Mississippi, 2003

Flash Flooding and Hail in Mississippi, March 5 to 6, 2003

March 5 to 6, 2003 · NWS JAN · 11 events in 5 counties and zones

6 flash flood, 3 hail, 2 thunderstorm wind, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 6 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$59,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
11

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 5, 10:35 AM CST, 5 hours 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 5, 10:35 AM CST, 5 hours 55 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1035 AM CST WED MAR 5 2003

VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER NORTHERN MEXICO.
THIS WILL AID IN THUNDERSTORM DEVELOP BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON OVER
THE REGION. WITH 850 TEMPS AT 15C...GOOD UPPER JET AND  TEMPS
ALREADY IN THE MIDDLE 60S ON THE COAST....EXPECT LOW LEVEL CLOUDS TO
MIX OUT THIS AFTERNOON. MORNING CAP ON AREA SOUNDINGS WILL ERODE
BY AROUND MID AFTERNOON. SO WITH THIS IN MIND HAVE INCREASED POPS
SLIGHTLY IN THE NORTH...UP TEMPS BY 1-2 CATEGORIES...ESPECIALLY IN
THE SOUTH WITH LOW TO MIDDLE 70S EXPECTED. IF WE GET SEVERE IT WILL
BE BY LATE AFTERNOON IN THE SOUTH AND ALSO MENTIONED A FEW STORMS IN
THE NORTHEAST. THE REST OF FORECAST FOR THIS AFTERNOON APPEARS TO
BE ON TRACK.

.JAN...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
MS...NONE.
17

*******************************************************************
MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE IS THE RAIN SYSTEM TONIGHT AND WHETHER THIS
SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF SEVERE WEATHER IN THE
FORECAST AREA.

IN THE SHORT TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...A MILD SOUTHWESTERLY
SUBTROPICAL JET CONTINUES TO AFFECT THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY FOR
AT LEAST A FEW MORE DAYS.  BOTH THE ETA AND GFS MODELS FORECAST A
LOW PRESSURE CENTER TO FORM OVER MISSISSIPPI LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
ALTHOUGH THE INSTABILITY SHOULD BE SOMEWHAT MARGINAL WITH THIS
SYSTEM...THE LOCAL FORECAST AREA SHOULD BE IN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE
REGION OF A VERY STRONG JET STREAM (140 TO 150 KNOT CORE OVER
KENTUCKY AND INTO PENNSYLVANIA).  THE PROXIMITY TO THE RIGHT
ENTRANCE REGION OF THE JET WILL LEAD TO INCREASED UPPER LEVEL
DIVERGENCE OVER THE REGION AND WE WILL ALSO HAVE STRONG DEEP LAYER
WIND SHEAR.  I BELIEVE THE EXTENSIVE CLOUDINESS OVER THE FORECAST
AREA WILL KEEP HIGH TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY BELOW AVN/NGM GUIDANCE
NUMBERS. THE ETA GUIDANCE NUMBERS SEEM TO BE RUNNING AT LEAST 10
DEGREES TOO HIGH FOR THE MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE TODAY.  THE GOOD NEWS
WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM IS THAT IT SHOULD BE A VERY FAST MOVER.  THE
MAIN LINE OF STORMS SHOULD PROGRESS QUICKLY THROUGH THE FORECAST
AREA IN THE LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING TIME FRAME.  WITH
MANY RIVERS STILL NEAR OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...WE DONT NEED A HEAVY
RAIN EVENT.  MORE GOOD NEWS IN THE SHORT TERM IS THAT THE ETA AND
GFS MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A DRY FORECAST FOR FRIDAY.  (A FEW DAYS
AGO THE GFS INDICATED THAT FRIDAY COULD BE A SIGNIFICANT RAIN DAY.)
WITH THE LATEST MODEL RUN AND TO BETTER BLEND WITH NEIGHBORING
OFFICE FORECASTS FOR FRIDAY...I TOTALLY REMOVED MENTION OF RAIN FOR
FRIDAY. FOR TEMPERATURES IN THE SHORT TERM...AS MENTIONED
EARLIER...I BELIEVE CLOUDS WILL HOLD THE TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY BELOW
THE COOLEST GUIDANCE NUMBERS THIS AFTERNOON. THEN...AFTER THE FRONT
MOVES THROUGH TONIGHT...WE SHOULD HAVE LESS CLOUDS AND A BIGGER
DIURNAL TEMPERATURE RANGE.  TEMPERATURES MAY GET WELL INTO THE 70S
ON FRIDAY WITH LOTS OF SUNSHINE.

IN THE EXTENDED...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW
BECOMES MORE WESTERLY TO WEST NORTHWESTERLY. THIS PATTERN SHOULD BE
DRIER THAN THE EXTREMELY MOIST AND CLOUDY PATTERN WE HAVE
EXPERIENCED THE LAST SEVERAL WEEKS.  AT THIS TIME...WILL LEAVE
EXTENDED PERIOD FORECAST DRY.  HOWEVER...LATEST GFS MODEL RUN SHOWS
POSSIBILITY OF SOME RAIN FOR TUESDAY. THE TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY
BE SEASONABLY MILD AFTER A LONG BELOW NORMAL PERIOD.  HIGHS WILL
GENERALLY BE IN THE 70S.

PRELIM NUMBERS...
JAN 63/52/65/47/74 58--0
MEI 64/54/65/47/74 38-10

.JAN...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
MS...NONE.

15
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 5, 12:40 PM CST, 3 hours 50 minutes before
ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
061200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTION FOR FLOODING SECTION...AREAL COVERAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1240 PM CST WED MAR 05 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

...THUNDERSTORMS...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
REGION AS A COLD FRONT MOVES IN FROM THE WEST. A FEW OF THESE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE BY 5 PM...MAINLY ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PART OF THE REGION. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A WINNSBORO
LOUISIANA TO LEXINGTON TO COLUMBUS MISSISSIPPI LINE. THERE IS A
RISK OF SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN LOUISIANA
AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI GENERALLY ALONG
AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM SICILY ISLAND LOUISIANA TO MENDENHALL TO
QUITMAN MISSISSIPPI. THE PRIMARY TIME FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE
FROM 4 PM TO MIDNIGHT. THE SEVERE WEATHER WILL END FROM WEST TO
EAST DURING THE EVENING HOURS. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER RISK
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS UP TO
70 MPH AND LARGE HAIL.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI THIS AFTERNOON
AND WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT. A VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL
JET THAT WILL BE POSITIONED OVER THE REGION WILL PRODUCE STRONG
UPPER SUPPORT FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. GULF MOISTURE WILL
PUSH INTO SOUTHERN AREAS THIS AFTERNOON AS LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY
FLOW INCREASES AND VERTICAL WIND PROFILES SHOW GOOD SHEAR ON TAP
FOR LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE WEAK LINK IN THE
SCENARIO TODAY WILL BE UNCERTAINTY OF INSTABILITY.

...FLOODING...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON AS A
COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET THAT
WILL BE POSITIONED OVER THE REGION WILL PROVIDE ADDITIONAL
SUPPORT FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. GULF MOISTURE WILL DEEPEN
AS SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW INCREASES. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL
ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT IN STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS. WATER MAY BRIEFLY POND ON ROADWAYS AND IN LOW
LYING AREAS. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE MOST LIKELY SOUTH OF A
LINE FROM WINNSBORO LOUISIANA TO CANTON MISSISSIPPI TO COLUMBUS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

6 flash flood, 3 hail, 2 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Hinds

When
March 5, 4:30 PM CST
Where
Hinds County, Byram
Measured
55 kt (63 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$15,000
Reported by
TRAINED SPOTTER
Coordinates
32.267, -90.443 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Thunderstorm winds knocked down numerous trees and powerlines near Henderson and Kaybrook Rd.

Flash Flood, Rankin

When
March 5, 4:40 PM CST to 8:00 PM CST
Where
Rankin County, Florence
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
EMERGENCY MANAGER
Coordinates
32.264, -89.946 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Heavy rains caused a portion of Luckney Road to flood.

Flash Flood, Hinds

When
March 5, 4:40 PM CST to 8:00 PM CST
Where
Hinds County, Byram
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
EMERGENCY MANAGER
Coordinates
33.533, -88.833

Heavy rains caused a portion of Siwell Road to flood.

Flash Flood, Rankin

When
March 5, 4:50 PM CST to 8:00 PM CST
Where
Rankin County, Richland
Property damage
$10,000
Reported by
LAW ENFORCEMENT
Coordinates
32.264, -89.946 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Heavy rains caused several streets to flood in the city.

Thunderstorm Wind, Rankin

When
March 5, 4:50 PM CST
Where
Rankin County, 2 mi N of Florence
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$10,000
Reported by
TRAINED SPOTTER
Coordinates
32.183, -90.250

Thunderstorm winds knocked down a few trees and powerlines.

Flash Flood, Rankin

When
March 5, 4:53 PM CST to 8:00 PM CST
Where
Rankin County, Pearl
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
LAW ENFORCEMENT
Coordinates
32.183, -90.133

Heavy rains caused a portion of Old Brandon Road to have water covering it. The rising water threatened a few outbuildings in a neighborhood.

Flash Flood, Hinds

When
March 5, 5:25 PM CST to 8:00 PM CST
Where
Hinds County, Jackson
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
LAW ENFORCEMENT
Coordinates
32.267, -90.443 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Heavy rains caused a creek to flood a portion of Highway 18, 1 mile south of I-20.

Flash Flood, Hinds

When
March 5, 5:38 PM CST to 8:00 PM CST
Where
Hinds County, Raymond
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
LAW ENFORCEMENT
Coordinates
32.267, -90.443 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Heavy rains caused several creeks and streams to flood.

Hail, Lauderdale

When
March 5, 5:50 PM CST
Where
Lauderdale County, Marion
Measured
0.75 in hail
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
EMERGENCY MANAGER
Coordinates
32.404, -88.662 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Hail, Kemper

When
March 5, 6:00 PM CST
Where
Kemper County, Blackwater
Measured
0.75 in hail
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
EMERGENCY MANAGER
Coordinates
32.417, -88.650

Hail, Oktibbeha

When
March 6, 12:05 AM CST
Where
Oktibbeha County, 5 mi N of Starkville
Measured
0.75 in hail
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
EMERGENCY MANAGER
Coordinates
32.617, -88.683

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
Hail
Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Mississippi in 2003Every state in 2003This day in weather historyWarnings in Mississippi, March 2003

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5342464, 5342462, 5344788, 5342463, 5342545, 5342546, 5342547, 5342548, 5342549, 5342550, 5342551.