. BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE ROAD CLOSINGS AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE. DO NOT DRIVE AROUND BARRICADES OR THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK. TFG/CORRECTED HEADLINE
The radar
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
Event by event
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
What these are
- Flood
- Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
The same day elsewhere
- Flooding in New York, March 21 to 28, 2003
- Flooding in New York, March 21 to 24, 2003
- Flooding in Pennsylvania, March 21 to 26, 2003
- Hail in New Jersey, March 21, 2003
- Lightning Strike in New York, March 21, 2003
- Flooding in Connecticut, March 21 to 23, 2003
- Lightning Strike in Virginia, March 21, 2003
- Hail in New Jersey, March 21, 2003
- Hail in New York, March 21, 2003
- Flooding in West Virginia, March 21 to 22, 2003
- Storm Surge in Pennsylvania, March 21, 2003
- Flood in Pennsylvania, March 21, 2003
More
Every storm in New Jersey in 2003Every state in 2003This day in weather historyWarnings in New Jersey, March 2003
Sources
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5352428.