High Wind, Carroll
- When
- February 11, 4:15 PM CST
- Where
- Carroll forecast zone
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- TRAINED SPOTTER
- Coordinates
- 42.069, -89.934 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A narrow but intense line of snow showers, accompanied by some lightning, swept across much of Northwest and West Central Illinois during the late afternoon and early evening producing high winds and heavy snow. The high winds in combination with the heavy snow resulted in near blizzard conditions for a period of about 15 minutes.
Every event with a place to put it; 8 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS DVN wrote it up.
A narrow but intense line of snow showers, accompanied by some lightning, swept across much of Northwest and West Central Illinois during the late afternoon and early evening producing high winds and heavy snow. The high winds in combination with the heavy snow resulted in near blizzard conditions for a period of about 15 minutes. The strongest winds and worst conditions were generally observed north of Highway 34, where sustained wind speeds of 35 to 45 mph were common with occasional gusts to around 60 mph. The highest measured gust was 74 mph at Pearl City in Stephenson County. There were several reports of trees and power lines knocked down. The squall line generally deposited a quick one half to one inch of snow, but just as quick as the line moved in, it moved out in 15 minutes, leaving behind a bright blue sky.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Quad Cities, IA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 11, 3:45 AM CST, 12 hours 30 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL 345 AM CST TUE FEB 11 2003 LOTS TO THINK ABOUT THIS MORNING. SNOW MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA...WITH AROUND AN INCH BEING REPORTED IN THOSE COUNTIES. THE ASSOCIATED LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI...SHIFTING OFF TO THE EAST QUITE NICELY...ALLOWING FLURRIES TO END ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST THIS MORNING. SURFACE ANALYSIS ALSO INDICATING AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT THAT AS OF 08Z EXTENDED FROM NRN MN TO ERN NEBRASKA. DECENT PRESSURE FALLS ACROSS MN...SO IT SHOULD PROGRESS NICELY TO THE EAST. 00Z MODELS APPEAR TO HAVE INITIALIZED RELATIVELY WELL...AND ARE CLOSE ENOUGH THROUGH 72HRS THAT HAVE GONE WITH A BLEND OF THE ETA/AVN FOR THE MOST PART. TODAY AND TONIGHT...AFTER COORDINATING WITH SURROUNDING SITES...AGREE THAT WITH FRESH SNOW COVER TO THE SOUTH NOT EVEN COMPRESSIONAL HEATING AHEAD OF THE TROUGH AND SOME SUNSHINE WILL BRING TEMPS MUCH ABOVE 40 TODAY IN THE SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE CWA. AROUND AND INCH HAS BEEN REPORTED AND WEST-SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL HAVE TO GO ACROSS THIS SNOW FIELD BEFORE IT GETS TO CWA...AND THOUGH THIS IS TYPICALLY A WARMING FLOW FOR US...IT WONT HAPPEN THIS TIME. WITH INCREASED CLOUDS TO THE NORTH...AND THE QUICKER APPROACH OF THE FRONT AND THE SUBSEQUENT SNOW BEHIND FRONT TODAY WILL KEEP TEMPS FROM RISING ABOVE FREEZING. SO...QUITE A RANGE ACROSS CWA TODAY BUT MET CONDITIONS WARRANT. MODELS CONSISTENT IN BRINGING A PRETTY DECENT SHOT OF SNOW ACROSS THE NORTHERN THIRD OF THE CWA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS IS SUCH A FAST MOVING SYSTEM...AND SINCE THINK IT WILL BE A FAIRLY NARROW BAND OF PRECIP RIGHT BEHIND THE FRONT...AND MEASURABLE ACCUMULATIONS LOOK QUESTIONABLE...SO HAVE GONE WITH JUST CHANCE POPS. IF HAD HIGHER POPS WOULD BE PUTTING IN ONLY ABOUT 1/2 INCH ACCUMULATIONS. SHOULD GET PRETTY WINDY TONIGHT...BUT THINK THAT ARE LOOKING AT A FAIRLY NARROW WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR HIGH WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT AND WHEN WINDS DECOUPLE SOMEWHAT IN THE EVENING. FOR NOW HAVE DECIDED THAT WE WONT MAKE ADVISORY CRITERIA...BUT IT WILL BE QUITE BREEZY AND WILL WORD TEXT IN THIS MANNER. WINDS WILL BE ONLY THING SAVING TEMPS FROM RADIATING OUT TONIGHT...BUT HAVE GONE ON COLD SIDE OF GUIDANCE. WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY FIRST QUIET DAYS IN SOME TIME...THOUGH TEMPS ON COOL SIDE WITH BREEZY WEST WINDS WENESDAY. THURSDAY TEMPS REBOUND QUITE A BIT AHEAD OF THE FRIDAY SYSTEM. TWEAKED THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY WX/POPS A LITTLE BASED ON MOST RECENT AVN...IT APPEARS THAT THE BULK OF THIS SYSTEM WILL MISS THE CWA TO THE SOUTH...AND HAVE KEPT JUST CHANCE POPS FOR THE SOUTHERN 2/3RDS OF THE CWA AND LEFT NORTHERN THIRD DRY. OTHERWISE...NO CHANGES TO EXTENDED. COORDINATED WITH EAX...STL...AND DMX...THANKS. .DVN... IA...NONE. IL...NONE. MO...NONE. LRE
IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007- 009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-121100- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL 627 AM CST TUE FEB 11 2003 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN IOWA... NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVED ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING...BRINGING MORE LIGHT SNOW TO THE AREA. THE LATEST REPORTS INDICATE THAT FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW FELL ALONG AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 34...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS TO THE NORTH. THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA...THIS TIME BRINGING SNOW TO AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 30. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE MINOR...GENERALLY A HALF-INCH OR LESS. WINDS WILL INCREASE ALONG AND BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...CAUSING WEST WINDS TO BLOW AT 15 TO 25 MPH...GUSTING AT TIMES TO AROUND 30 MPH DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THE COLD FRONT WILL ALSO BRING COLDER TEMPERATURES TO THE AREA FOR TONIGHT...DROPPING LOW TEMPERATURES INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS FOR MOST OF THE REGION. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY... THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. THE NEXT CHANCE OF SNOW IS NOT UNTIL FRIDAY...AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND TRACKS ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS. AT THIS TIME...INDICATIONS ARE THAT PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AS A MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SNOW BEGINNING LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING. THE PRECIPITATION WOULD TURN TO ALL SNOW BEGINNING FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR MINOR TO MODERATE ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ALONG AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 34 BY FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH LESSER ACCUMULATIONS TO THE NORTH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT. && MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING URL: HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/DVN (ALL LOWER CASE) LRE
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
8 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Illinois in 2003Every state in 2003This day in weather historyWarnings in Illinois, February 2003
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5349016, 5349018, 5349020, 5349021, 5349017, 5349022, 5349015, 5349019.