Hail in Missouri, May 10, 2003

Name: Hail in Missouri, May 10, 2003
Start: 2003-05-10T16:30
End: 2003-05-10T16:30
Location: Missouri

May 10, 2003 · NWS SGF · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 hail, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

Tornadoes
Tropical storms and surge
Floods
Wind
Hail
Winter weather
Heat and drought
Cold
Fire, smoke and dust
Marine and coastal
Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths: 0
Injuries: 0
Property damage: None recorded
Crop damage: None recorded
Events: 1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 10, 2:03 PM CST, 2 hours 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 10, 2:03 PM CST, 2 hours 27 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
303 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003

VERY ACTIVE AFTERNOON SETTING UP WITH STORMS ALREADY DEVELOPING OVER
WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. STILL HAVE A CAP BUT SURFACE
FRONT MOVING INTO THE REGION AND OUTFLOW FROM CURRENT STORMS SHOULD
ERODE IT AND INTERACT WITH EXTREME INSTABILITY OVER THE FORECAST
AREA.

STILL LOOKS LIKE FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND FINALLY MOVE THE UNSTABLE AIRMASS OUT OF
THE REGION. TEMPS TOMORROW STILL LOOK ABOUT 10 DEGREES COOLER
TODAY...WHICH IS STILL HANDLED WELL IN FORECAST.

.IN THE EXTENDED...THERE IS MUCH DISAGREEMENT BETWEEN THE ECMWF AND
THE GFS. CONSENSUS IS THAT GFS SOLUTION IS TOO AGGRESSIVE WITH NEXT
UPPER TROUGH IT DEVELOPS DURING MID WEEK...WHILE THE ECMWF HOLDS OFF
ON DEVELOPING A TROUGH UNTIL FRIDAY. BOTH DO SHOW A SURFACE FRONT
MEANDERING TO OUR SOUTH. DONT WANT TO TOTALLY FLIP FLOP THE
FORECAST...SO MAIN ADJUSTMENT HAS BEEN TO PUSH POPS BACK TO EARLY
WEDNESDAY AND EXTEND THEM THROUGH FRIDAY.

.SGF...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.

TERRY

WILL LEAVE EARLIER MESOSCALE DISCUSSION ATTACHED...

.MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION (FROM PREVIOUS AFD)...

...POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SITUATION DEVELOPING...

SGF 18Z SOUNDING SHOWS THE CAP HAS STRENGTHENED A BIT AT AROUND
750MB...HOWEVER IT WILL LIKELY NOT BE STRONG ENOUGH TO PREVENT
CONVECTION. CAP MAY ACTUALLY LEAD THUNDERSTORMS REMAINING MORE
CELLULAR FOR A LONGER PERIOD OF TIME AND AREA RADARS SHOW THE
UPDRAFTS STILL CHOKING A BIT AND HAVING A BIT OF TROUBLE SUSTAINING
THEMSELVES.

AS VERY STRONG FORCING CONTINUES ALONG THE DRYLINE WOULD EXPECT THE
UVVS TO WEAKEN AND EVENTUALLY OVERCOME THE CAP WITH UPDRAFTS
BECOMING MORE SUSTAINED AS THEY WORK INTO OUR CWA. ATTM WOULD EXPECT
CONVECTION TO REMAIN MORE CELLULAR IN NATURE FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 2
HOURS...WITH ANY SUSTAINED UPDRAFTS LIKELY ROTATING WITH A TORNADO
POTENTIAL.

GIVEN THE RAPID DEVELOPMENT AND LIKELY VERY FAST STORM MOTION...AREA
MEDIA OUTLETS ARE URGED TO EXPRESS THE URGENCY AND FAST DEVELOPING
NATURE OF THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SITUATION THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

.SGF...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.

IZZI

Hazardous weather outlook, May 10, 12:00 PM CST, 4 hours 30 minutes before

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-110000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
100 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003

...OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADOES LIKELY THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND EXTREME
SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

  NUMEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH:
    HAIL TO THE SIZE OF BASEBALLS...
    WIND GUSTS OF 80 TO 100 MPH...AND
    TORNADOES...WITH ONE OR TWO POSSIBLY BECOMING STRONG TO VIOLENT

  HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

  SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AND
  SOUTHEAST KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON...AND SPREAD EAST ACROSS SOUTHERN
  MISSOURI FROM LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING.

  DISCUSSION:

  ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON
  AS AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT APPROACH
  FROM THE WEST.  THIS SYSTEM WILL INTERACT WITH A VERY MOIST AND
  UNSTABLE AIRMASS TO PRODUCE SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
  LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.  ADEQUATE WIND SHEAR WILL BE IN
  PLACE TO SUPPORT TORNADOES...INCLUDING THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME
  STRONG TO VIOLENT TORNADOS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

  AN OVERALL QUIETER PATTERN CAN BE EXPECTED NEXT WEEK.  HOWEVER A
  STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING THE CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
  TO THE AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON
  ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...AND ACROSS SOUTH
  CENTRAL FROM LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER
WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF

IZZI

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 10, 3:42 PM CST, 48 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
442 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0432 PM    6 N NEOSHO                MO   1 INCH HAIL
05/10/03   NEWTON                         60 MPH WINDS ALSO
                                          REPORTED. REPORTED BY
                                          HAM RADIO OPERATOR.

Local storm report, May 10, 3:57 PM CST, 33 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
457 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0454 PM    6 N ROGERSVILLE           MO   1 INCH HAIL
05/10/03   GREENE                         REPORTED BY HAM RADIO
                                          OPERATOR.

Local storm report, May 10, 4:03 PM CST, 27 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
503 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0503 PM    1 S WEST PLAINS           MO   .88 INCH HAIL
05/10/03   HOWELL                         REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT OFFICIAL.

Local storm report, May 10, 4:06 PM CST, 24 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
506 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0505 PM    WEST PLAINS               MO   .75 INCH HAIL
05/10/03   HOWELL                         REPORTED BY MEDIA.

Local storm report, May 10, 4:16 PM CST, 14 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
516 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0511 PM    3 SW MT VERNON            MO   71 MPH TSTM GUST
05/10/03   LAWRENCE                       REPORTED BY PUBLIC.

Local storm report, May 10, 4:20 PM CST, 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
520 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0511 PM    5 NE WEST PLAINS          MO   1.75 INCH HAIL
05/10/03   HOWELL                         REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT OFFICIAL.

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 171 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:27 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.

Hail, Shannon

When: May 10, 4:30 PM CST
Where: Shannon County, Birch Tree
Measured: 1.25 in hail
Reported by: LAW ENFORCEMENT
Coordinates: 36.983, -91.500

What these are

Hail: Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

Every storm in Missouri in 2003 Every state in 2003 This day in weather history Warnings in Missouri, May 2003

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5358764.