Damaging Wind in Louisiana, November 18, 2003

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
345 AM CST TUE 18 NOV 2003

SQUALL LINE CONTINUES TO PUSH ACROSS SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST
LOUISIANA. TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE OUR LOUISIANA PARISHES
OTHER THAN VERNON UNTIL 8 A.M. NO WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED OVER THE
LAST COUPLE OF HOURS WITH THE STORMS BUT GOOD SHEAR PROFILE STILL
EXISTS SO ISOLATED TORNADOES STILL NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION...

MAIN THREAT APPEARS TO BE HEAVY RAIN ALONG THE SQUALL LINE WITH
RAINFALL RATES NEAR 2 INCHES PER HOUR MOVING INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL
LOUISIANA. HEAVIEST RAIN APPEARS TO BE MOVING INTO AREAS THAT HAVE
HAD LITTLE RAIN OVER THE LAST MONTH OR SO WIDESPREAD FLOODING NOT
EXPECTED...BUT WILL KEEP FLOOD WATCH UNTIL NOON OVER LA ZONES.

SHOWERS WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON
AS SURFACE WINDS BECOME SOUTHWEST AND THEN WESTERLY THIS AFTERNOON.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE RATHER GUSTY ESPECIALLY OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS SO WILL PUT IN A SCA OVER ALL THE COASTAL WATERS FOR TODAY.
MUCH DRIER AIR WILL BE USHERED INTO THE AREA BEHIND THE SURFACE COLD
FRONT AND DRY SEASONAL WEATHER WILL PREVAIL THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK.

UPPER TROF WILL DEEPEN OVER THE WESTERN U.S. OVER THE WEEKEND AND
PUSH ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS WILL PUSH A RATHER STRONG
COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA LATE ON SUNDAY AND INTO EARLY MONDAY
WITH CHANCE OF RAIN WITH THE FRONT. BELOW NORMAL TEMPS EXPECTED
BEHIND THE FRONT.

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

KLCH 79 50 71 46 / 60 00 00 00
KBPT 78 49 71 47 / 60 00 00 00
KAEX 76 47 67 42 / 80 00 00 00
KLFT 78 51 70 45 /100 00 00 00

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL NOON ALL PARISHES.
TORNADO WATCH 957 UNTIL 8AM LA ZONES 028>033-041>45-051>055.
TX...NONE.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY OVER COASTAL WATERS.

WILEY

LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-201-215-216-172300-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
505 AM CST MON NOV 17 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS...CENTRAL...
SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL COMBINE WITH ABUNDANT TROPICAL
MOISTURE TO PRODUCE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON WITH A
SQUALL LINE MOVING INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS TONIGHT. SEVERE WEATHER
IS POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND AREAWIDE
TONIGHT WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES
POSSIBLE. HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
THE SQUALL LINE WILL PROGRESS ACROSS SOUTH LOUISIANA THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING WITH THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN
CONTINUING. A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP IN BEHIND THE FRONT BRINGING MUCH
MORE STABLE CONDITIONS THROUGH SATURDAY. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT
WILL BRING A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY.

.INFORMATION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS, HAM RADIO OPERATORS, AND EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS...
MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

WILEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1235 AM CST TUE NOV 18 2003

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1230 AM    JASPER                    TX   TORNADO
11/18/03   JASPER                         TORNADO SIGHTED BY PUBLIC
                                          NEAR HWY 96

JYM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
334 AM CST TUE NOV 18 2003

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0310 AM    PINEVILLE                 LA   TSTM WND DMG
11/18/03   RAPIDES                        RELAYED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT...ROOF DAMAGE
                                          TO HOUSE AND LIMBS OFF
                                          TREES ON LOCKER RD IN
                                          PINEVILLE

JYM